Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO) Price Target Analysis
Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated May 1, 2026
Current Price
$183.91
Price Target
$156.40
Target Range
$133.00 — $178.00
Analyst Rating
Hold
Forward P/E26.0x
Trailing P/E35.1x
Forward PEG1.25
Implied Growth+36.7%
Median Target$160.00
Analyst Spread28.8%
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Bear Case
$133
-27.7%
Consensus
$156
-15.0%
Bull Case
$178
-3.2%
Valuation Model TargetsConfidence: 57/100
Bear$84
Base$215
Bull$248
SCCO Price Target Analysis
Updated May 7, 2026As of May 7, 2026, Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $156.40, based on estimates from 30 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $183.91, this represents a potential downside of -15.0%. The company has a market capitalization of $151.92B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $133.00 to a high of $178.00, representing a 29% spread in expectations. The median target of $160.00 aligns closely with the consensus average.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 3 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,15 rating it Hold, and 12 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The bearish sentiment suggests caution about the stock at current levels.
From a valuation perspective, SCCO trades at a trailing P/E of 35.1x and forward P/E of 26.0x. The forward PEG ratio of 1.25 indicates reasonable valuation for growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +36.7% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $214.78, with bear and bull scenarios of $83.79 and $248.12 respectively. Model confidence stands at 57/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Basic Materials stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside-3.6%
Avg Forward P/E43.8x
Peers with Coverage10 / 10
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 FCXFreeport-McMoRan Inc. | $87.5B | $60.89 | $67.00 | +10.0% | Buy | 22.5x | 41 |
 TECKTeck Resources Limited | $29.9B | $62.01 | $64.50 | +4.0% | Buy | 13.3x | 26 |
 HBMHudbay Minerals Inc. | $9.5B | $24.00 | $10.34 | -56.9% | Buy | 15.4x | 20 |
 NEMNewmont Corporation | $127.5B | $115.10 | $137.50 | +19.5% | Buy | 11.0x | 36 |
 BHPBHP Group Limited | $214.1B | $84.33 | $71.50 | -15.2% | Hold | 16.7x | 31 |
 RIORio Tinto Group | $210.6B | $105.50 | $101.75 | -3.6% | Hold | 12.9x | 31 |
 AAAlcoa Corporation | $16.4B | $63.25 | $68.80 | +8.8% | Buy | 9.1x | 42 |
 MPMP Materials Corp. | $12.9B | $72.65 | $78.25 | +7.7% | Buy | 288.3x | 11 |
 VALEVale S.A. | $72.0B | $16.49 | $16.65 | +1.0% | Hold | 8.2x | 37 |
 CATCaterpillar Inc. | $431.2B | $926.64 | $824.80 | -11.0% | Buy | 40.1x | 53 |
Upside Potential Comparison
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Start ComparisonSCCO — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying SCCO stock.
What is the SCCO stock price target for 2026?
SCCO's consensus price target is $156.4, -15.0% below the current price of $183.91. The 30 analysts tracking SCCO see downside risk at present valuations.
Is SCCO a buy, sell, or hold?
SCCO has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 30 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is leaning bearish, with 12 Sell/Strong Sell ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $156.4 implies -15.0% downside from current levels.
Is SCCO stock overvalued or undervalued?
SCCO trades at a forward P/E of 26.0135x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $156.4 (-15.0% implied move), the stock appears close to fair value.
How high can SCCO stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $178 for SCCO, while the most conservative target is $133. The consensus of $156.4 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $248 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover SCCO stock?
SCCO is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 30 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 3 have Buy ratings, 15 recommend Hold, and 12 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the SCCO stock forecast?
The 12-month SCCO stock forecast based on 30 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $156.4, with estimates ranging from $133 (bear case) to $178 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $215, with bear/bull scenarios of $84/$248.
What is SCCO's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates SCCO's fair value at $215 (base case), with a bear case of $84 and bull case of $248. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 57/100.
What is SCCO's forward P/E ratio?
SCCO trades at a forward P/E ratio of 26.0x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 35.1x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy SCCO stock?
Analysts are cautious on SCCO, with 12 Sell ratings and a price target of $156.4 (-15.0% from current price). The "Hold" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do SCCO price targets vary so much?
SCCO analyst price targets range from $133 to $178, a 29% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $156.4 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $84-$248 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.