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PNCThe PNC Financial Services Group, Inc.
$250.99$100.1B
Overview & Verdict
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The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. (PNC)

Valuation Overview•Is The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. Overvalued or Undervalued?
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OverviewDCF ValuationRelative ValuationEstimates
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OverviewUpdated Jul 18, 2026

Trading above intrinsic value estimates while Wall Street expects further upside

Valuation Alignment Spectrum
Relative Fair Value$233.01
-7.8% vs market
Current Price$249.26
Live Exchange Feeds
DCF Intrinsic Value$259.20
+2.5% implied move
Analyst Price Target$279.36
+11.3% upside (46 analysts)
Relative$233.01
Market$249.26
DCF$259.20
Wall St$279.36
Relative Fair Value
$233.01-7.8% vs market
Current Price
$249.26Live Exchange Feeds
DCF Intrinsic Value
$259.20+2.5% implied move
Analyst Price Target
$279.36+11.3% upside (46 analysts)
Valuation Profile

Commands a premium valuation multiple over its peers, likely pricing in superior execution.

Financial Health

Moderate quality score of 53/100, reflecting stable operating margins and manageable leverage.

Wall Street Outlook

Analysts remain bullish, forecasting further upside expansion with consensus targets suggesting solid gains.

Company Quality

Overall Quality
53/100
RatingGrade C+
C+
Investment Read

Verdict: Average quality business weighed down by significant solvency concerns.

EdgeReliable growth supports ongoing operations.
RiskSevere deficiencies in solvency threaten the overall investment thesis.
ImplicationRequires a deep value discount to justify the risk.
Core Pillars
Profitability
60/100Strong
ROIC: 5.4% | ROE: 12.0%
Solvency Health
35/100Weak
Piotroski F-Score: 6/9
Growth Trajectory
64/100Strong
3Y ROIC Avg: 4.8% | 5Y Gross Margin Avg: 77.1%
Quality Diagnostics
Economic MoatROIC 5.4% — below cost of capital
No Moat
Cash Return QualityOCF/NI conversion: Weak
0.63x
Altman Z-ScoreBankruptcy Risk: N/A
—
Piotroski F-ScoreMomentum: Moderate
6/9

Investment Narrative

Wall Street is broadly bullish, projecting solid upside with steady expected earnings growth. This is paired with healthy capital returns, anchored by a strong, well-covered dividend yield.

Wall St Estimates

Forward Valuation46 Analysts
Fwd P/E Ratio
13.2xDiscount: 12% vs trailing
Fwd EPS
$18.96Model: $19.21
Fwd PEG Ratio
0.63Cheap
Fwd EV/EBITDA
14.9xForward Estimate
Implied Growth
+8.0%EPS YoY (Implied)
Model Confidence
54%Quantitative Score
Earnings Beat Rate
100%14Q Beat Streak
Analyst Rating DistributionConsensus: Buy
Buy/Strong Buy: 23Hold: 22Sell: 1

Shareholder Returns

4.0%Yield
Total Shareholder Yield
Div: 2.7%Buyback: 1.3%
Hybrid — Dividends + Buybacks
FCF Yield4.4%Adequate
Earnings Yield6.6%E/P Inverse
Owner Yield7.0%$7.0B
Dividend Health Diagnostics
At RiskVery Safe
Safe
Payout Ratio38%
DPS (Annual)$6.69
Streak15YContender
Dividend CAGR
3Y+4.3%5Y+8.1%
Share Δ 1Y
-1.5%
Return Contribution (10Y)+61% return boost

Fundamental Analysis

Profitability & Financial Health

Fundamental Quality Synthesis

PNC demonstrates strong business quality with robust profitability and healthy margins. However, this is severely offset by a highly leveraged balance sheet (Debt/EBITDA > 4.0x) and elevated financial risk.

Moat & Profitability

60
Capital Returns
3Y Avg ROIC
4.8%
5Y Avg ROE
11.4%
ROA (TTM)
1.3%
Margin Profile
5Y Avg Gross Margin
77.1%
Operating Margin
27.5%
5Y Avg Net Margin
22.3%
FCF Margin
21.3%
Income QualityOperating Cash Flow / Net Income
0.63x

Balance Sheet & Risk

35
Liquidity & Leverage
Debt/Equity
0.94
Interest Coverage
0.78x
Current Ratio
0.11
Quick Ratio
0.11
Total Cash$39.7B
Total Debt$57.1B
Net Debt$17.4B
Altman Z-Score
—Unknown
Piotroski F-Score
6/9Typical
1ROA > 0
2OCF > 0
3ROA ↑ YoY
4OCF > NI
5Leverage ↓
6Liquidity ↑
7No dilution
8Margin ↑
9Turnover ↑
Deep Dive Financials

Growth & Efficiency Synthesis

64Good

The company maintains stable top-line performance paired with stable bottom-line earnings. This growth is supported by elite operational efficiency, sustaining an impressive 27.5% operating margin.

Growth Trajectory Matrix

Growth Trend:Decelerating
Financial MetricTrend (12Q)Latest Qtr1Y Growth3Y CAGR5Y CAGR10Y CAGR
Revenue
$6.2B-7.0%——+6.8%
EBITDA
$2.3B—+1.8%——
Net Income
$1.8B+17.8%+4.7%—+5.4%
EPS (Diluted)
$4.13+20.7%+6.2%+21.1%+8.4%
Free Cash Flow
$1.9B-44.4%-21.6%-1.2%—

Margin Profile & Efficiency

Quarterly Trend HistoryCurrent TTM: 27.5%
2021Q1 2026
Historical Averages
MetricTTM3Y Avg5Y Avg10Y Avg
Gross Margin71.9%65.4%77.1%79.9%
Operating Margin27.5%23.2%27.4%27.4%
Net Margin22.5%19.0%22.3%26.0%
FCF Margin21.3%23.0%28.9%29.9%

Earnings Surprise History

Last 12 Quarters
100%EPS Beat Rate
12 / 12Quarters Beat
+10.2%Avg Surprise
58%Rev Beat Rate
Beat/Miss History
Q4'23
Q1'24
Q2'24
Q3'24
Q4'24
Q1'25
Q2'25
Q3'25
Q4'25
Q1'26
Q2'26
Q3'26
QuarterEPS Est.EPS Act.SurpriseEPSRev
Q3'26Latest$4.46$4.85+8.7%
Q2'26$3.93$4.13+5.1%
Q1'26$4.23$4.88+15.4%
Q4'25$4.05$4.35+7.4%
Q3'25$3.55$3.85+8.5%
Q2'25$3.38$3.51+3.8%
Q1'25$3.26$3.77+15.6%
Q4'24$3.30$3.75+13.6%
EPS and revenue estimates vs actual reported figures. Green = beat, Red = miss.

Performance vs S&P 500

Total return is +31.6% (1Y), outperforming the benchmark by +15.6%

10 Years Tracked
YTD Return+21.2%Alpha: +13.1%
1Y Return+31.6%Alpha: +15.6%
Max Drawdown-17.2%1Y Max Pullback
Beta0.64vs Market Vol
RS Rating79/99Relative Strength
Beat SPY5/10Avg Alpha: -3.0%
CAGR Returns
PeriodTotal Returnvs S&P 500 (Alpha)Dividend Contribution
YTD+21.2%+13.1%—
1Y+31.6%+15.6%+3.7%
3YCAGR+25.9%+10.5%+14.6%
5YCAGR+8.9%-3.5%+17.0%
10YCAGR+13.8%+0.5%—
Positive Return Frequency7 / 10 Years (70%)
Total return includes dividends reinvested. Excess Alpha = Stock Return − S&P 500 Return. Multi-period snapshot values use Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) for periods greater than 1 year. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
S&P 500 Market Context

The S&P 500 is at 30.8x trailing P/E — Expensive relative to historical averages.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Quick answers to common questions about The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. (PNC) valuation, health, and returns.

Is PNC stock undervalued or overvalued?

🟡 FAIR

The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. is estimated to be fair under our discounted cash flow framework. relative multiples indicate the stock is Slightly expensive versus peers compared to industry peers. trading near fair value (DCF: $259.20)

Valuation

What is the fair value and price target for PNC?

The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. has multiple valuation anchors: DCF Intrinsic Value: $259.20 | Peer Relative Fair Value: $233.01 | Wall Street Analyst Target: $279.36 (implying +11.3% upside). A convergence of these signals offers higher conviction.

Valuation

Is PNC financially stable and healthy?

The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. displays fair financial health with a composite quality score of 53/100, supported by a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) of 5.4%.

Quality

Does PNC return capital via dividends or buybacks?

The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. pays a 2.7% dividend yield, covered by a 38% payout ratio with 15 years of growth, supplemented by a 1.3% buyback yield.

Income

Is PNC's revenue and earnings growth accelerating?

The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc.'s current growth trajectory is Decelerating. The company achieved -7.0% 1Y revenue growth and +20.7% 1Y EPS growth, compared to its 3Y revenue CAGR of N/A.

Growth

What is the Wall Street analyst consensus on PNC?

Wall Street consensus is Buy based on 46 analysts, beating EPS expectations in 100% of recent quarters with a 14-quarter streak. The consensus price target represents a +11.3% change from current levels.

Estimates

What are the primary investment risks for PNC?

Investment risks for The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. include: -17.2% 1-year max drawdown. Volatility risk is characterized by a beta of 0.64x.

Risk

Are these valuation model estimates financial advice?

No. These computations are purely quantitative model outputs for informational purposes. They do not account for qualitative management shifts or macro events. Always consult a licensed RIA before buying or selling shares.

Legal

Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All valuation models, scores, and target estimates are automated computations under stated assumptions and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.

Our Methodology

Institutional-grade research documentation
Relative Valuation
Peer universe construction, Monte Carlo simulation, and confidence scoring.
→
Estimates & Forecasts
Revenue CAGR blending, margin path engine, and analyst fusion logic.
→
DCF Intrinsic Value
Two-stage discounted cash flow with WACC and Gordon Growth model.
→