GFL vs WM vs RSG vs CWST

For growth investors, Casella Waste Systems, Inc.

(CWST) is the stronger pick with 18. 0% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 3. 5% for Republic Services, Inc. (RSG). GFL Environmental Inc. (GFL) offers the better valuation at 5. 0x trailing P/E (39. 7x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate GFL Environmental Inc. (GFL) a "Buy" — based on 18 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.

On trailing P/E, GFL Environmental Inc.

(GFL) is the cheapest at 5. 0x versus Casella Waste Systems, Inc. at 723. 0x. On forward P/E, Waste Management, Inc. is actually cheaper at 27. 4x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Republic Services, Inc. wins at 1. 58x versus Waste Management, Inc. 's 2. 00x — a reasonable growth-adjusted valuation.

Over the past 5 years, Republic Services, Inc.

(RSG) delivered a total return of +96. 1%, compared to +13. 3% for GFL Environmental Inc. (GFL). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: CWST returned +1113% versus GFL's +122. 7%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.

By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Waste Management, Inc.

(WM) is the lower-risk stock at -0. 17β versus Casella Waste Systems, Inc. 's 0. 32β — meaning CWST is approximately -285% more volatile than WM relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Republic Services, Inc. (RSG) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 5% versus 2% for Waste Management, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.

By revenue growth (latest reported year), Casella Waste Systems, Inc.

(CWST) is pulling ahead at 18. 0% versus 3. 5% for Republic Services, Inc. (RSG). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: GFL Environmental Inc. grew EPS 573. 5% year-over-year, compared to -47. 8% for Casella Waste Systems, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, CWST leads at 19. 2% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.

GFL Environmental Inc.

(GFL) is the more profitable company, earning 58. 0% net margin versus 0. 4% for Casella Waste Systems, Inc. — meaning it keeps 58. 0% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: RSG leads at 20. 0% versus 4. 9% for CWST. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — RSG leads at 30. 3%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.

The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.

By this metric, Republic Services, Inc. (RSG) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 1. 58x versus Waste Management, Inc. 's 2. 00x. Both stocks trade at elevated growth-adjusted valuations, so expected growth needs to materialise. On forward earnings alone, Waste Management, Inc. (WM) trades at 27. 4x forward P/E versus 64. 9x for Casella Waste Systems, Inc. — 37. 5x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for GFL: 53. 2% to $56. 67.

In this comparison, WM (1.

5% yield), RSG (1. 2% yield), GFL (0. 2% yield) pay a dividend. CWST does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.

For long-horizon retirement investors, Republic Services, Inc.

(RSG) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β -0. 15), 1. 2% yield, +367. 6% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (RSG: +367. 6%, GFL: +122. 7%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.

Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.

In terms of investment character: GFL is a mid-cap deep-value stock; WM is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; RSG is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; CWST is a small-cap high-growth stock. WM, RSG pay a dividend while GFL, CWST do not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.