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TTETotalEnergies SE
$86.27$192.1B
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TotalEnergies SE (TTE) Research Brief

Wall Street consensus, price target range, and equity research thesis

Buy34 Analyst Coverage
Consensus Target
$103+19.4% Upside
Current: $86.27
Analyst Range
Low $103High $103
12-Month High/Low Spread
Ratings Mix
20 Buy·13 Hold·1 Sell
Earnings & Valuation
EPS Beat 0.8%
Forward P/E: 8.0x

Executive Summary & Research Take

Wall Street currently rates TTE buy with a 12-month price target of $103 (+19.4% upside). The sections below cover the bull case, key risks, and latest earnings context for TotalEnergies SE.

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Analyst Research Summary

Investment Thesis: Bull Case & Risk Factors

A structured look at the bull case, the risks, and the most recent earnings execution for TTE.

Current setup

TTE beat estimates last quarter. Below are the key reasons analysts remain constructive and the risks that could change that view.

Bull Case

What keeps the long thesis intact

  • Strong Financial PerformanceTotalEnergies reported significant earnings per share (EPS) and revenue beats in Q1 2026, driven by elevated commodity prices and effective strategic positioning.
  • Operational ResilienceDespite operational disruptions in the Middle East, TotalEnergies' oil and gas production has exceeded expectations, surpassing guidance for 2026.
  • Growth CatalystsThe company has strategic growth projects in Namibia and is expanding its integrated LNG business, with production growth in Australia, the U.S., and Malaysia.
  • Financial Health and Shareholder ReturnsTotalEnergies maintains a strong balance sheet with a low gearing ratio and is committed to increasing dividends and share buybacks.
  • Analyst SentimentThe overall analyst rating for TTE is a 'Moderate Buy' or 'Buy,' with some analysts upgrading the stock, indicating a strong long-term investment case.
  • ValuationWith a P/E ratio around 15, TotalEnergies SE appears reasonably valued compared to its earnings, appealing to value investors.

Wall Street rates TTE buy, giving the bull case institutional backing from 34 analysts.

Watch Out For

What can break the setup quickly

  • Overvaluation ConcernsThe stock's price-to-earnings-growth (PEG) ratio suggests it may be overvalued relative to its growth rate, with forecasts indicating potential price declines.
  • Liquidity and Debt RisksTotalEnergies has a low quick ratio, indicating potential liquidity concerns, and rising interest rates could pose risks despite moderate debt levels.
  • Market Volatility and Geopolitical RisksThe energy sector is subject to market volatility and geopolitical risks, with operational disruptions in the Middle East already affecting production.
  • Slower Growth Compared to MarketTotalEnergies' earnings and revenue growth are forecast to be slower than the broader market.
  • Mixed Analyst RatingsWhile many analysts rate the stock as a buy, there are also hold and sell ratings, indicating differing opinions on future performance.
  • Short-Term Price DeclinesSome analyses suggest the stock might be nearing a cyclic peak, with expectations of a potential reset and instances of premarket trading declines.

Watch whether new negative commentary on TTE points to these structural risks or is simply reacting to short-term price moves.

TTE Earnings Reaction — What the Last Quarter Showed

Last Quarter

EPS
$2.68 vs $2.66 est.Beat 0.8%
Revenue
$57.1B vs $55.1B est.Beat 3.6%
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TTE — Frequently Asked Questions

Quick answers to the most common questions about buying TTE stock.

What is the analyst consensus on TTE?
Verdict

TTE has modest upside — analysts rate it "Buy" with a $103 target, implying +19.4% from today's $86.27. This is informational only — verify the data and consider your own risk tolerance before deciding.

What are recent analyst rating changes for TTE?
Timing

Timing depends on your horizon, but the data signals are: consensus rating "Buy" with +19.4% upside to the $103 target.

What is the price target for TTE stock?
Price Target

TTE's consensus 12-month price target is $103, set by 34 Wall Street analysts. The bull case high is $103 and the bear case low is $103. From the current price of $86.27, this implies +19.4% upside.

Is TTE overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation

TTE appears undervalued — the $103 consensus target is +19.4% above today's $86.27. It trades at a forward P/E of 8.0x. Targets range from $103 (bear) to $103 (bull), reflecting different assumptions about growth and margins.

What were TTE's latest earnings results?
Earnings

TTE reports next quarter. Earnings-week moves are volatile — historically, analyst targets revise upward after a beat and downward after a miss. The current consensus is "Buy" with a $103 target. Consider position sizing rather than going all-in pre-print.

What is the bull case for TTE?
Coverage

Of 34 analysts covering TotalEnergies SE (TTE): 1 Strong Buy, 19 Buy, 13 Hold, 1 Sell, 0 Strong Sell — a "Buy" consensus. The 12-month price target is $103 (range $103–$103). Bullish analysts outnumber bearish by more than 2-to-1.

What are the risks of investing in TTE?
Risks

1 of the 34 analysts covering TTE rate it Sell or Strong Sell. Common concerns include valuation stretch, slowing growth, and sector-specific headwinds — see the Bull vs. Risk cards above for the specific theses on TotalEnergies SE.

Financial Data & Software Notice: VCP Scanner is an educational financial research database and stock screening software platform. VCP Scanner does not generate, recommend, or package trade decisions, buy/sell signals, or personalized investment advice. Consensus ratings and price targets reflect aggregated third-party Wall Street analyst research from public SEC filings. See our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy.