Intrinsic Value (DCF)
Current$9.93
→
Intrinsic$39.54
+298%
$27.04$39.54$63.31
Market implies 1% growth for 5 years
DCF analysis suggests WB could have 298% upside at 8% growth — verify assumptions match your view.
At $10, the market prices in only 1% growth — below historical 8%, suggesting low expectations.
Range: Bear $27 → Bull $63. Current price implies expectations below the bear case — very conservative expectations.
| Discount ↓Growth → | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8% | $47 | $51 | $56 | $61 |
| 10% | $33 | $36 | $40 | $43 |
| 12% | $26 | $28 | $31 | $33 |
| 14% | $21 | $23 | $25 | $27 |
Bull Case
- Bull case ($63) offers 538% upside at 10% growth, 9% discount
- Price below even worst-case scenario — strong margin of safety
- Market-implied growth (1%) ≤ historical CAGR (8%)
Bear Case
- Bear case ($27) with 6% growth, 12% discount rate
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5-Year Free Cash Flow Projection
Year 1$624.70M
Year 2$674.68M
Year 3$728.65M
Year 4$786.95M
Year 5$849.90M
Terminal$12.51B
📐 Model Inputs
Growth Rate8.0%5Y CAGR (cascade: 5Y→3Y→TTM)
Discount Rate10.0%WACC estimate
Terminal Growth3.0%Perpetuity rate
Base Free Cash Flow$578.43MTTM actual
Bear g×0.8, r+2%
Base Historical CAGR
Bull g×1.2, r−1.5%
DCF estimates based on historical growth rates extrapolated forward. See FAQ below for full methodology.