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PBR-APetróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras
$23.53$151.6B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
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Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
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PBR-A logo

Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras

PBR-A
NYSE · Integrated Oil & Gas
$23.53
At close - Oct 23, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$151.64B
P/E7.7x
52W High$23.79
Volume14.02M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q2

Pre-Salt Margin Dominance Tempered by Political Risk

Petrobras's structural cost advantage from pre-salt assets drives industry-leading margins, with a 58.0% gross margin in 2026Q2, supporting robust free cash flow generation despite volatile commodity prices. The company's primary risk is political interference...

GrowthMixed
ProfitabilityStrong
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsStrong
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

PBR-A price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

8/12 Beats

EPS beat 8 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

-67% Peers

P/E is 67% below peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 94 · Leader

High momentum (Outperforming 94% of market)

04

Strong Uptrend

Strong Trend

Price > 20DMA > 50DMA > 200DMA

Next CatalystConfirmed earnings · Nov 10
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue is highly volatile, surging 59.8% in 2026Q2, but the company maintains a structural margin advantage with a 58.0% gross margin, significantly outperforming global peers.

Analyst Consensus
Buy(23 analysts)
10 Buy10 Hold3 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Attractive valuation metrics

Petrobras's trailing and forward P/E ratios of 7.13 and 5.92 respectively indicate the stock is undervalued compared to historical and industry standards.

Strong price target upside

Scenario-based modeling suggests a bull case price target of $24, representing significant upside from current trading levels.

Compelling forward P/E

The forward P/E ratio of 4.33 as of July 22nd highlights Petrobras's earnings growth potential at an attractive valuation.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 10/24/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
PBR-A+117.10%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+11.24%
1-Year Return
PBR-A+122.65%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+13.13%
3-Year Return
PBR-A+106.82%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+84.89%
5-Year Return
PBR-A+272.96%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+53.04%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/E5Y High
7.7x
Forward P/EExpansion
4.9x
EV/EBITDA100th %ile
5.0x
FCF YieldCash Flow
11.0%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
7.7x
3.7x
80th· High
EV/EBITDA
5.0x
2.7x
100th· High
Price/FCF
9.1x
3.2x
100th· High
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$68.33+190.4%
Base (Fair)$127.37+441.3%
Bull$178.63+659.2%
$68.33 Bear$127.37 Base$178.63 Bull
Current Market Price: $23.53
Trades at a 81.5% discount to Base DCF ($127.37)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$89.2B-2.4% YoY
Net income
$19.71B+161.9% YoY
Free cash flow
$16.72B-28.4% YoY
Operating margin
31%+2.9 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)16.2%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)29.2%
Piotroski Score7 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate8/12 (67%)
Revenue Beat Rate5/12 (45%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q3 2026Latest
Aug 6, 2026
$1.61+12.6%
vs $1.43
$33.6B+6.7%
vs $31.5B
Q2 2026
May 11, 2026
$0.99+2.8%
vs $0.96
$23.5B-11.0%
vs $26.4B
Q2 2026
Mar 5, 2026
$0.46-19.9%
vs $0.58
$23.6B+2.6%
vs $23.0B
Q4 2025
Nov 5, 2025
$0.94+33.0%
vs $0.70
$23.5B-1.7%
vs $23.9B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
Seeking Alpha·Oct 6, 2026
Petrobras: An Election Catalyst, With Risks On Both Sides

Petróleo Brasileiro remains a Buy, with a $29 price target by October 2027, driven by political catalysts and strong fundamentals. PBR trades at 5x forward earnings with a nearly 9% yield, outperforming US majors on valuation and recent total return. Bolsonaro's potential presidency could remove export taxes and improve governance, but fuel price intervention remains a risk under any government.

Reuters·Oct 2, 2026
Brazil's Petrobras makes new oil discovery off the coast of Amapa

Brazilian state-run oil company ​Petrobras said on Friday it had ‌made a new oil discovery in ultra-deep waters off Amapa state, an area known as equatorial ​margin that it considers its most ​promising new oil frontier.

Business Wire·Sep 29, 2026
Cheniere and Petrobras Sign Long-Term LNG Sale and Purchase Agreement

HOUSTON--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Cheniere and Petrobras Sign Long-Term LNG Sale and Purchase Agreement.

Reuters·Sep 17, 2026
Petrobras signs production-sharing deals for Ivory Coast exploratory blocks

Brazilian state-run oil company Petrobras ​said on Thursday it ‌had signed production-sharing contracts with Ivory Coast and its ​state energy firm ​Petroci for eight offshore exploratory ⁠blocks.

Filtered for Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - PetrobrasMore Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark PBR-A against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (PBR-A)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
PBR-A logoPBR-APetróleo Brasileiro S.A. - PetrobrasCurrent
$23.53$151.64B7.69-2.43%22.1%29.15%5.44%
XOM logoXOMExxon Mobil Corporation
$183.21$759.4B27.34-4.52%9.07%12.34%—
CVX logoCVXChevron Corporation
$233.21$464.46B35.18-4.64%9.87%10.66%—
SHEL logoSHELShell plc
$108.18$301.62B18.03-6.13%8.76%14.64%—
BP logoBPBP p.l.c.
$51.32$134.01B2515.690.08%2.51%7.19%—
TTE logoTTETotalEnergies SE
$92.78$206.62B16.05-6.78%9.07%14.5%—

Compare PBR-A vs Peers

Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (PBR-A) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs XOM

Most directly comparable listed peer for PBR-A.

Scale Benchmark

vs CVX

Larger-name benchmark to compare PBR-A against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs XOM, CVX, SHEL, BP

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PBR-A Frequently Asked Questions

Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (PBR-A) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras's revenue?

Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (PBR-A) reported $104.22B in revenue for fiscal year 2025. This represents a 537% increase from $16.36B in 1999.

How fast is Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras growing?

Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (PBR-A) saw revenue decline by 2.4% over the past year.

Is PBR-A profitable?

Yes, Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (PBR-A) is profitable, generating $25.55B in net income for fiscal year 2025 (22.1% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does PBR-A pay dividends?

Yes, Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (PBR-A) pays a dividend with a yield of 5.44%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.

What is PBR-A's return on equity?

Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (PBR-A) has a return on equity (ROE) of 29.2%. This is excellent, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.

What is Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras's free cash flow?

Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (PBR-A) generated $18.68B in free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.

What if you invested $1,000 in PBR-A back in 1999?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 27+ years of data

See returns →