MODEL VERDICT
KVH Industries, Inc. (KVHI)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
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Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward P/E 31 analyst estimates | $4.75 | -20.8% | 20% | A- | Analyst Est. |
| EV To Revenue 37 industry peers | $17.49 | +191.5% | 4% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 37 industry peers | $11.30 | +88.3% | 3% | B | Model Driven |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $6.33 | +5.5% | 100% | 61 | SLIGHTLY UNDERVALUED |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV/EBITDA | 93.50 | 43.23 | 22.33 | 214.93 | 105.68 |
| P/FFO | 23.29 | 19.85 | 4.34 | 49.12 | 22.25 |
| P/TBV | 1.48 | 1.38 | 0.69 | 3.09 | 0.79 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.22 | 1.30 | 0.68 | 1.77 | 0.38 |
| P/S Ratio | 1.13 | 1.23 | 0.76 | 1.37 | 0.21 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 8 valuation metrics, the model estimates KVHI's fair value at $6.33 vs the current price of $6.00, implying +5.5% upside potential. Model verdict: Slightly Undervalued. Confidence: 61/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $6.33 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $4.40 (P10) to $9.87 (P90), with a median of $7.13.
KVHI's current P/E of -10.5x compares to the industry median of 35.2x (19 peers in the group). This represents a -129.9% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is N/Ax over 0 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
4 analysts cover KVHI with a consensus rating of Buy. The consensus price target is $13.00 (range: $13.00 — $13.00), implying +116.7% upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (3), Hold (1), Sell (0), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 61/100, based on: data completeness (9), peer quality (25), historical depth (20), earnings stability (5), and model agreement (2). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows moderate agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for KVHI.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.