MODEL VERDICT
Lifecore Biomedical, Inc. (LFCR)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
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Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV To Revenue 44 industry peers | $8.25 | +10.6% | 4% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 44 industry peers | $9.14 | +22.5% | 3% | B | Model Driven |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $7.74 | +3.7% | 100% | 63 | FAIRLY VALUED |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
| Multiple | Avg | Median | Min | Max | Std |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV/EBITDA | 63.59 | 69.81 | 48.88 | 72.08 | 12.79 |
| P/TBV | 2.44 | 2.42 | 2.18 | 2.74 | 0.26 |
| P/B Ratio | 40.60 | 1.89 | 1.20 | 213.19 | 85.03 |
| P/S Ratio | 1.95 | 1.98 | 0.58 | 3.22 | 0.78 |
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 5 valuation metrics, the model estimates LFCR's fair value at $7.74 vs the current price of $7.46, implying +3.7% upside potential. Model verdict: Fairly Valued. Confidence: 63/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $7.74 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $5.57 (P10) to $11.08 (P90), with a median of $8.31.
LFCR's current P/E of -5.9x compares to the industry median of 28.7x (19 peers in the group). This represents a -120.4% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is N/Ax over 0 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
7 analysts cover LFCR with a consensus rating of Buy. The consensus price target is $6.50 (range: $5.00 — $8.00), implying -12.9% upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (0), Buy (4), Hold (3), Sell (0), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 63/100, based on: data completeness (6), peer quality (25), historical depth (20), earnings stability (5), and model agreement (7). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows moderate agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for LFCR.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.