Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc. (AD)
Valuation Overview•Is Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc. Overvalued or Undervalued?
Trading at a relative discount to industry peers, suggesting a specific risk premium is applied.
Moderate quality score of 50/100, reflecting stable operating margins and manageable leverage.
Analysts remain bullish, forecasting further upside expansion with consensus targets suggesting solid gains.
Verdict: Average quality business weighed down by significant solvency concerns.
Wall Street is highly bullish, projecting significant upside. This outlook is strongly supported by highly attractive capital returns, anchored by a strong, well-covered dividend yield.
AD demonstrates adequate business quality with stable profitability. This is paired with a moderately leveraged but stable balance sheet.
The company is facing top-line contraction (-66.1% 3Y CAGR) paired with highly explosive earnings growth (111.9% EPS 3Y CAGR). However, profitability remains a major concern with severely compressed operating margins (4.0%).
| Financial Metric | Trend (12Q) | Latest Qtr | 1Y Growth | 3Y CAGR | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $52.0M | -95.7% | -66.1% | -47.4% | -27.4% | |
| EBITDA | $17.7M | — | — | — | — | |
| Net Income | $178.2M | +846.0% | +113.2% | — | +1.9% | |
| EPS (Diluted) | $2.06 | +823.9% | +111.9% | +4.9% | +1.6% | |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.0B | +709.4% | — | +60.5% | — |
| Metric | TTM | 3Y Avg | 5Y Avg | 10Y Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 54.0% | 44.7% | 48.1% | 51.4% |
| Operating Margin | 4.0% | -9.0% | -4.2% | -1.7% |
| Net Margin | 41.9% | 59.6% | 36.7% | 19.7% |
| FCF Margin | 332.8% | 543.7% | 318.5% | 160.7% |
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | EPS | Rev |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2'26Latest | $0.91 | $2.08 | +127.8% | ||
| Q1'26 | $0.32 | $0.48 | +50.0% | ||
| Q4'25 | $0.25 | $0.97 | +288.0% | ||
| Q3'25 | $0.33 | $0.36 | +9.1% | ||
| Q2'25 | $0.37 | $0.21 | -43.2% | ||
| Q1'25 | $-0.03 | $0.05 | +300.0% | ||
| Q4'24 | — | $0.06 | — | ||
| Q4'24 | $0.12 | $-0.92 | -866.7% |
Total return is +37.8% (1Y), outperforming the benchmark by +12.8%
| Period | Total Return | vs S&P 500 (Alpha) | Dividend Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| YTD | +11.3% | +2.0% | — |
| 1Y | +37.8% | +12.8% | +73.3% |
| 3YCAGR | +72.8% | +53.4% | +274.7% |
| 5YCAGR | +17.9% | +4.3% | +121.2% |
| 10YCAGR | +8.1% | -5.4% | — |
The S&P 500 is at 31.3x trailing P/E — Expensive relative to historical averages.
Quick answers to common questions about Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc. (AD) valuation, health, and returns.
Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc. is estimated to be fairly valued under our discounted cash flow framework. relative multiples indicate the stock is Cheap versus peers compared to industry peers. trading near fair value (DCF: $0.00)
Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc. has multiple valuation anchors: DCF Intrinsic Value: $0.00 | Peer Relative Fair Value: $141.74 | Wall Street Analyst Target: $52.50 (implying +35.1% upside). A convergence of these signals offers higher conviction.
Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc. displays fair financial health with a composite quality score of 50/100, supported by a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of -0.6%.
Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc. pays a 58.7% dividend yield, covered by a 683% payout ratio with 0 years of growth, supplemented by a 0.6% buyback yield.
Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc.'s current growth trajectory is Decelerating. The company achieved -95.7% 1Y revenue growth and +823.9% 1Y EPS growth, compared to its 3Y revenue CAGR of -66.1%.
Wall Street consensus is Buy based on 5 analysts, beating EPS expectations in 71% of recent quarters with a 4-quarter streak. The consensus price target represents a +35.1% change from current levels.
Investment risks for Array Digital Infrastructure, Inc. include: -49.5% 1-year max drawdown, stretched payout ratio. Volatility risk is characterized by a beta of 0.38x.
No. These computations are purely quantitative model outputs for informational purposes. They do not account for qualitative management shifts or macro events. Always consult a licensed RIA before buying or selling shares.
Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All valuation models, scores, and target estimates are automated computations under stated assumptions and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.