Intrinsic Value (DCF)
Current$409.03
→
Intrinsic$658.64
+61%
$436.49$658.64$1,100.31
Market implies 8% growth for 5 years
DCF analysis suggests INTU could have 61% upside at 20% growth — verify assumptions match your view.
At $409, the market prices in 8% annual cash flow growth — a moderate expectation aligned with historical trends (20%).
Range: Bear $436 → Bull $1100. Current price implies expectations below the bear case — very conservative expectations.
| Discount ↓Growth → | 16% | 18% | 20% | 22% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8% | $830 | $901 | $977 | $1058 |
| 10% | $561 | $608 | $659 | $712 |
| 12% | $420 | $454 | $491 | $530 |
| 14% | $332 | $359 | $388 | $418 |
Bull Case
- Bull case ($1100) offers 169% upside at 24% growth, 8% discount
- Price below even worst-case scenario — strong margin of safety
- Market-implied growth (8%) ≤ historical CAGR (20%)
Bear Case
- Bear case ($436) with 16% growth, 12% discount rate
Loading charts...
5-Year Free Cash Flow Projection
Year 1$7.28B
Year 2$8.71B
Year 3$10.42B
Year 4$12.47B
Year 5$14.92B
Terminal$236.38B
📐 Model Inputs
Growth Rate19.7%5Y CAGR (cascade: 5Y→3Y→TTM)
Discount Rate9.5%WACC estimate
Terminal Growth3.0%Perpetuity rate
Base Free Cash Flow$6.08BTTM actual
Bear g×0.8, r+2%
Base Historical CAGR
Bull g×1.2, r−1.5%
DCF estimates based on historical growth rates extrapolated forward. See FAQ below for full methodology.