Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. (SFM) Price Target Analysis
Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated May 1, 2026
Current Price
$78.26
Price Target
$91.00
Target Range
$70.00 — $114.00
Analyst Rating
Buy
Forward P/E14.0x
Trailing P/E14.7x
Forward PEG0.83
Implied Growth+5.1%
Median Target$88.00
Analyst Spread48.4%
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Bear Case
$70
-10.6%
Consensus
$91
+16.3%
Bull Case
$114
+45.7%
Valuation Model TargetsConfidence: 76/100
Bear$45
Base$102
Bull$122
SFM Price Target Analysis
Updated May 6, 2026As of May 6, 2026, Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. (SFM) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $91.00, based on estimates from 43 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $78.26, this represents a potential upside of +16.3%. The company has a market capitalization of $7.36B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $70.00 to a high of $114.00, representing a 48% spread in expectations. The median target of $88.00 aligns closely with the consensus average.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 20 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,20 rating it Hold, and 3 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, SFM trades at a trailing P/E of 14.7x and forward P/E of 14.0x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.83 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +5.1% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $102.24, with bear and bull scenarios of $44.81 and $122.36 respectively. Model confidence stands at 76/100, indicating high predictability in the company's fundamentals.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Consumer Defensive stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside+13.7%
Avg Forward P/E23.5x
Peers with Coverage9 / 10
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NGVCNatural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. | $624M | $27.11 | $40.00 | +47.5% | Buy | 12.9x | 16 |
 TJXThe TJX Companies, Inc. | $172.5B | $155.45 | $172.00 | +10.6% | Buy | 33.2x | 53 |
 KRThe Kroger Co. | $41.8B | $66.01 | $74.75 | +13.2% | Buy | 12.6x | 44 |
 ACIAlbertsons Companies, Inc. | $8.2B | $16.03 | $19.63 | +22.5% | Buy | 7.1x | 23 |
 WMTWalmart Inc. | $1.0T | $130.08 | $137.04 | +5.4% | Buy | 44.7x | 64 |
 COSTCostco Wholesale Corporation | $441.4B | $995.75 | $1070.00 | +7.5% | Buy | 48.7x | 58 |
 TGTTarget Corporation | $59.3B | $130.22 | $115.31 | -11.4% | Hold | 16.3x | 59 |
 GOGrocery Outlet Holding Corp. | $781M | $7.96 | $12.08 | +51.8% | Hold | 16.0x | 23 |
 VLGEAVillage Super Market, Inc. | $640M | $43.37 | — | — | — | — | — |
 UNFIUnited Natural Foods, Inc. | $3.3B | $51.81 | $39.67 | -23.4% | Hold | 20.2x | 43 |
Upside Potential Comparison
GONGVCACIKRTJXCOSTWMTTGTSee SFM's True Return
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Start ComparisonSFM — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying SFM stock.
What is the SFM stock price target for 2026?
Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. (SFM) has a consensus 12-month price target of $91, implying 16.3% upside from $78.26. The 43 analysts covering SFM see moderate appreciation potential.
Is SFM a buy, sell, or hold?
SFM has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 43 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 20 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $91 implies 16.3% upside from current levels.
Is SFM stock overvalued or undervalued?
With a forward P/E of 14.0319x, SFM trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $91 implies 16.3% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
How high can SFM stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $114 for SFM, while the most conservative target is $70. The consensus of $91 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $122 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover SFM stock?
SFM is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 43 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 20 have Buy ratings, 20 recommend Hold, and 3 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the SFM stock forecast?
The 12-month SFM stock forecast based on 43 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $91, with estimates ranging from $70 (bear case) to $114 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $102, with bear/bull scenarios of $45/$122.
What is SFM's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates SFM's fair value at $102 (base case), with a bear case of $45 and bull case of $122. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 76/100.
What is SFM's forward P/E ratio?
SFM trades at a forward P/E ratio of 14.0x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 14.7x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy SFM stock?
Wall Street analysts are optimistic on SFM, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $91 price target (16.3% upside). 20 of 43 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do SFM price targets vary so much?
SFM analyst price targets range from $70 to $114, a 48% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $91 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $45-$122 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.