Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated Feb 28, 2026
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
As of March 2, 2026, Target Corporation (TGT) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $102.87, based on estimates from 58 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $113.79, this represents a potential downside of -9.6%. The company has a market capitalization of $51.84B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $80.00 to a high of $130.00, representing a 49% spread in expectations. The median target of $102.00 aligns closely with the consensus average.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 26 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,28 rating it Hold, and 4 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, TGT trades at a trailing P/E of 12.8x and forward P/E of 15.6x. The forward PEG ratio of 2.28 reflects a premium valuation. Analysts expect EPS to grow -17.9% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $106.82, with bear and bull scenarios of $70.03 and $241.11 respectively. Model confidence stands at 63/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
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Start ComparisonWall Street's consensus price target for TGT is $102.87, -9.6% from its current price of $113.79. The below-market target from 58 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.
TGT has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 58 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 28 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $102.87 implies -9.6% downside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 15.6116x, TGT trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $102.87 implies -9.6% move, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $130 for TGT, while the most conservative target is $80. The consensus of $102.87 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $241 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
TGT is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 58 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 26 have Buy ratings, 28 recommend Hold, and 4 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month TGT stock forecast based on 58 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $102.87, with estimates ranging from $80 (bear case) to $130 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $107, with bear/bull scenarios of $70/$241.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates TGT's fair value at $107 (base case), with a bear case of $70 and bull case of $241. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 63/100.
TGT trades at a forward P/E ratio of 15.6x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 12.8x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Analysts are cautious on TGT, with 4 Sell ratings and a price target of $102.87 (-9.6% from current price). The "Hold" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
TGT analyst price targets range from $80 to $130, a 49% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $102.87 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $70-$241 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.