Intrinsic Value (DCF)
Current$141.12
→
Intrinsic$209.87
+49%
$145.36$209.87$332.37
Market implies 8% growth for 5 years
DCF analysis suggests CRUS could have 49% upside at 18% growth — verify assumptions match your view.
At $141, the market prices in 8% annual cash flow growth — a moderate expectation aligned with historical trends (18%).
Range: Bear $145 → Bull $332. Current price implies expectations below the bear case — very conservative expectations.
| Discount ↓Growth → | 14% | 16% | 18% | 20% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8% | $253 | $274 | $296 | $320 |
| 10% | $180 | $195 | $210 | $226 |
| 12% | $140 | $151 | $162 | $174 |
| 14% | $115 | $123 | $132 | $141 |
Bull Case
- Bull case ($332) offers 136% upside at 21% growth, 9% discount
- Price below even worst-case scenario — strong margin of safety
- Market-implied growth (8%) ≤ historical CAGR (18%)
Bear Case
- Bear case ($145) with 14% growth, 12% discount rate
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5-Year Free Cash Flow Projection
Year 1$489.78M
Year 2$577.18M
Year 3$680.17M
Year 4$801.54M
Year 5$944.57M
Terminal$13.90B
📐 Model Inputs
Growth Rate17.8%5Y CAGR (cascade: 5Y→3Y→TTM)
Discount Rate10.0%WACC estimate
Terminal Growth3.0%Perpetuity rate
Base Free Cash Flow$415.61MTTM actual
Bear g×0.8, r+2%
Base Historical CAGR
Bull g×1.2, r−1.5%
DCF estimates based on historical growth rates extrapolated forward. See FAQ below for full methodology.