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WMWaste Management, Inc.
$236.26$94.4B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
WM logo

Waste Management, Inc.

WM
NYSE · Waste & Environmental Services
$236.26
At close - Nov 6, 4:00 PM EST - USD
Market Cap$94.44B
P/E30.8x
52W High$248.13
Volume2.55M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2026Q3

Stericycle Margins Offset Decelerating Revenue Growth

Waste Management's investment case rests on a tension between exceptional cash conversion and weakening top-line momentum: operating cash flow has run at 2.0-2.3x net income for four straight quarters, lifting the FCF margin from 6.3% in 2025Q1 to 14.4% in 2026Q3 as capex normalized to 9.4-9.6% of revenue from 18.9% in…

GrowthDecelerating
ProfitabilityModerate
ValuationAttractive
TechnicalsNeutral
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

WM price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

7/12 Beats

EPS beat 7 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+12% Peers

P/E is 12% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 71 · Avg

Average momentum (RS Rating: 71)

04

Trend Check

N/A

Trend data unavailable

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Jan 27
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth decelerated to 6.3% in 2026Q3 from 19.0% in 2025Q2 while operating margin held at 18.7% on $1.3B of operating income, with the 40.8% gross margin step-change in 2026Q2 suggesting a structural shift that investors should monitor closely.

Analyst Consensus+8.9% target
Buy(36 analysts)
19 Buy17 Hold0 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Consistent revenue growth

WM has demonstrated consistent long-term revenue growth, making it a reliable investment.

Strong margins

The company maintains strong margins, contributing to its financial resilience.

Low volatility

WM's stock exhibits low volatility, appealing to risk-averse investors.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 11/8/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
WM+9.48%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+7.63%
1-Year Return
WM+20.19%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+9.69%
3-Year Return
WM+45.43%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+65.54%
5-Year Return
WM+57.06%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+53.72%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/EMedian
30.8x
Forward P/EExpansion
29.3x
EV/EBITDA40th %ile
14.8x
FCF YieldCash Flow
4.0%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
30.8x
31.6x
40th· Fair
EV/EBITDA
14.8x
16.0x
40th· Fair
Price/FCF
25.3x
33.4x
0th· Low
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$35.93-84.8%
Base (Fair)$143.61-39.2%
Bull$225.38-4.6%
$35.93 Bear$143.61 Base$225.38 Bull
Current Market Price: $236.26
Trades at a 64.5% premium to Base DCF ($143.61)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue FY25
$25.2B+14.2% YoY
Net income FY25
$2.71B-1.4% YoY
Free cash flow FY25
$2.82B+30.4% YoY
Operating margin FY25
18.3%-0.5 pts YoY
ROIC (FY25)10.7%
Avg ROIC 5Y11.7%
ROE (TTM)30.8%
Piotroski Score7 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate7/12 (58%)
Revenue Beat Rate5/12 (42%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Oct 27, 2026
$2.15-1.4%
vs $2.18
$6.8B+0.5%
vs $6.8B
Q3 2026
Jul 28, 2026
$2.02+2.0%
vs $1.98
$6.7B-0.4%
vs $6.7B
Q2 2026
Apr 28, 2026
$1.81+3.4%
vs $1.75
$6.2B-0.8%
vs $6.3B
Q1 2026
Jan 28, 2026
$1.93-1.0%
vs $1.95
$6.3B-1.2%
vs $6.4B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

4 Stories
24/7 Wall Street·1d ago
Waste Management vs. Republic Services: Which Pays Investors More?

Two garbage giants just surged about 17% in a month, and both ask income investors to pay up. Yield, cash coverage, and valuation point in different directions, so which one actually rewards a retiree's patience?

Fool - Investing News·2d ago
Prediction: A Stock Market Crash Is Coming. Here Are 3 Safe Stocks to Buy Now That Could Help You Protect and Grow Your Wealth.

The current bull market may be nearing its end.

Defense World·4d ago
Associated Banc Corp Makes New $12.06 Million Investment in Waste Management, Inc. $WM

Associated Banc Corp purchased a new stake in Waste Management, Inc. (NYSE: WM) during the undefined quarter, according to the company in its most recent Form 13F filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The fund purchased 59,134 shares of the business services provider's stock, valued at approximately $12,059,000. Other hedge funds also

Seeking Alpha·4d ago
Waste Management: Healthcare Turnaround And Sustainability Investments Support Upside

Waste Management is rated Buy, driven by a turnaround in Healthcare Solutions, strong core pricing, and operational efficiency. WM's recycling automation and renewable natural gas investments are nearing completion, supporting future earnings and free cash flow growth. The stock trades at a discount to peers and its historical average, with potential for multiple re-rating as performance improves.

Filtered for Waste Management, Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark WM against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Waste Management, Inc. (WM)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
WM logoWMWaste Management, Inc.Current
$236.26$94.44B30.7714.24%11.78%30.85%1.4%
RSG logoRSGRepublic Services, Inc.
$246.85$75.95B33.973.49%12.92%18.47%0.96%
CWST logoCWSTCasella Waste Systems, Inc.
$98.21$6.15B1096.0917.95%0.29%0.36%—
WCN logoWCNWaste Connections, Inc.
$189.07$47.66B41.876.55%11.4%14.18%0.69%
CLH logoCLHClean Harbors, Inc.
$284.10$15B28.442.39%8.05%18.27%—
CECO logoCECOCECO Environmental Corp.
$48.60$2.84B-77.5138.79%-2.98%-3.58%—

Compare WM vs Peers

Waste Management, Inc. (WM) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs RSG

Most directly comparable listed peer for WM.

Scale Benchmark

vs CAT

Larger-name benchmark to compare WM against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs RSG, CWST, WCN, CLH

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

WM SEC Filings & Documents

Waste Management, Inc. (WM) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Oct 27, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jul 28, 2026·SEC

Material company update

May 14, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

2
FY 2026

Feb 9, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Feb 19, 2025·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Oct 28, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Jul 29, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Apr 29, 2026·SEC

Get notified when WM posts new earnings or crosses analyst targets

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WM Frequently Asked Questions

Waste Management, Inc. (WM) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Waste Management, Inc.'s revenue?

Waste Management, Inc. (WM) reported $26.07B in revenue over the trailing twelve months. Revenue was $25.20B in fiscal year 2025. That is 1819% more than the $1.31B of fiscal year 1996.

How fast is Waste Management, Inc. growing?

Waste Management, Inc. (WM) grew revenue by 5.2% over the trailing twelve months, compared with the twelve months before.

Is WM profitable?

Yes. Waste Management, Inc. (WM) earned $3.07B in net income over the trailing twelve months (a 11.8% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does WM pay dividends?

Yes. Waste Management, Inc. (WM) pays a dividend that yields 1.40% at the current price, a moderate yield.

What is WM's return on equity?

Waste Management, Inc. (WM) had a return on equity (ROE) of 30.8% over the trailing twelve months. That is well above the market's typical 10-15%.

What is Waste Management, Inc.'s free cash flow?

Waste Management, Inc. (WM) generated $3.74B in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months.

What if you invested $1,000 in WM back in 1996?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 30+ years of data

See returns →