Bull case
ROP would need investors to value it at roughly 30x earnings — about 15x more generous than today's 15x forward P/E. That requires meaningful multiple expansion on top of continued earnings growth.
Wall Street verdict, consensus price target, and analyst rating breakdown — everything needed to frame the risk/reward at today's price.
Three scenarios for where ROP stock could go
ROP would need investors to value it at roughly 30x earnings — about 15x more generous than today's 15x forward P/E. That requires meaningful multiple expansion on top of continued earnings growth.
At 22x on FY1 earnings, the base case reflects a reasonable but not stretched valuation. It prices in continued growth without assuming an exceptional setup.
If investor confidence fades or macro conditions deteriorate, a 1x multiple contraction could push ROP down roughly 6% from where it trades now.
Not financial advice. Model confidence reflects internal scenario assumptions, not a guarantee of returns. Past performance does not predict future results.

Roper Technologies is a diversified technology company that develops niche software applications and engineered products for specialized industrial and business markets. It generates revenue primarily through recurring software subscriptions—which account for over 80% of sales—and sales of its proprietary industrial equipment and instruments. The company's competitive advantage lies in its portfolio of market-leading, mission-critical software solutions that create high switching costs and generate predictable recurring revenue.
Quarterly beat-or-miss track record against analyst estimates, plus forward revenue and EPS outlook for the next two fiscal years.
| Quarter | EPS (Actual / Est) | EPS Surprise | Revenue (Actual / Est) | Rev Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | $4.87/$4.83 | +0.8% | $1.9B/$1.9B | +0.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.14/$5.11 | +0.6% | $2.0B/$2.0B | -0.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.21/$5.14 | +1.4% | $2.1B/$2.1B | -1.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.16/$4.99 | +3.4% | $2.1B/$2.1B | +1.6% |
ROP beat EPS estimates in 4 of 4 tracked quarters. A perfect track record raises the bar for the upcoming report.
Product and geographic revenue mix from the latest annual disclosure, with year-over-year growth by segment.
Latest annual revenue by segment or product family
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Latest annual revenue by reported region
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Current multiples compared to the S&P 500, the company's sector, and its own five-year average.
Fair value est. $535 — implies +61.9% from today's price.
| Metric | ROP | S&P 500 | Industrials | 5Y Avg ROP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward PE | 15.1x | 18.8x-20% | 21.2x-29% | — |
| Trailing PE | 23.3x | 24.4x | 25.6x | 39.4x-41% |
| PEG Ratio | 2.43x | 1.66x+46% | 1.65x+47% | — |
| EV/EBITDA | 13.8x | 15.2x | 13.9x | 24.3x-43% |
| Price/FCF | 13.6x | 20.7x-34% | 20.0x-32% | 34.0x-60% |
| Price/Sales | 4.3x | 3.1x+39% | 1.6x+175% | 8.6x-50% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.00% | 1.91% | 1.21% | 0.57% |
Forward P/E and PEG reflect analyst consensus estimates. Historical averages use trailing ratios where forward data is unavailable.S&P 500 and sector benchmarks both use trailing median P/E — similar readings indicate the broader index and sector are priced alike.
Open valuation toolROP generates $2.6B in free cash flow at a 31.4% margin — returns 2.5% of market cap to shareholders annually.
Revenue, margins, and cash generation
ROIC, leverage, and debt serviceability
~3.5 years to full repayment at current FCF run-rate
How capital is returned to owners
All figures from the trailing twelve months. ROIC uses invested capital (equity + net debt).
Open full ratios pageKey factors that could pressure the stock price, compress the multiple, or weigh on future results.
AI analysis · updated June 18, 2026
ROP's forward P/FCF is well below its five-year historical average, indicating potential valuation concerns despite steady free cash flow margins.
Application Software and Network Software segments fell short of expectations in Q4 2025, raising concerns about growth consistency.
Guidance for 5% to 6% organic growth in 2026 suggests slower expansion, which may limit upside potential.
Consensus price target implies upside, but mixed results and guidance could dampen investor enthusiasm.
These are risk mechanisms, not predictions. The key question is which would force a cut to earnings estimates or a lower multiple than the market currently prices in.
Structural drivers behind the upside case and why the stock could outperform over the next 12 months.
AI analysis · updated June 18, 2026
Roper's shift toward asset-light, recurring software businesses has structurally expanded operating margins above traditional industrial benchmarks.
Management emphasizes disciplined acquisitions, supported by a strong buyback program and an active pipeline, even in a constrained private credit market.
Roper's autonomous business units and effective capital allocation continue to support long-term growth despite recent stock depreciation.
The company's focus on vertical software platforms has increased recurring revenue streams, enhancing financial stability.
Roper completed a significant share repurchase program and expanded its buyback authorization, demonstrating commitment to returning value to shareholders.
A real bull case compounds — each driver matters most when it strengthens margins, supports capital returns, and keeps the company above the market's minimum growth bar simultaneously.
52-week range context and price returns across multiple time horizons. Dividend contribution is shown separately in the Capital Return section.
Range context matters because valuation compression and earnings misses rarely hit from the same starting point. A stock already far below its high can still fall, but it is no longer carrying the same embedded optimism as one pressing a fresh peak.
Valuation, growth, and margin comparison against the closest publicly traded peers for this company.
| Company | Mkt Cap | Fwd PE | Rev Grw | Margin | Rating | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ROP ROP Roper Technologies, Inc. | $34.0B | 15.1x | +8.1% | 21.1% | Buy | +38.6% |
VRS VRSK Verisk Analytics, Inc. | $22.8B | 22.7x | +5.8% | 29.3% | Hold | +30.1% |
MSC MSCI MSCI Inc. | $42.3B | 29.6x | +9.8% | 40.7% | Buy | +18.4% |
FTV FTV Fortive Corporation | $18.8B | 20.4x | 0.0% | 11.5% | Hold | +1.6% |
DHR DHR Danaher Corporation | $125.4B | 21.0x | +3.5% | 14.9% | Buy | +30.3% |
ITW ITW Illinois Tool Works Inc. | $76.1B | 23.4x | +2.8% | 19.3% | Hold | +2.7% |
This peer comparison reflects companies with similar business models, product lines, or market positioning, supplemented by industry grouping when direct matches are limited.
ROP returns 2.5% annually — 1.00% through dividends and 1.5% through buybacks.
Yield, cadence, and growth quality
How much per-share support comes from repurchases
| Year | Div / Share | YoY Grw | BB Yield | Total Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $2.73 | — | — | — |
| 2025 | $3.30 | +10.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% |
| 2024 | $3.00 | +9.9% | 0.0% | 0.6% |
| 2023 | $2.73 | +10.1% | 0.0% | 0.5% |
| 2022 | $2.48 | +10.2% | 0.0% | 0.6% |
Common questions answered from live analyst data and company financials.
Roper Technologies, Inc. (ROP) is rated Buy by Wall Street analysts as of 2026. Of 23 analysts covering the stock, 13 rate it Buy or Strong Buy, 7 rate it Hold, and 3 rate it Sell or Strong Sell. The consensus 12-month price target is $458, implying +38.6% from the current price of $330. The bear case scenario is $310 and the bull case is $648.
The Wall Street consensus price target for ROP is $458 based on 23 analyst estimates. The high-end target is $550 (+66.5% from today), and the low-end target is $365 (+10.5%). The base case model target is $492.
ROP trades at 15.1x times forward earnings. The stock's valuation is broadly in line with the broader market. Based on current multiples versus the peer group, the relative model signals cheap versus peers. Whether the stock is over or undervalued ultimately depends on whether consensus earnings estimates are achievable.
The primary risks for ROP in 2026 are: (1) Valuation de-rating — ROP's forward P/FCF is well below its five-year historical average, indicating potential valuation concerns despite steady free cash flow margins. (2) Segment performance weakness — Application Software and Network Software segments fell short of expectations in Q4 2025, raising concerns about growth consistency. (3) Moderate organic growth — Guidance for 5% to 6% organic growth in 2026 suggests slower expansion, which may limit upside potential. Each factor has the potential to pressure earnings or compress the stock's valuation multiple.
Analyst consensus estimates ROP will report consensus revenue of $8.8B (+8.1% year-over-year) and EPS of $19.38 (+18.3% year-over-year) for the upcoming fiscal year. The following year, analysts project $9.3B in revenue.
Roper Technologies, Inc. is expected to report its next earnings on approximately 2026-07-20. Consensus expects EPS of $5.32 and revenue of $2.1B. Over recent quarters, ROP has beaten EPS estimates 100% of the time.
Roper Technologies, Inc. (ROP) generated $2.6B in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months — a free cash flow margin of 31.4%. ROP returns capital to shareholders through dividends (1.0% yield) and share repurchases ($500M TTM).