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HOG vs GM
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Auto - Manufacturers
HOG vs GM — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Auto - Recreational Vehicles | Auto - Manufacturers |
| Market Cap | $2.64B | $70.70B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $4.32B | $184.62B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $230M | $2.54B |
| Gross Margin | 23.0% | 6.1% |
| Operating Margin | 5.9% | 1.3% |
| Forward P/E | 57.5x | 6.2x |
| Total Debt | $3.05B | $130.28B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $3.09B | $20.95B |
HOG vs GM — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harley-Davidson, In… (HOG) | 100 | 110.7 | +10.7% |
| General Motors Comp… (GM) | 100 | 303.0 | +203.0% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: HOG vs GM
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
HOG carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and sleep-well-at-night.
- Dividend streak 5 yrs, beta 0.96, yield 3.0%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.96, Low D/E 96.7%, current ratio 2.10x
- Beta 0.96, yield 3.0%, current ratio 2.10x
GM is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth -1.3%, EPS growth -48.7%, 3Y rev CAGR 5.7%
- 180.2% 10Y total return vs HOG's -28.0%
- -1.3% revenue growth vs HOG's -13.8%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | -1.3% revenue growth vs HOG's -13.8% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (6.2x vs 57.5x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 5.3% margin vs GM's 1.4% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.96 vs GM's 1.07, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 3.0% yield, 5-year raise streak, vs GM's 0.9% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +73.8% vs HOG's +6.0% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 2.4% ROA vs GM's 0.9%, ROIC 5.0% vs 1.3% |
HOG vs GM — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
HOG vs GM — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — HOG and GM each lead in 3 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
GM is the larger business by revenue, generating $184.6B annually — 42.8x HOG's $4.3B. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 5.3% (HOG) to 1.4% (GM). On growth, GM holds the edge at -0.9% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $4.3B | $184.6B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $366M | $15.5B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $230M | $2.5B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $44M | $12.5B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +23.0% | +6.1% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +5.9% | +1.3% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +5.3% | +1.4% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +1.0% | +6.8% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -11.8% | -0.9% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -79.4% | -15.2% |
Valuation Metrics
HOG leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 8.5x trailing earnings, HOG trades at a 65% valuation discount to GM's 24.0x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, HOG's 5.3x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than GM's 10.3x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $2.6B | $70.7B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $2.6B | $180.0B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 8.50x | 23.98x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 57.47x | 6.22x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 0.04x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 5.29x | 10.29x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 0.59x | 0.38x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.91x | 1.21x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 6.37x | 6.38x |
Profitability & Efficiency
HOG leads this category, winning 9 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
HOG delivers a 7.0% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $7 in annual profit, vs $4 for GM. HOG carries lower financial leverage with a 0.97x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to GM's 2.06x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), HOG scores 7/9 vs GM's 6/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +7.0% | +3.8% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +2.4% | +0.9% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +5.0% | +1.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +5.6% | +1.6% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.97x | 2.06x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$38M | $109.3B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $3.1B | $20.9B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $3.1B | $130.3B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 13.87x | 2.60x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
GM leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in GM five years ago would be worth $13,592 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $5,425 for HOG. Over the past 12 months, GM leads with a +73.8% total return vs HOG's +6.0%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors GM at 33.4% vs HOG's -10.3% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +15.4% | -3.0% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +6.0% | +73.8% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -27.8% | +137.4% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -45.8% | +35.9% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -28.0% | +180.2% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -10.3% | +33.4% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — HOG and GM each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
HOG is the less volatile stock with a 0.96 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than GM's 1.07 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. GM currently trades 89.5% from its 52-week high vs HOG's 75.6% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.96x | 1.07x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $31.25 | $87.62 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $17.09 | $44.97 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +75.6% | +89.5% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 57.1 | 55.4 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 3.5M | 6.7M |
Analyst Outlook
HOG leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates HOG as "Hold" and GM as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 17.0% upside for GM (target: $92) vs -12.0% for HOG (target: $21). For income investors, HOG offers the higher dividend yield at 3.02% vs GM's 0.86%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $20.80 | $91.75 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 35 | 51 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +3.0% | +0.9% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 5 | 4 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.71 | $0.68 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +13.4% | +8.5% |
HOG leads in 3 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Profitability & Efficiency). GM leads in 1 (Total Returns). 2 tied.
HOG vs GM: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is HOG or GM a better buy right now?
For growth investors, General Motors Company (GM) is the stronger pick with -1.
3% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -13. 8% for Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG). Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG) offers the better valuation at 8. 5x trailing P/E (57. 5x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate General Motors Company (GM) a "Buy" — based on 51 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — HOG or GM?
On trailing P/E, Harley-Davidson, Inc.
(HOG) is the cheapest at 8. 5x versus General Motors Company at 24. 0x. On forward P/E, General Motors Company is actually cheaper at 6. 2x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — HOG or GM?
Over the past 5 years, General Motors Company (GM) delivered a total return of +35.
9%, compared to -45. 8% for Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: GM returned +180. 2% versus HOG's -28. 0%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — HOG or GM?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Harley-Davidson, Inc.
(HOG) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 96β versus General Motors Company's 1. 07β — meaning GM is approximately 11% more volatile than HOG relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 97% versus 2% for General Motors Company — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — HOG or GM?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), General Motors Company (GM) is pulling ahead at -1.
3% versus -13. 8% for Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Harley-Davidson, Inc. grew EPS -19. 2% year-over-year, compared to -48. 7% for General Motors Company. Over a 3-year CAGR, GM leads at 5. 7% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — HOG or GM?
Harley-Davidson, Inc.
(HOG) is the more profitable company, earning 7. 6% net margin versus 1. 5% for General Motors Company — meaning it keeps 7. 6% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: HOG leads at 8. 6% versus 1. 6% for GM. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — HOG leads at 30. 2%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is HOG or GM more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, General Motors Company (GM) trades at 6.
2x forward P/E versus 57. 5x for Harley-Davidson, Inc. — 51. 2x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for GM: 17. 0% to $91. 75.
08Which pays a better dividend — HOG or GM?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG) offers the highest yield at 3. 0%, versus 0. 9% for General Motors Company (GM).
09Is HOG or GM better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, General Motors Company (GM) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 1.
07), 0. 9% yield, +180. 2% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (GM: +180. 2%, HOG: -28. 0%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between HOG and GM?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Cyclical sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: HOG is a small-cap deep-value stock; GM is a mid-cap quality compounder stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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