Industrial - Machinery
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CMI vs CAT
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Agricultural - Machinery
CMI vs CAT — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Industrial - Machinery | Agricultural - Machinery |
| Market Cap | $98.89B | $431.16B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $33.89B | $70.75B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $2.67B | $9.42B |
| Gross Margin | 25.4% | 32.5% |
| Operating Margin | 11.2% | 16.6% |
| Forward P/E | 27.2x | 40.1x |
| Total Debt | $8.11B | $43.33B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $2.85B | $9.98B |
CMI vs CAT — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cummins Inc. (CMI) | 100 | 422.0 | +322.0% |
| Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) | 100 | 771.4 | +671.4% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: CMI vs CAT
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
CMI is the clearest fit if your priority is income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 21 yrs, beta 1.57, yield 1.1%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.57, Low D/E 60.5%, current ratio 1.76x
- Beta 1.57, yield 1.1%, current ratio 1.76x
CAT carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 4.3%, EPS growth -14.6%, 3Y rev CAGR 4.4%
- 12.2% 10Y total return vs CMI's 5.7%
- PEG 1.43 vs CMI's 2.41
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 4.3% revenue growth vs CMI's -1.3% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (27.2x vs 40.1x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 13.3% margin vs CMI's 7.9% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.54 vs CMI's 1.57 | |
| Dividends | 1.1% yield, 21-year raise streak, vs CAT's 0.6% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +190.7% vs CMI's +142.5% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 10.0% ROA vs CMI's 7.8%, ROIC 15.9% vs 16.1% |
CMI vs CAT — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
CMI vs CAT — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CAT leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
CAT is the larger business by revenue, generating $70.8B annually — 2.1x CMI's $33.9B. CAT is the more profitable business, keeping 13.3% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to CMI's 7.9%. On growth, CAT holds the edge at +22.2% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $33.9B | $70.8B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $4.6B | $14.0B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $2.7B | $9.4B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $2.7B | $11.4B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +25.4% | +32.5% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +11.2% | +16.6% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +7.9% | +13.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +7.9% | +16.2% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +2.7% | +22.2% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -21.0% | +30.2% |
Valuation Metrics
CMI leads this category, winning 6 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 34.9x trailing earnings, CMI trades at a 29% valuation discount to CAT's 49.2x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), CAT offers better value at 1.75x vs CMI's 3.09x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $98.9B | $431.2B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $104.2B | $464.5B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 34.92x | 49.21x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 27.19x | 40.13x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 3.09x | 1.75x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 20.96x | 34.48x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 2.94x | 6.38x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 7.40x | 20.39x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 41.45x | 41.97x |
Profitability & Efficiency
CMI leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
CAT delivers a 47.5% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $48 in annual profit, vs $20 for CMI. CMI carries lower financial leverage with a 0.61x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to CAT's 2.03x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), CMI scores 7/9 vs CAT's 5/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +20.3% | +47.5% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +7.8% | +10.0% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +16.1% | +15.9% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +17.3% | +19.1% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 5 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.61x | 2.03x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $5.3B | $33.4B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $2.8B | $10.0B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $8.1B | $43.3B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 12.15x | 9.22x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
CAT leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in CAT five years ago would be worth $40,189 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $28,172 for CMI. Over the past 12 months, CAT leads with a +190.7% total return vs CMI's +142.5%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors CAT at 63.8% vs CMI's 48.8% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +37.5% | +55.4% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +142.5% | +190.7% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +229.5% | +339.3% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +181.7% | +301.9% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +571.7% | +1223.1% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +48.8% | +63.8% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — CMI and CAT each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
CAT is the less volatile stock with a 1.54 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than CMI's 1.57 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.57x | 1.54x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $717.28 | $930.41 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $296.59 | $318.11 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +99.8% | +99.6% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 68.6 | 73.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 794K | 2.4M |
Analyst Outlook
CMI leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates CMI as "Buy" and CAT as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply -11.0% upside for CAT (target: $825) vs -13.2% for CMI (target: $621). For income investors, CMI offers the higher dividend yield at 1.06% vs CAT's 0.63%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $621.10 | $824.80 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 51 | 53 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +1.1% | +0.6% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 21 | 8 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $7.61 | $5.86 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +1.2% |
CMI leads in 3 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). CAT leads in 2 (Income & Cash Flow, Total Returns). 1 tied.
CMI vs CAT: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is CMI or CAT a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Caterpillar Inc.
(CAT) is the stronger pick with 4. 3% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -1. 3% for Cummins Inc. (CMI). Cummins Inc. (CMI) offers the better valuation at 34. 9x trailing P/E (27. 2x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Cummins Inc. (CMI) a "Buy" — based on 51 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — CMI or CAT?
On trailing P/E, Cummins Inc.
(CMI) is the cheapest at 34. 9x versus Caterpillar Inc. at 49. 2x. On forward P/E, Cummins Inc. is actually cheaper at 27. 2x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Caterpillar Inc. wins at 1. 43x versus Cummins Inc. 's 2. 41x — a reasonable growth-adjusted valuation.
03Which is the better long-term investment — CMI or CAT?
Over the past 5 years, Caterpillar Inc.
(CAT) delivered a total return of +301. 9%, compared to +181. 7% for Cummins Inc. (CMI). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: CAT returned +1223% versus CMI's +571. 7%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — CMI or CAT?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Caterpillar Inc.
(CAT) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 54β versus Cummins Inc. 's 1. 57β — meaning CMI is approximately 2% more volatile than CAT relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Cummins Inc. (CMI) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 61% versus 2% for Caterpillar Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — CMI or CAT?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Caterpillar Inc.
(CAT) is pulling ahead at 4. 3% versus -1. 3% for Cummins Inc. (CMI). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Caterpillar Inc. grew EPS -14. 6% year-over-year, compared to -27. 7% for Cummins Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, CMI leads at 6. 2% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — CMI or CAT?
Caterpillar Inc.
(CAT) is the more profitable company, earning 13. 1% net margin versus 8. 4% for Cummins Inc. — meaning it keeps 13. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: CAT leads at 16. 6% versus 11. 5% for CMI. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — CAT leads at 32. 3%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is CMI or CAT more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 1. 43x versus Cummins Inc. 's 2. 41x. A PEG below 1. 5 suggests fair-to-attractive pricing relative to expected growth. On forward earnings alone, Cummins Inc. (CMI) trades at 27. 2x forward P/E versus 40. 1x for Caterpillar Inc. — 12. 9x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for CAT: -11. 0% to $824. 80.
08Which pays a better dividend — CMI or CAT?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Cummins Inc. (CMI) offers the highest yield at 1. 1%, versus 0. 6% for Caterpillar Inc. (CAT).
09Is CMI or CAT better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Caterpillar Inc.
(CAT) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (0. 6% yield, +1223% 10Y return). Cummins Inc. (CMI) carries a higher beta of 1. 57 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (CAT: +1223%, CMI: +571. 7%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between CMI and CAT?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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