0.3% Below Target

The consensus price target for ROK is $475.13, close to the current price of $473.79 (0.3% implied move). Based on 39 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.

ROK has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 39 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 25 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $475.13 implies 0.3% upside from current levels.

At a forward P/E of 36.6382x, ROK trades at a premium valuation. The consensus price target of $475.13 (0.3% upside) suggests analysts may view current valuations as stretched.

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $525 for ROK, while the most conservative target is $410. The consensus of $475.13 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $717 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

ROK is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 39 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 12 have Buy ratings, 25 recommend Hold, and 2 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

The 12-month ROK stock forecast based on 39 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $475.13, with estimates ranging from $410 (bear case) to $525 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $545, with bear/bull scenarios of $343/$717.

Our quantitative valuation model calculates ROK's fair value at $545 (base case), with a bear case of $343 and bull case of $717. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 52/100.

ROK trades at a forward P/E ratio of 36.6x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 61.8x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

ROK appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Hold" rating and minimal upside to the $475.13 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

ROK analyst price targets range from $410 to $525, a 24% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $475.13 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $343-$717 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.