Financial - Mortgages
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GHLD vs ICE
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges
GHLD vs ICE — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Financial - Mortgages | Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges |
| Market Cap | $439M | $87.96B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $1.17B | $12.64B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $126M | $3.30B |
| Gross Margin | 90.6% | 61.9% |
| Operating Margin | 10.1% | 38.7% |
| Forward P/E | 10.2x | 19.4x |
| Total Debt | $3.03B | $20.28B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $118M | $837M |
GHLD vs ICE — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Oct 20 | Nov 25 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guild Holdings Comp… (GHLD) | 100 | 135.7 | +35.7% |
| Intercontinental Ex… (ICE) | 100 | 155.0 | +55.0% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: GHLD vs ICE
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
GHLD carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 0 yrs, beta 0.04, yield 2.5%
- Rev growth 60.9%, EPS growth 343.8%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.04, current ratio 0.09x
ICE is the clearest fit if your priority is long-term compounding.
- 231.9% 10Y total return vs GHLD's 58.4%
- Efficiency ratio 0.2% vs GHLD's 0.8% (lower = leaner)
- Efficiency ratio 0.2% vs GHLD's 0.8%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 60.9% NII/revenue growth vs ICE's 7.5% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (10.2x vs 19.4x), PEG 0.14 vs 2.18 | |
| Quality / Margins | Efficiency ratio 0.2% vs GHLD's 0.8% (lower = leaner) | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.04 vs ICE's 0.33 | |
| Dividends | 2.5% yield, vs ICE's 1.2% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +57.4% vs ICE's -9.6% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | Efficiency ratio 0.2% vs GHLD's 0.8% |
GHLD vs ICE — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
GHLD vs ICE — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ICE leads this category, winning 3 of 5 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ICE is the larger business by revenue, generating $12.6B annually — 10.8x GHLD's $1.2B. ICE is the more profitable business, keeping 26.1% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to GHLD's 8.3%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $1.2B | $12.6B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $199M | $6.5B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $126M | $3.3B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $25M | $4.3B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +90.6% | +61.9% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +10.1% | +38.7% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +8.3% | +26.1% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -56.9% | +33.9% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | — | — |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +148.6% | +23.1% |
Valuation Metrics
GHLD leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 12.8x trailing earnings, GHLD trades at a 52% valuation discount to ICE's 26.9x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), GHLD offers better value at 0.17x vs ICE's 3.03x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $439M | $88.0B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $3.4B | $107.4B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 12.83x | 26.91x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 10.23x | 19.37x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.17x | 3.03x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 21.40x | 16.64x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.37x | 6.96x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.99x | 3.06x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 20.51x |
Profitability & Efficiency
ICE leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
ICE delivers a 11.6% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $12 in annual profit, vs $10 for GHLD. ICE carries lower financial leverage with a 0.70x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to GHLD's 2.42x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), ICE scores 9/9 vs GHLD's 3/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +10.3% | +11.6% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +2.6% | +2.3% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +2.4% | +7.5% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +5.2% | +9.5% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 3 | 9 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 2.42x | 0.70x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $2.9B | $19.4B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $118M | $837M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $3.0B | $20.3B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 1.47x | 6.53x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
GHLD leads this category, winning 4 of 5 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in GHLD five years ago would be worth $15,499 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $14,270 for ICE. Over the past 12 months, GHLD leads with a +57.4% total return vs ICE's -9.6%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors GHLD at 30.0% vs ICE's 14.1% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | — | -2.6% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +57.4% | -9.6% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +119.6% | +48.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +55.0% | +42.7% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +58.4% | +231.9% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +30.0% | +14.1% |
Risk & Volatility
GHLD leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
GHLD is the less volatile stock with a 0.04 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than ICE's 0.33 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.04x | 0.33x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $23.57 | $189.35 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $11.99 | $143.17 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +84.9% | +82.0% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 43.7 | 44.2 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 152K | 3.1M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — GHLD and ICE each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates GHLD as "Hold" and ICE as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 26.0% upside for ICE (target: $196) vs -11.9% for GHLD (target: $18). For income investors, GHLD offers the higher dividend yield at 2.47% vs ICE's 1.25%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $17.63 | $195.71 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 6 | 36 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +2.5% | +1.2% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 0 | 14 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.49 | $1.93 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.3% | +1.6% |
GHLD leads in 3 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Total Returns). ICE leads in 2 (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). 1 tied.
GHLD vs ICE: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is GHLD or ICE a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Guild Holdings Company (GHLD) is the stronger pick with 60.
9% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 7. 5% for Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE). Guild Holdings Company (GHLD) offers the better valuation at 12. 8x trailing P/E (10. 2x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE) a "Buy" — based on 36 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — GHLD or ICE?
On trailing P/E, Guild Holdings Company (GHLD) is the cheapest at 12.
8x versus Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. at 26. 9x. On forward P/E, Guild Holdings Company is actually cheaper at 10. 2x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Guild Holdings Company wins at 0. 14x versus Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. 's 2. 18x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — GHLD or ICE?
Over the past 5 years, Guild Holdings Company (GHLD) delivered a total return of +55.
0%, compared to +42. 7% for Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: ICE returned +231. 9% versus GHLD's +58. 4%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — GHLD or ICE?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Guild Holdings Company (GHLD) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
04β versus Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. 's 0. 33β — meaning ICE is approximately 680% more volatile than GHLD relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 70% versus 2% for Guild Holdings Company — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — GHLD or ICE?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Guild Holdings Company (GHLD) is pulling ahead at 60.
9% versus 7. 5% for Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Guild Holdings Company grew EPS 343. 8% year-over-year, compared to 20. 7% for Intercontinental Exchange, Inc.. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — GHLD or ICE?
Intercontinental Exchange, Inc.
(ICE) is the more profitable company, earning 26. 1% net margin versus 8. 3% for Guild Holdings Company — meaning it keeps 26. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: ICE leads at 38. 7% versus 10. 1% for GHLD. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — GHLD leads at 90. 6%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is GHLD or ICE more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Guild Holdings Company (GHLD) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 14x versus Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. 's 2. 18x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Guild Holdings Company (GHLD) trades at 10. 2x forward P/E versus 19. 4x for Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. — 9. 1x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for ICE: 26. 0% to $195. 71.
08Which pays a better dividend — GHLD or ICE?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Guild Holdings Company (GHLD) offers the highest yield at 2. 5%, versus 1. 2% for Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE).
09Is GHLD or ICE better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Guild Holdings Company (GHLD) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
04), 2. 5% yield). Both have compounded well over 10 years (GHLD: +58. 4%, ICE: +231. 9%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between GHLD and ICE?
Both stocks operate in the Financial Services sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: GHLD is a small-cap high-growth stock; ICE is a mid-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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