MODEL VERDICT
Domo, Inc. (DOMO)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
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Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV To Revenue 160 industry peers | $27.36 | +418.2% | 4% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 162 industry peers | $30.70 | +481.4% | 3% | B | Model Driven |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $26.84 | +408.3% | 100% | 66 | SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/S Ratio | 3.47 | 1.77 | 0.80 | 10.12 | 3.62 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 5 valuation metrics, the model estimates DOMO's fair value at $26.84 vs the current price of $5.28, implying +408.3% upside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Undervalued. Confidence: 66/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $26.84 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $15.93 (P10) to $42.15 (P90), with a median of $28.67.
DOMO's current P/E of -2.5x compares to the industry median of 30.5x (75 peers in the group). This represents a -108.1% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is N/Ax over 0 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
13 analysts cover DOMO with a consensus rating of Buy. The consensus price target is $11.50 (range: $10.00 — $13.00), implying +117.8% upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (9), Hold (4), Sell (0), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 66/100, based on: data completeness (6), peer quality (25), historical depth (20), earnings stability (5), and model agreement (10). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows moderate agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for DOMO.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.