SCCO trades 18.6% above Wall Street's consensus target of $157.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes SCCO achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 26.0x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 29 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of June 21, 2026, Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $157.00, based on estimates from 29 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $192.93, this represents a potential downside of -18.6%. The company has a market capitalization of $159.37B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $140.00 to a high of $178.00, representing a 24% spread in expectations. The median target of $154.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 3 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,15 rating it Hold, and 11 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The bearish sentiment suggests caution about the stock at current levels.
From a valuation perspective, SCCO trades at a trailing P/E of 36.8x and forward P/E of 26.0x. The forward PEG ratio of 1.25 indicates reasonable valuation for growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +43.3% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $102.66, with bear and bull scenarios of $64.68 and $135.27 respectively. Model confidence stands at 48/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FCXFreeport-McMoRan Inc. | $98.7B | $68.67 | $71.44 | +4.0% | Buy | 25.4x | 41 |
TECKTeck Resources Limited | $31.0B | $64.36 | $64.50 | +0.2% | Buy | 13.1x | 26 |
HBMHudbay Minerals Inc. | $10.9B | $27.59 | $30.00 | +8.7% | Buy | 16.9x | 20 |
NEMNewmont Corporation | $115.0B | $103.79 | $143.33 | +38.1% | Buy | 10.1x | 36 |
BHPBHP Group Limited | $223.1B | $87.87 | $71.50 | -18.6% | Hold | 17.0x | 31 |
RIORio Tinto Group | $199.8B | $100.08 | $101.75 | +1.7% | Hold | 11.7x | 31 |
AAAlcoa Corporation | $15.4B | $59.33 | $75.40 | +27.1% | Buy | 7.6x | 42 |
MPMP Materials Corp. | $10.8B | $60.88 | $83.00 | +36.3% | Buy | 262.2x | 12 |
VALEVale S.A. | $67.3B | $15.42 | $17.79 | +15.4% | Hold | 7.6x | 37 |
CATCaterpillar Inc. | $458.7B | $985.82 | $882.20 | -10.5% | Buy | 40.0x | 53 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying SCCO stock.
SCCO's consensus price target is $157, -18.6% below the current price of $192.93. The 29 analysts tracking SCCO see downside risk at present valuations.
SCCO has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 29 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is leaning bearish, with 11 Sell/Strong Sell ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $157 implies -18.6% downside from current levels.
SCCO trades at a forward P/E of 26.041x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $157 (-18.6% implied move), the stock appears close to fair value.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $178 for SCCO, while the most conservative target is $140. The consensus of $157 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $135 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
SCCO is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 29 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 3 have Buy ratings, 15 recommend Hold, and 11 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month SCCO stock forecast based on 29 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $157, with estimates ranging from $140 (bear case) to $178 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $103, with bear/bull scenarios of $65/$135.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates SCCO's fair value at $103 (base case), with a bear case of $65 and bull case of $135. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 48/100.
SCCO trades at a forward P/E ratio of 26.0x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 36.8x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Analysts are cautious on SCCO, with 11 Sell ratings and a price target of $157 (-18.6% from current price). The "Hold" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SCCO analyst price targets range from $140 to $178, a 24% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $157 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $65-$135 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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