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KFS vs AON vs ERIE vs RYAN vs ACGL
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Insurance - Brokers
Insurance - Brokers
Insurance - Specialty
Insurance - Diversified
KFS vs AON vs ERIE vs RYAN vs ACGL — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry | Auto - Dealerships | Insurance - Brokers | Insurance - Brokers | Insurance - Specialty | Insurance - Diversified |
| Market Cap | $293M | $67.19B | $10.01B | $4.11B | $33.67B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $147M | $17.49B | $4.33B | $3.16B | $19.93B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-10M | $3.94B | $571M | $132M | $4.40B |
| Gross Margin | 67.2% | 55.9% | 18.1% | 69.4% | 37.2% |
| Operating Margin | -3.4% | 27.0% | 17.0% | 16.6% | 25.0% |
| Forward P/E | — | 16.5x | 17.1x | 14.9x | 10.1x |
| Total Debt | $78M | $16.53B | $0.00 | $3.53B | $2.73B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $16M | $1.20B | $346M | $158M | $993M |
KFS vs AON vs ERIE vs RYAN vs ACGL — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Jul 21 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kingsway Financial … (KFS) | 100 | 222.3 | +122.3% |
| Aon plc (AON) | 100 | 120.3 | +20.3% |
| Erie Indemnity Comp… (ERIE) | 100 | 116.8 | +16.8% |
| Ryan Specialty Hold… (RYAN) | 100 | 106.1 | +6.1% |
| Arch Capital Group … (ACGL) | 100 | 240.5 | +140.5% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: KFS vs AON vs ERIE vs RYAN vs ACGL
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
KFS has the current edge in this matchup, primarily because of its strength in growth and momentum.
- 21.5% revenue growth vs ERIE's 7.2%
- +13.9% vs RYAN's -54.6%
AON is the #2 pick in this set and the best alternative if income & stability is your priority.
- Dividend streak 14 yrs, beta 0.10, yield 0.9%
- 22.5% margin vs KFS's -7.0%
- 0.9% yield, 14-year raise streak, vs ERIE's 2.2%
ERIE is the clearest fit if your priority is defensive.
- Beta 0.16, yield 2.2%, current ratio 1.27x
- 17.3% ROA vs KFS's -4.5%, ROIC 29.5% vs -5.4%
Among these 5 stocks, RYAN doesn't own a clear edge in any measured category.
ACGL ranks third and is worth considering specifically for growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 14.3%, EPS growth 3.8%, 3Y rev CAGR 27.3%
- 324.0% 10Y total return vs AON's 219.8%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.02, Low D/E 11.3%, current ratio 1.21x
- PEG 0.35 vs ERIE's 1.25
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 21.5% revenue growth vs ERIE's 7.2% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (10.1x vs 14.9x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 22.5% margin vs KFS's -7.0% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.02 vs KFS's 1.04, lower leverage | |
| Dividends | 0.9% yield, 14-year raise streak, vs ERIE's 2.2% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +13.9% vs RYAN's -54.6% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 17.3% ROA vs KFS's -4.5%, ROIC 29.5% vs -5.4% |
KFS vs AON vs ERIE vs RYAN vs ACGL — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
KFS vs AON vs ERIE vs RYAN vs ACGL — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 5 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Who Leads Where
ACGL leads in 3 of 6 categories
ERIE leads 1 • KFS leads 0 • AON leads 0 • RYAN leads 0 • 2 tied
Explore the data ↓Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
Evenly matched — AON and RYAN each lead in 2 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ACGL is the larger business by revenue, generating $19.9B annually — 135.4x KFS's $147M. AON is the more profitable business, keeping 22.5% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to KFS's -7.0%. On growth, KFS holds the edge at +35.9% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $147M | $17.5B | $4.3B | $3.2B | $19.9B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $2M | $5.4B | $786M | $743M | $5.2B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$10M | $3.9B | $571M | $132M | $4.4B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$346,000 | $3.5B | $537M | $555M | $6.1B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +67.2% | +55.9% | +18.1% | +69.4% | +37.2% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -3.4% | +27.0% | +17.0% | +16.6% | +25.0% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -7.0% | +22.5% | +13.2% | +4.2% | +22.1% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -0.2% | +20.0% | +12.4% | +17.6% | +30.7% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +35.9% | +6.4% | +2.3% | +15.2% | +7.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +23.1% | +27.1% | +7.9% | +2.4% | +39.0% |
Valuation Metrics
ACGL leads this category, winning 5 of 7 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 8.1x trailing earnings, ACGL trades at a 88% valuation discount to RYAN's 67.5x P/E. Adjusting for growth (PEG ratio), ACGL offers better value at 0.29x vs ERIE's 1.50x — a lower PEG means you pay less per unit of expected earnings growth.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $293M | $67.2B | $10.0B | $4.1B | $33.7B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $355M | $82.5B | $9.7B | $7.5B | $35.4B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -23.83x | 18.42x | 20.41x | 67.49x | 8.13x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | — | 16.50x | 17.05x | 14.90x | 10.05x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 1.23x | 1.50x | — | 0.29x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 114.59x | 15.54x | 12.14x | 8.20x | 6.85x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 2.15x | 3.91x | 2.46x | 1.35x | 1.69x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 8.30x | 7.11x | 5.00x | 7.04x | 1.47x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | — | 20.88x | 17.53x | 7.14x | 5.50x |
Profitability & Efficiency
ERIE leads this category, winning 5 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
AON delivers a 44.2% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $44 in annual profit, vs $-34 for KFS. ACGL carries lower financial leverage with a 0.11x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to RYAN's 2.82x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), AON scores 7/9 vs KFS's 2/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -34.4% | +44.2% | +25.0% | +10.8% | +19.0% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -4.5% | +7.6% | +17.3% | +1.3% | +5.9% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -5.4% | +13.5% | +29.5% | +10.8% | +15.4% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -2.9% | +16.2% | +32.0% | +6.4% | +11.6% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 2.27x | 1.73x | — | 2.82x | 0.11x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $62M | $15.3B | -$346M | $3.4B | $1.7B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $16M | $1.2B | $346M | $158M | $993M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $78M | $16.5B | $0 | $3.5B | $2.7B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -0.83x | 9.58x | — | 2.29x | 34.86x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
ACGL leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in ACGL five years ago would be worth $24,398 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $11,482 for ERIE. Over the past 12 months, KFS leads with a +13.9% total return vs RYAN's -54.6%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors ACGL at 9.3% vs RYAN's -8.6% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -13.2% | -8.5% | -20.9% | -37.1% | +0.7% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +13.9% | -12.0% | -38.7% | -54.6% | +2.0% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +16.2% | -3.2% | -0.2% | -23.8% | +30.7% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +105.8% | +26.2% | +14.8% | +20.0% | +144.0% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +122.8% | +219.8% | +171.6% | +20.0% | +324.0% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +5.1% | -1.1% | -0.1% | -8.6% | +9.3% |
Risk & Volatility
ACGL leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
ACGL is the less volatile stock with a 0.02 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than KFS's 1.04 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. ACGL currently trades 91.4% from its 52-week high vs RYAN's 43.8% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.12x | 0.06x | 0.13x | 0.19x | -0.01x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $16.80 | $381.00 | $380.67 | $72.50 | $103.39 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $8.82 | $304.59 | $210.06 | $29.28 | $82.45 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +61.0% | +82.3% | +56.9% | +43.8% | +91.4% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 40.6 | 37.9 | 33.6 | 28.8 | 46.3 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 82K | 1.2M | 231K | 2.1M | 1.9M |
Analyst Outlook
Evenly matched — AON and ERIE each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Analyst consensus: AON as "Buy", RYAN as "Buy", ACGL as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 43.8% upside for RYAN (target: $46) vs 10.0% for ACGL (target: $104). For income investors, ERIE offers the higher dividend yield at 2.23% vs KFS's 0.36%.
| Metric | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | — | Buy | — | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | $404.40 | — | $45.60 | $104.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | — | 38 | — | 19 | 34 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +0.4% | +0.9% | +2.2% | +0.7% | +0.0% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 1 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $0.04 | $2.91 | $4.83 | $0.22 | $0.02 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.1% | +1.5% | 0.0% | +0.1% | +5.6% |
ACGL leads in 3 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Total Returns). ERIE leads in 1 (Profitability & Efficiency). 2 tied.
KFS vs AON vs ERIE vs RYAN vs ACGL: Key Questions Answered
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is KFS or AON or ERIE or RYAN or ACGL a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Kingsway Financial Services Inc.
(KFS) is the stronger pick with 21. 5% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 7. 2% for Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE). Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) offers the better valuation at 8. 1x trailing P/E (10. 1x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Aon plc (AON) a "Buy" — based on 38 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — KFS or AON or ERIE or RYAN or ACGL?
On trailing P/E, Arch Capital Group Ltd.
(ACGL) is the cheapest at 8. 1x versus Ryan Specialty Holdings, Inc. at 67. 5x. On forward P/E, Arch Capital Group Ltd. is actually cheaper at 10. 1x. The PEG ratio (P/E divided by earnings growth rate) is the most growth-adjusted single valuation metric: Arch Capital Group Ltd. wins at 0. 35x versus Erie Indemnity Company's 1. 25x — a PEG below 1. 0 traditionally signals the market is underpricing earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — KFS or AON or ERIE or RYAN or ACGL?
Over the past 5 years, Arch Capital Group Ltd.
(ACGL) delivered a total return of +144. 0%, compared to +14. 8% for Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: ACGL returned +321. 0% versus RYAN's +18. 5%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — KFS or AON or ERIE or RYAN or ACGL?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Arch Capital Group Ltd.
(ACGL) is the lower-risk stock at -0. 01β versus Kingsway Financial Services Inc. 's 1. 12β — meaning KFS is approximately -9824% more volatile than ACGL relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 11% versus 3% for Ryan Specialty Holdings, Inc. — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — KFS or AON or ERIE or RYAN or ACGL?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Kingsway Financial Services Inc.
(KFS) is pulling ahead at 21. 5% versus 7. 2% for Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Aon plc grew EPS 36. 3% year-over-year, compared to -33. 8% for Ryan Specialty Holdings, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, ACGL leads at 27. 3% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — KFS or AON or ERIE or RYAN or ACGL?
Arch Capital Group Ltd.
(ACGL) is the more profitable company, earning 22. 1% net margin versus -7. 8% for Kingsway Financial Services Inc. — meaning it keeps 22. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: AON leads at 25. 3% versus -4. 5% for KFS. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — KFS leads at 100. 0%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is KFS or AON or ERIE or RYAN or ACGL more undervalued right now?
The PEG ratio (forward P/E divided by expected earnings growth rate) is the most precise measure of undervaluation relative to growth potential.
By this metric, Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) is the more undervalued stock at a PEG of 0. 35x versus Erie Indemnity Company's 1. 25x. A PEG below 1. 0 is traditionally considered the threshold for growth-adjusted undervaluation. On forward earnings alone, Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) trades at 10. 1x forward P/E versus 17. 1x for Erie Indemnity Company — 7. 0x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for RYAN: 43. 8% to $45. 60.
08Which pays a better dividend — KFS or AON or ERIE or RYAN or ACGL?
In this comparison, ERIE (2.
2% yield), AON (0. 9% yield), RYAN (0. 7% yield), KFS (0. 4% yield) pay a dividend. ACGL does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is KFS or AON or ERIE or RYAN or ACGL better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Aon plc (AON) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
06), 0. 9% yield, +219. 0% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (AON: +219. 0%, KFS: +156. 5%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between KFS and AON and ERIE and RYAN and ACGL?
These companies operate in different sectors (KFS (Consumer Cyclical) and AON (Financial Services) and ERIE (Financial Services) and RYAN (Financial Services) and ACGL (Financial Services)), which means they face different economic cycles, regulatory environments, and macro sensitivities — making direct comparison nuanced.
In terms of investment character: KFS is a small-cap high-growth stock; AON is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; ERIE is a mid-cap quality compounder stock; RYAN is a small-cap high-growth stock; ACGL is a mid-cap deep-value stock. AON, ERIE, RYAN pay a dividend while KFS, ACGL do not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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