TJX trades 32.3% below Wall Street's consensus target of $174.15.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes TJX achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 28.1x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 53 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of September 24, 2026, The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $174.15, based on estimates from 53 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $131.64, this represents a potential upside of +32.3%. The company has a market capitalization of $145.42B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $145.00 to a high of $198.00, representing a 30% spread in expectations. The median target of $175.00 aligns closely with the consensus average.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 45 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,7 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.
From a valuation perspective, TJX trades at a trailing P/E of 27.0x and forward P/E of 28.1x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.21 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow -13.8% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $189.11, with bear and bull scenarios of $119.14 and $249.16 respectively. Model confidence stands at 53/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 ROSTRoss Stores, Inc. | $75.7B | $233.98 | $274.14 | +17.2% | Buy | 35.9x | 47 |
 BURLBurlington Stores, Inc. | $16.2B | $257.33 | $383.30 | +49.0% | Buy | 26.3x | 35 |
 OLLIOllie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. | $5.0B | $82.61 | $100.80 | +22.0% | Buy | 21.3x | 28 |
 MMacy's, Inc. | $5.8B | $22.24 | $24.25 | +9.0% | Hold | 10.2x | 41 |
 KSSKohl's Corporation | $1.9B | $17.05 | $15.50 | -9.1% | Hold | 12.2x | 39 |
 DXLGDestination XL Group, Inc. | $32M | $0.59 | — | — | — | — | — |
 NKENIKE, Inc. | $53.3B | $36.05 | $48.43 | +34.3% | Buy | 21.2x | 71 |
 PVHPVH Corp. | $3.5B | $75.39 | $91.00 | +20.7% | Buy | 6.9x | 38 |
 HBIHanesbrands Inc. | $2.3B | $6.47 | $7.25 | +12.1% | Buy | 9.8x | 34 |
 RLRalph Lauren Corporation | $20.6B | $337.47 | $456.67 | +35.3% | Buy | 20.7x | 48 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying TJX stock.
The consensus Wall Street price target for TJX is $174.15, representing 32.3% upside from the current price of $131.64. With 53 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
TJX has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 53 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 45 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $174.15 implies 32.3% upside from current levels.
TJX trades at a forward P/E of 28.1054x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $174.15 (32.3% implied move), the stock appears reasonably valued with upside.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $198 for TJX, while the most conservative target is $145. The consensus of $174.15 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $249 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
TJX is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 53 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 1 have Strong Buy ratings, 44 have Buy ratings, 7 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month TJX stock forecast based on 53 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $174.15, with estimates ranging from $145 (bear case) to $198 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $189, with bear/bull scenarios of $119/$249.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates TJX's fair value at $189 (base case), with a bear case of $119 and bull case of $249. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 53/100.
TJX trades at a forward P/E ratio of 28.1x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 27.0x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on TJX, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $174.15 price target (32.3% upside). 45 of 53 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
TJX analyst price targets range from $145 to $198, a 30% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $174.15 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $119-$249 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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