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USBU.S. Bancorp
$63.97$99.6B
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U.S. Bancorp (USB)

Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, competitive benchmarking & quality-adjusted fair value
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MODEL VERDICT
Standard Coverage

U.S. Bancorp is currently fair versus peers

U.S. Bancorp is currently trading at a 4.79% discount to its peer-implied fair value.

Current Price
$63.14
Fair Value
$66.17
Relative Upside
+4.79%
Peer Premium Status
No Major Premium Or Discount

Peer Set

7 curated peers matched by business model, revenue composition, and market position

TickerCompanyMarket CapP/EEV/EBITDA
WFCWells Fargo & Company$267.84B13.85x17.7x
PNCThe PNC Financial Services Group, Inc.$101.54B15.24x13.87x
TFCTruist Financial Corporation$65.41B13.74x14.01x
CFGCitizens Financial Group, Inc.$30.61B18.75x10.83x
FITBFifth Third Bancorp$52.58B16.39x17.59x
HBANHuntington Bancshares Incorporated$37B13.13x15.56x
RFRegions Financial Corporation$27.01B13.82x7.48x

Multiples Comparison

3 valuation metrics · peer-median based

Mixed signals across multiples
MultipleCurrentPeer Medianvs PeersImplied Price
Forward P/EPrice paid for next year's expected earnings.12.21x12.27xDiscount -0.51%$63.46
P/EPrice paid for current earnings.13.7x13.85xDiscount -1.1%$69.57
P/BMarket value versus book equity.1.5x1.46xPremium +2.64%$61.52

Fair Value Formulation

How the model derives the final fair value from peer baselines and quality metrics

1
Peer Baselineⓘ
$64.61
Peer-Implied Value
+→
2
Quality Premiumⓘ
+$1.55 (+2.4%)
Adjusted for 3y eps growth, roe
=→
3
Fair Valueⓘ
$66.16
Quality-Adjusted Fair Value
Current Price
$63.14
Active market quote
UNDERVALUED
$63.14$66.16
Valuation Gap
4.78% Upside
Trading at a 4.57% discount

Opportunity: The stock is trading at a 4.57% discount to its quality-adjusted fair value of $66.16. To reach its estimated fair value, the stock would need to appreciate by 4.78% from its current price of $63.14.

Quality Adjustment

Quality metrics are broadly comparable to peers.

+2.4% adjustment

Growth CAGR Metrics

3Y EPS GrowthStrength
This Stock
7.7%
Peer Median
0.1%

Profitability & Returns

ROE (TTM)Strength
This Stock
12.1%
Peer Median
8.9%
Net Interest MarginIn-line
This Stock
2.4%
Peer Median
2.6%
Efficiency RatioIn-line
This Stock
40.6%
Peer Median
44.4%

Balance Sheet & Financial Health

Equity / AssetsWeakness
This Stock
9.5%
Peer Median
10.8%

Quality adjustments are capped at ±15% (up to ±20% for financial services) to prevent runaway premiums. Based on trailing twelve months and multi-year CAGR data where available.

Historical Context

How current multiples rank vs 8 years of the stock’s own history

MultipleCurrentHistorical MedianPercentileStatus
P/E8 years of data13.7x12.22x
75th
Above historical norm
P/B8 years of data1.5x1.29x
75th
Above historical norm

U.S. Bancorp currently trades near the highest valuation levels observed during the last 8 years.

Analyst Consensus

Wall Street target prices — 49 analysts

Buy
Consensus Target$68.64+8.71% upside to target
Median Target$67.50
Our Model vs Street-3.6%Model estimates lower than analyst consensus

Price Target Spectrum vs. Current & Model

Current: $63.14
Our Model: $66.17
Median: $67.50
Consensus: $68.64

Risk Factors

Model-identified caveats to consider

P/E is high versus the stock's own history.
Weaker equity / assets versus peers may pressure the multiple.

What This Means for Investors

USB looks fair versus peers using curated peers, with relative upside of 4.8%.

Business Quality

U.S. Bancorp is broadly in-line with peers on quality metrics.
Conclusion

Valuation & Price

The stock is priced largely in-line with peer-implied fair value. The stock also trades at elevated levels versus its own history.

Investor Outlook

Returns going forward will likely track the company's earnings trajectory.

Frequently Asked Questions

Answers to common questions about USB's relative valuation and our methodology.

What does "fair value" mean in this analysis?

U.S. Bancorp's fair value of $66.17 is the price at which the stock would trade if valued at the same multiples as its 7-company peer group, adjusted for differences in business quality. At $63.14, the stock trades at a +4.8% discount to fair value. This is a reference point, not a price target.

How were these peers selected?

The 7 peers shown were selected based on business model similarity, revenue composition, and market position. Each peer was matched for comparable operations, not just industry label. Only companies with clean, usable financial data are included.

Why does U.S. Bancorp trade at a discount to fair value?

U.S. Bancorp has strengths in 3y eps growth, roe, and challenges in equity / assets, and a quality score that justifies a 2.4% premium relative to its peer group. The Quality Adjustment section breaks down each driver.

Is this analysis a buy or sell recommendation?

No. This page provides an automated quantitative comparison of U.S. Bancorp against its peers. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation. Valuation is only one factor in an investment decision — it does not account for growth catalysts, management quality, regulatory risk, or your personal financial situation.

What should I look at beyond the fair value number?

Look at the Historical Context to see where current multiples sit versus the stock's own history. Review the Risk Factors section for model-identified caveats. Compare the Analyst Consensus to our model output for another perspective. Valuation is only one dimension — growth trajectory, competitive position, and market conditions all matter.

How often is the data updated?

Valuation data is refreshed weekly based on the latest financial filings, market prices, and analyst estimates. U.S. Bancorp's fair value, peer multiples, and quality scores will shift over time as new earnings are reported and stock prices change.

Disclaimer: This page is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Fair value estimates are model outputs under stated assumptions and should not be relied upon as the sole basis for any investment decision.