0.4% Below Target

The consensus price target for TGT is $131.26, close to the current price of $130.74 (0.4% implied move). Based on 60 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.

TGT has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 60 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 29 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $131.26 implies 0.4% upside from current levels.

With a forward P/E of 15.5884x, TGT trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $131.26 implies 0.4% appreciation, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $155 for TGT, while the most conservative target is $81. The consensus of $131.26 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $196 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

TGT is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 60 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 27 have Buy ratings, 29 recommend Hold, and 4 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

The 12-month TGT stock forecast based on 60 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $131.26, with estimates ranging from $81 (bear case) to $155 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $149, with bear/bull scenarios of $94/$196.

Our quantitative valuation model calculates TGT's fair value at $149 (base case), with a bear case of $94 and bull case of $196. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 64/100.

TGT trades at a forward P/E ratio of 15.6x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 16.1x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

TGT appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Hold" rating and minimal upside to the $131.26 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

TGT analyst price targets range from $81 to $155, a 56% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $131.26 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $94-$196 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.