Bull case
SWKS would need investors to value it at roughly 48x earnings — about 34x more generous than today's 14x forward P/E. That requires meaningful multiple expansion on top of continued earnings growth.
Wall Street verdict, consensus price target, and analyst rating breakdown — everything needed to frame the risk/reward at today's price.
Three scenarios for where SWKS stock could go
SWKS would need investors to value it at roughly 48x earnings — about 34x more generous than today's 14x forward P/E. That requires meaningful multiple expansion on top of continued earnings growth.
At 17x on FY1 earnings, the base case reflects a reasonable but not stretched valuation. It prices in continued growth without assuming an exceptional setup.
If investor confidence fades or macro conditions deteriorate, a 5x multiple contraction could push SWKS down roughly 33% from where it trades now.
Not financial advice. Model confidence reflects internal scenario assumptions, not a guarantee of returns. Past performance does not predict future results.

Skyworks Solutions is a semiconductor company that designs and manufactures specialized analog chips for wireless connectivity. It generates revenue primarily from selling radio frequency (RF) components — including amplifiers, filters, and front-end modules — to smartphone makers (roughly 70% of sales) and other electronics manufacturers. The company's moat comes from its deep expertise in analog RF design and strong relationships with major smartphone OEMs like Apple.
Quarterly beat-or-miss track record against analyst estimates, plus forward revenue and EPS outlook for the next two fiscal years.
| Quarter | EPS (Actual / Est) | EPS Surprise | Revenue (Actual / Est) | Rev Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | $1.33/$1.24 | +7.3% | $965M/$1.0B | -4.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.76/$1.52 | +15.8% | $1.1B/$1.0B | +5.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.54/$1.40 | +10.0% | $1.0B/$1.0B | +3.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.15/$1.04 | +10.6% | $944M/$902M | +4.7% |
SWKS beat EPS estimates in 4 of 4 tracked quarters. A perfect track record raises the bar for the upcoming report.
Product and geographic revenue mix from the latest annual disclosure, with year-over-year growth by segment.
Latest annual revenue by segment or product family
Latest annual revenue by reported region
Tap, hover, or focus a slice to inspect segment detail.
Current multiples compared to the S&P 500, the company's sector, and its own five-year average.
Fair value est. $284 — implies +308.8% from today's price.
| Metric | SWKS | S&P 500 | Technology | 5Y Avg SWKS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward PE | 13.8x | 19.1x-28% | 21.7x-36% | — |
| Trailing PE | 21.1x | 25.2x-16% | 27.2x-22% | 19.4x |
| PEG Ratio | — | 1.74x | 1.47x | — |
| EV/EBITDA | 10.2x | 15.2x-33% | 17.3x-41% | 11.5x-12% |
| Price/FCF | 8.8x | 21.3x-58% | 19.8x-55% | 14.0x-37% |
| Price/Sales | 2.4x | 3.1x-24% | 2.4x | 3.6x-33% |
| Dividend Yield | 4.29% | 1.87% | 1.18% | 2.57% |
Forward P/E and PEG reflect analyst consensus estimates. Historical averages use trailing ratios where forward data is unavailable.S&P 500 and sector benchmarks both use trailing median P/E — similar readings indicate the broader index and sector are priced alike.
Open valuation toolSWKS generates $697M in free cash flow at a 17.2% margin — returns 4.7% of market cap to shareholders annually.
Revenue, margins, and cash generation
ROIC, leverage, and debt serviceability
~0.1 years to full repayment at current FCF run-rate
How capital is returned to owners
All figures from the trailing twelve months. ROIC uses invested capital (equity + net debt).
Open full ratios pageKey factors that could pressure the stock price, compress the multiple, or weigh on future results.
AI analysis · updated April 29, 2026
A significant portion of Skyworks' revenue is derived from a few key customers, particularly Apple. A decline in demand from these customers or changes in their purchasing strategies could materially impact Skyworks' financial results.
The semiconductor industry is highly competitive, with major players like Broadcom and Qualcomm posing significant threats. Skyworks must continuously innovate to maintain its market position and profitability amidst this intense competition.
Skyworks has experienced a consistent decline in gross, operating, and net margins over the past several years. This trend indicates underlying issues such as pricing pressure and rising input costs that are eroding profitability.
The company has struggled with consistent long-term revenue growth, with recent sales figures being comparable to those from five years ago. Revenue projections for the next 12 months indicate a potential decline.
Rising operating expenses have outpaced revenue growth, which could squeeze profit margins. Additionally, restructuring charges have negatively impacted operating income.
Skyworks faces ongoing legal battles, including patent infringement litigation, which can incur significant costs and disrupt business operations. Regulatory challenges related to its pending merger with Qorvo also pose risks.
Skyworks has limited exposure to the growing artificial intelligence (AI) market, which is driving demand for specialized chips in other companies. This could represent a structural headwind for future growth.
The potential merger with Qorvo introduces regulatory uncertainties and risks that could impact long-term earnings. Investors should be cautious of the implications this merger may have on the company's future.
These are risk mechanisms, not predictions. The key question is which would force a cut to earnings estimates or a lower multiple than the market currently prices in.
Structural drivers behind the upside case and why the stock could outperform over the next 12 months.
AI analysis · updated April 29, 2026
Skyworks reported a strong first quarter of fiscal year 2026, exceeding guidance with revenue of $1.035 billion and non-GAAP EPS of $1.54. This performance was driven by upside in mobile and continued strength in broad markets.
Skyworks is strategically diversifying its revenue streams by catering to a range of markets beyond mobile, including automotive, industrial, and data center applications. Broad markets revenue showed an 11% year-over-year growth and 4% sequential growth, marking the eighth consecutive quarter of expansion.
The announced merger with Qorvo is viewed as a strategic and transformative move, with expected synergies of over $500 million and target combined gross margins in the 50%-55% range. This merger is anticipated to close in early calendar 2027, subject to approvals.
Skyworks is well-positioned to benefit from the exponential growth in the Internet of Things (IoT) and the ongoing implementation of 5G technology. The company's semiconductors are crucial for connecting devices in various applications, driving demand for Skyworks' products.
The company has a strong balance sheet with significant cash reserves and manageable debt. They also have a history of returning capital to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.
A real bull case compounds — each driver matters most when it strengthens margins, supports capital returns, and keeps the company above the market's minimum growth bar simultaneously.
52-week range context and price returns across multiple time horizons. Dividend contribution is shown separately in the Capital Return section.
Range context matters because valuation compression and earnings misses rarely hit from the same starting point. A stock already far below its high can still fall, but it is no longer carrying the same embedded optimism as one pressing a fresh peak.
Valuation, growth, and margin comparison against the closest publicly traded peers for this company.
| Company | Mkt Cap | Fwd PE | Rev Grw | Margin | Rating | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SWK SWKS Skyworks Solutions, Inc. | $9.8B | 13.8x | -4.8% | 8.9% | Buy | -3.4% |
QRV QRVO Qorvo, Inc. | $8.2B | 13.7x | -0.4% | 9.2% | Hold | -4.1% |
AVG AVGO Broadcom Inc. | $2.02T | 37.6x | +38.9% | 36.6% | Buy | +4.3% |
ADI ADI Analog Devices, Inc. | $202.9B | 36.4x | +16.0% | 23.0% | Buy | -9.9% |
MPW MPWR Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. | $81.2B | 76.7x | +22.7% | 22.1% | Buy | -2.3% |
QCO QCOM QUALCOMM Incorporated | $203.1B | 17.9x | +1.4% | 22.3% | Hold | -9.2% |
This peer comparison reflects companies with similar business models, product lines, or market positioning, supplemented by industry grouping when direct matches are limited.
SWKS returns 4.7% total yield, led by a 4.29% dividend, raised 12 consecutive years.
Yield, cadence, and growth quality
How much per-share support comes from repurchases
| Year | Div / Share | YoY Grw | BB Yield | Total Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0.71 | — | — | — |
| 2025 | $2.82 | +2.2% | 0.4% | 4.0% |
| 2024 | $2.76 | +6.2% | 0.7% | 3.5% |
| 2023 | $2.60 | +10.2% | 1.3% | 3.9% |
| 2022 | $2.36 | +11.3% | 7.0% | 9.7% |
Common questions answered from live analyst data and company financials.
Skyworks Solutions, Inc. (SWKS) is rated Buy by Wall Street analysts as of 2026. Of 59 analysts covering the stock, 36 rate it Buy or Strong Buy, 21 rate it Hold, and 2 rate it Sell or Strong Sell. The consensus 12-month price target is $63, implying -3.4% from the current price of $65. The bear case scenario is $43 and the bull case is $225.
The Wall Street consensus price target for SWKS is $63 based on 59 analyst estimates. The high-end target is $75 (+15.4% from today), and the low-end target is $46 (-29.2%). The base case model target is $79.
SWKS trades at 13.8x times forward earnings. The stock currently trades at a discount to the broader market. Based on current multiples versus the peer group, the relative model signals significantly undervalued. Whether the stock is over or undervalued ultimately depends on whether consensus earnings estimates are achievable.
The primary risks for SWKS in 2026 are: (1) Customer Concentration — A significant portion of Skyworks' revenue is derived from a few key customers, particularly Apple. (2) Intense Competition — The semiconductor industry is highly competitive, with major players like Broadcom and Qualcomm posing significant threats. (3) Declining Margins — Skyworks has experienced a consistent decline in gross, operating, and net margins over the past several years. Each factor has the potential to pressure earnings or compress the stock's valuation multiple.
Analyst consensus estimates SWKS will report consensus revenue of $3.8B (-4.8% year-over-year) and EPS of $3.63 (+51.2% year-over-year) for the upcoming fiscal year. The following year, analysts project $3.8B in revenue.
Skyworks Solutions, Inc. is expected to report its next earnings on approximately 2026-05-06. Consensus expects EPS of $1.04 and revenue of $902M. Over recent quarters, SWKS has beaten EPS estimates 92% of the time.
Skyworks Solutions, Inc. (SWKS) generated $697M in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months — a free cash flow margin of 17.2%. SWKS returns capital to shareholders through dividends (4.3% yield) and share repurchases ($44M TTM).