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FWRD vs TFII vs ODFL vs ARCB vs SAIA
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Trucking
Trucking
Trucking
Trucking
FWRD vs TFII vs ODFL vs ARCB vs SAIA — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Integrated Freight & Logistics | Trucking | Trucking | Trucking | Trucking |
| Market Cap | $547M | $11.36B | $41.28B | $2.72B | $11.97B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $2.46B | $8.65B | $5.50B | $4.04B | $3.25B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-91M | $339M | $1.02B | $56M | $255M |
| Gross Margin | 23.1% | 12.2% | 32.2% | 4.1% | 18.4% |
| Operating Margin | 2.1% | 7.0% | 24.8% | 2.2% | 10.8% |
| Forward P/E | — | 26.7x | 37.7x | 23.6x | 42.3x |
| Total Debt | $2.16B | $3.69B | $141M | $669M | $418M |
| Cash & Equiv. | $106M | $210M | $120M | $102M | $20M |
FWRD vs TFII vs ODFL vs ARCB vs SAIA — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward Air Corpora… (FWRD) | 100 | 34.9 | -65.1% |
| TFI International I… (TFII) | 100 | 456.6 | +356.6% |
| Old Dominion Freigh… (ODFL) | 100 | 231.5 | +131.5% |
| ArcBest Corporation (ARCB) | 100 | 543.9 | +443.9% |
| Saia, Inc. (SAIA) | 100 | 414.0 | +314.0% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: FWRD vs TFII vs ODFL vs ARCB vs SAIA
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
FWRD is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure.
- Rev growth 0.8%, EPS growth 88.3%, 3Y rev CAGR 14.1%
TFII carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for valuation efficiency and defensive.
- PEG 2.60 vs ODFL's 3.36
- Beta 1.30, yield 1.8%, current ratio 1.03x
- 31.1% revenue growth vs ODFL's -5.5%
- Lower P/E (26.7x vs 42.3x), PEG 2.60 vs 3.29
ODFL is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if income & stability and sleep-well-at-night is your priority.
- Dividend streak 10 yrs, beta 1.38, yield 0.6%
- Lower volatility, beta 1.38, Low D/E 3.3%, current ratio 1.44x
- 18.6% margin vs FWRD's -3.7%
- 18.5% ROA vs FWRD's -3.3%, ROIC 23.6% vs 1.2%
ARCB ranks third and is worth considering specifically for momentum.
- +107.5% vs FWRD's +0.6%
SAIA is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding.
- 15.7% 10Y total return vs ODFL's 8.4%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 31.1% revenue growth vs ODFL's -5.5% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (26.7x vs 42.3x), PEG 2.60 vs 3.29 | |
| Quality / Margins | 18.6% margin vs FWRD's -3.7% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 1.30 vs FWRD's 2.28, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 1.8% yield, 3-year raise streak, vs ODFL's 0.6%, (2 stocks pay no dividend) | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +107.5% vs FWRD's +0.6% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 18.5% ROA vs FWRD's -3.3%, ROIC 23.6% vs 1.2% |
FWRD vs TFII vs ODFL vs ARCB vs SAIA — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
Segment breakdown not available.
Segment breakdown not available.
FWRD vs TFII vs ODFL vs ARCB vs SAIA — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 5 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
ODFL leads in 2 of 6 categories
TFII leads 1 • SAIA leads 1 • FWRD leads 0 • ARCB leads 0 • 2 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ODFL leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
TFII is the larger business by revenue, generating $8.6B annually — 3.5x FWRD's $2.5B. ODFL is the more profitable business, keeping 18.6% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to FWRD's -3.7%. On growth, TFII holds the edge at +28.4% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $2.5B | $8.6B | $5.5B | $4.0B | $3.3B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $206M | $1.3B | $1.7B | $217M | $602M |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$91M | $339M | $1.0B | $56M | $255M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $38M | $778M | $955M | $169M | $261M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +23.1% | +12.2% | +32.2% | +4.1% | +18.4% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +2.1% | +7.0% | +24.8% | +2.2% | +10.8% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -3.7% | +3.9% | +18.6% | +1.4% | +7.8% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +1.6% | +9.0% | +17.4% | +4.2% | +8.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -5.1% | +28.4% | -5.7% | +3.3% | +2.4% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +35.1% | +23.5% | -11.4% | -138.5% | 0.0% |
Valuation Metrics
TFII leads this category, winning 3 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 26.6x trailing earnings, TFII trades at a 44% valuation discount to SAIA's 47.2x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), TFII offers better value at 2.59x vs SAIA's 3.67x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $547M | $11.4B | $41.3B | $2.7B | $12.0B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $2.6B | $14.8B | $41.3B | $3.3B | $12.4B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -4.98x | 26.58x | 41.01x | 46.48x | 47.16x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 26.72x | 37.69x | 23.61x | 42.28x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 2.59x | 3.66x | — | 3.67x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 13.75x | 9.18x | 23.93x | 12.59x | 20.59x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.22x | 1.03x | 7.51x | 0.68x | 3.70x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 3.32x | 4.32x | 9.64x | 2.16x | 4.67x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 35.82x | 11.55x | 43.22x | 23.78x | 438.03x |
Profitability & Efficiency
ODFL leads this category, winning 9 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
ODFL delivers a 24.0% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $24 in annual profit, vs $-53 for FWRD. ODFL carries lower financial leverage with a 0.03x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to FWRD's 13.36x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), ODFL scores 6/9 vs ARCB's 4/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -52.6% | +12.8% | +24.0% | +4.3% | +10.0% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -3.3% | +4.7% | +18.5% | +2.3% | +7.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +1.2% | +9.7% | +23.6% | +3.9% | +9.4% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +1.5% | +12.3% | +27.1% | +5.1% | +11.5% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 13.36x | 1.38x | 0.03x | 0.52x | 0.16x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $2.1B | $3.5B | $21M | $567M | $398M |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $106M | $210M | $120M | $102M | $20M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $2.2B | $3.7B | $141M | $669M | $418M |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 0.32x | 3.44x | 4601.85x | 6.58x | 23.88x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
SAIA leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in SAIA five years ago would be worth $18,332 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $1,978 for FWRD. Over the past 12 months, ARCB leads with a +107.5% total return vs FWRD's +0.6%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors SAIA at 16.0% vs FWRD's -42.8% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -31.0% | +30.1% | +24.6% | +58.0% | +33.1% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +0.6% | +72.2% | +28.0% | +107.5% | +72.7% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -81.3% | +35.2% | +29.1% | +40.5% | +56.0% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -80.2% | +64.2% | +50.0% | +37.1% | +83.3% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -47.3% | +708.1% | +841.8% | +627.8% | +1567.7% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -42.8% | +10.6% | +8.9% | +12.0% | +16.0% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — TFII and SAIA each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
TFII is the less volatile stock with a 1.30 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than FWRD's 2.28 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. SAIA currently trades 98.0% from its 52-week high vs FWRD's 53.4% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 2.28x | 1.30x | 1.38x | 1.90x | 1.90x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $32.47 | $149.09 | $233.79 | $135.10 | $457.99 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $14.81 | $80.56 | $126.01 | $58.16 | $248.37 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +53.4% | +92.7% | +84.7% | +90.1% | +98.0% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 42.4 | 62.9 | 45.2 | 60.5 | 60.4 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 733K | 382K | 2.1M | 307K | 523K |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — TFII and ODFL each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: FWRD as "Hold", TFII as "Buy", ODFL as "Hold", ARCB as "Buy", SAIA as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 113.5% upside for FWRD (target: $37) vs -5.9% for SAIA (target: $423). For income investors, TFII offers the higher dividend yield at 1.83% vs ARCB's 0.39%.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy | Hold | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $37.00 | $137.00 | $208.19 | $117.14 | $422.67 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 21 | 19 | 36 | 24 | 32 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +1.8% | +0.6% | +0.4% | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 8 | 3 | 10 | 4 | — |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $2.53 | $1.12 | $0.48 | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.2% | +3.0% | +1.8% | +2.8% | +0.1% |
ODFL leads in 2 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). TFII leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics). 2 tied.
FWRD vs TFII vs ODFL vs ARCB vs SAIA: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is FWRD or TFII or ODFL or ARCB or SAIA a better buy right now?
For growth investors, TFI International Inc.
(TFII) is the stronger pick with 31. 1% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -5. 5% for Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL). TFI International Inc. (TFII) offers the better valuation at 26. 6x trailing P/E (26. 7x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate TFI International Inc. (TFII) a "Buy" — based on 19 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — FWRD or TFII or ODFL or ARCB or SAIA?
On trailing P/E, TFI International Inc.
(TFII) is the cheapest at 26. 6x versus Saia, Inc. at 47. 2x. On forward P/E, ArcBest Corporation is actually cheaper at 23. 6x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: TFI International Inc. wins at 2. 60x versus Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. 's 3. 36x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — FWRD or TFII or ODFL or ARCB or SAIA?
Over the past 5 years, Saia, Inc.
(SAIA) delivered a total return of +83. 3%, compared to -80. 2% for Forward Air Corporation (FWRD). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: SAIA returned +1568% versus FWRD's -47. 3%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — FWRD or TFII or ODFL or ARCB or SAIA?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), TFI International Inc.
(TFII) is the lower-risk stock at 1. 30β versus Forward Air Corporation's 2. 28β — meaning FWRD is approximately 76% more volatile than TFII relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 3% versus 13% for Forward Air Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — FWRD or TFII or ODFL or ARCB or SAIA?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), TFI International Inc.
(TFII) is pulling ahead at 31. 1% versus -5. 5% for Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Forward Air Corporation grew EPS 88. 3% year-over-year, compared to -64. 1% for ArcBest Corporation. Over a 3-year CAGR, FWRD leads at 14. 1% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — FWRD or TFII or ODFL or ARCB or SAIA?
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.
(ODFL) is the more profitable company, earning 18. 6% net margin versus -4. 3% for Forward Air Corporation — meaning it keeps 18. 6% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: ODFL leads at 24. 8% versus 1. 5% for FWRD. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — ODFL leads at 32. 2%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is FWRD or TFII or ODFL or ARCB or SAIA more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, TFI International Inc. (TFII) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 2. 60x versus Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. 's 3. 36x. Both stocks trade at elevated growth-adjusted valuations, so expected growth needs to materialise. On forward earnings alone, ArcBest Corporation (ARCB) trades at 23. 6x forward P/E versus 42. 3x for Saia, Inc. — 18. 7x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for FWRD: 113. 5% to $37. 00.
08Which pays a better dividend — FWRD or TFII or ODFL or ARCB or SAIA?
In this comparison, TFII (1.
8% yield), ODFL (0. 6% yield), ARCB (0. 4% yield) pay a dividend. FWRD, SAIA do not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is FWRD or TFII or ODFL or ARCB or SAIA better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.
(ODFL) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (0. 6% yield, +841. 8% 10Y return). Forward Air Corporation (FWRD) carries a higher beta of 2. 28 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (ODFL: +841. 8%, FWRD: -47. 3%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between FWRD and TFII and ODFL and ARCB and SAIA?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: FWRD is a small-cap quality compounder stock; TFII is a mid-cap high-growth stock; ODFL is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; ARCB is a small-cap quality compounder stock; SAIA is a mid-cap quality compounder stock. TFII, ODFL pay a dividend while FWRD, ARCB, SAIA do not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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