MODEL VERDICT
AudioEye, Inc. (AEYE)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
Popular:
Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Price / Free Cash Flow 125 industry peers | $1.40 | -82.7% | 15% | B+ | Peer Data |
| EV/FCF 126 industry peers | $1.27 | -84.3% | 7% | B | Model Driven |
| EV To Revenue 160 industry peers | $11.83 | +46.6% | 4% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 162 industry peers | $12.36 | +53.2% | 3% | B | Model Driven |
| FCF Yield 126 industry peers | $1.44 | -82.2% | 1% | B | Data |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $4.36 | -46.0% | 100% | 67 | SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/TBV | 38.72 | 34.54 | 5.43 | 80.36 | 33.49 |
| P/B Ratio | 14.72 | 10.03 | 4.15 | 31.51 | 10.49 |
| P/S Ratio | 5.36 | 3.53 | 1.47 | 11.75 | 4.10 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 11 valuation metrics, the model estimates AEYE's fair value at $4.36 vs the current price of $8.07, implying -46.0% downside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Overvalued. Confidence: 67/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $4.36 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $2.76 (P10) to $5.57 (P90), with a median of $4.14.
AEYE's current P/E of -22.4x compares to the industry median of 30.5x (75 peers in the group). This represents a -173.5% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is N/Ax over 0 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
No analyst coverage data is available for AEYE.
The model confidence score is 67/100, based on: data completeness (15), peer quality (25), historical depth (20), earnings stability (5), and model agreement (2). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows moderate agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for AEYE.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.