MODEL VERDICT
WaterBridge Infrastructure LLC (WBI)
Relative Valuation•Peer multiples, Monte Carlo simulation & quality-adjusted fair value
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Composite score derived from valuation, quality, and risk factors
Quantitative model thresholds · For educational and research purposes only
Each row records the model's monthly assessment. High Conviction = the model detected notable undervaluation vs peers. Neutral = no notable divergence was found. The return column shows the actual price change over 90 days for reference. This is a quantitative observation log — not investment advice.
| Date | Assessment | Score | Price | Status | 90d Fwd Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.16 | $29.44 | CURRENT | — |
| May 29, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.16 | $29.25 | CURRENT | — |
| May 22, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.16 | $31.16 | CURRENT | — |
| May 15, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.16 | $30.72 | CURRENT | — |
| May 8, 2026 | NEUTRAL | 0.18 | $27.35 | CURRENT | — |
Historical model observations for research purposes only. Past quantitative patterns do not predict future results. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
| Methodology | Fair Value | vs Current | Weight | Quality | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward P/E 4 analyst estimates | $7.29 | -75.2% | 20% | A- | Analyst Est. |
| EV/EBITDA 4 industry peers | $56.01 | +90.3% | 20% | A- | Peer Data |
| EV/EBIT 4 industry peers | $27.19 | -7.6% | 8% | B+ | Peer Data |
| EV To Revenue 4 industry peers | $55.72 | +89.3% | 4% | B | Data |
| Price / Sales 4 industry peers | $42.44 | +44.2% | 3% | B | Model Driven |
| Weighted Output Blended model output | $28.09 | -4.6% | 100% | 47 | FAIRLY VALUED |
Cross-sectional regression predicting expected multiples based on growth, margins, ROIC, and beta.
Based on our peer multiples analysis with 11 valuation metrics, the model estimates WBI's fair value at $28.09 vs the current price of $29.44, implying -4.6% downside potential. Model verdict: Fairly Valued. Confidence: 47/100. This is a quantitative estimate, not a recommendation.
The blended fair value of $28.09 is calculated using four lenses: industry median multiples (40%), historical multiples (30%), forward estimates (20%), and quality-adjusted multiples (10%). Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 iterations) gives a range of $30.06 (P10) to $36.59 (P90), with a median of $33.29.
WBI's current P/E of -294.4x compares to the industry median of 15.3x (4 peers in the group). This represents a -2026.5% discount to the industry. The historical average P/E is N/Ax over 0 years. Signal: Deep Discount.
5 analysts cover WBI with a consensus rating of Buy. The consensus price target is $34.00 (range: $30.00 — $38.00), implying +15.5% upside from the current price. Grade breakdown: Strong Buy (1), Buy (3), Hold (1), Sell (0), Strong Sell (0).
The model confidence score is 47/100, based on: data completeness (12), peer quality (22), historical depth (5), earnings stability (5), and model agreement (3). Cyclicality penalty: -0 points. The model shows moderate agreement across inputs.
The model flags several key risks: (1) Macro/regulatory risks are not captured in this model but remain material.
Peak earnings risk data is not available for WBI.
No. This dashboard is a quantitative research tool for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The operator of this platform is not a registered investment advisor (RIA), broker-dealer, or financial planner. All model outputs, fair value estimates, signals, and scenarios are the result of automated quantitative computations and should not be construed as professional financial guidance. You should consult a qualified, licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past model performance is not indicative of future results.