MODEL VERDICT
Helport AI Limited (HPAI)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
Popular:
Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry Median P/E 52 industry peers | $4.75 | +64.4% | 15% | A | Peer Data |
| EV/EBIT 58 industry peers | $4.92 | +70.2% | 8% | B+ | Peer Data |
| Earnings Yield 56 industry peers | $4.87 | +68.5% | 2% | B | Data |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $5.15 | +78.1% | 100% | 56 | SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERVALUED |
| EPS Growth ↓ | P/E Multiple → | 10× | 12× | 14× (Current) | 16× | 18× |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear Case (4%) | $2 | $2 | $3 | $3 | $4 |
| Conservative (7%) | $2 | $3 | $3 | $3 | $4 |
| Base Case (10.0%) | $2 | $3 | $3 | $4 | $4 |
| Bull Case (14%) | $2 | $3 | $3 | $4 | $4 |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 6 valuation metrics, the model estimates HPAI's fair value at $5.15 vs the current price of $2.89, implying +78.1% upside potential. Model verdict: Significantly Undervalued. Confidence: 56/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $5.15 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $3.13 (P10) to $6.66 (P90), with a median of $4.84.
HPAI's current P/E of 14.4x compares to the industry median of 23.7x (52 peers in the group). This represents a -39.1% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is N/Ax over 0 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
No analyst coverage data is available for HPAI.
The model confidence score is 56/100, based on: data completeness (18), peer quality (25), historical depth (5), earnings stability (5), and model agreement (3). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows moderate agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for HPAI.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.