OWL trades 56.8% below Wall Street's consensus target of $14.94.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes OWL achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 10.8x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 19 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of June 21, 2026, Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $14.94, based on estimates from 19 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $9.53, this represents a potential upside of +56.8%. The company has a market capitalization of $14.90B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $9.50 to a high of $27.00, representing a 117% spread in expectations. The median target of $14.00 differs from the mean, suggesting potential outlier estimates. The wide target spread reflects significant disagreement on fair value.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 12 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,7 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, OWL trades at a trailing P/E of 79.4x and forward P/E of 10.8x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +592.7% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $23.42, with bear and bull scenarios of $14.75 and $30.86 respectively. Model confidence stands at 49/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
APOApollo Global Management, Inc. | $79.3B | $137.50 | $153.50 | +11.6% | Buy | 15.4x | 28 |
ARESAres Management Corporation | $42.5B | $129.34 | $171.13 | +32.3% | Buy | 21.5x | 22 |
KKRKKR & Co. Inc. | $86.5B | $97.01 | $141.14 | +45.5% | Buy | 16.1x | 27 |
CGThe Carlyle Group Inc. | $16.2B | $44.80 | $61.00 | +36.2% | Buy | 11.1x | 25 |
BXBlackstone Inc. | $97.0B | $123.78 | $156.29 | +26.3% | Buy | 21.0x | 29 |
TPGTPG Inc. | $16.1B | $42.05 | $59.88 | +42.4% | Buy | 14.9x | 17 |
ARCCAres Capital Corporation | $12.9B | $18.03 | $19.00 | +5.4% | Buy | 9.4x | 32 |
GBDCGolub Capital BDC, Inc. | $3.2B | $12.35 | $14.25 | +15.4% | Buy | 9.0x | 12 |
OBDCBlue Owl Capital Corporation | $5.4B | $10.87 | $13.00 | +19.6% | Buy | 8.4x | 13 |
PSECProspect Capital Corporation | $1.1B | $2.21 | $2.50 | +13.1% | Hold | 4.8x | 20 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying OWL stock.
The consensus Wall Street price target for OWL is $14.94, representing 56.8% upside from the current price of $9.53. With 19 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
OWL has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 19 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 12 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $14.94 implies 56.8% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 10.7732x, OWL trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $14.94 implies 56.8% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $27 for OWL, while the most conservative target is $9.5. The consensus of $14.94 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $31 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
OWL is well covered by analysts, with 19 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 1 have Strong Buy ratings, 11 have Buy ratings, 7 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month OWL stock forecast based on 19 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $14.94, with estimates ranging from $9.5 (bear case) to $27 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $23, with bear/bull scenarios of $15/$31.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates OWL's fair value at $23 (base case), with a bear case of $15 and bull case of $31. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 49/100.
OWL trades at a forward P/E ratio of 10.8x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 79.4x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on OWL, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $14.94 price target (56.8% upside). 12 of 19 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
OWL analyst price targets range from $9.5 to $27, a 117% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $14.94 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $15-$31 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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