Airlines, Airports & Air Services
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MESA vs ALK
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Airlines, Airports & Air Services
MESA vs ALK — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Airlines, Airports & Air Services | Airlines, Airports & Air Services |
| Market Cap | $879M | $4.65B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $381M | $14.24B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-166M | $100M |
| Gross Margin | 10.8% | 59.7% |
| Operating Margin | -44.6% | 2.1% |
| Forward P/E | 30.9x | 46.7x |
| Total Debt | $103M | $6.89B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $42M | $627M |
MESA vs ALK — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | May 20 | Jan 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mesa Air Group, Inc. (MESA) | 100 | 646.2 | +546.2% |
| Alaska Air Group, I… (ALK) | 100 | 147.1 | +47.1% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: MESA vs ALK
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
MESA has the current edge in this matchup, primarily because of its strength in income & stability and long-term compounding.
- beta 0.82
- 78.7% 10Y total return vs ALK's -33.6%
- Lower volatility, beta 0.82, current ratio 0.67x
ALK is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure.
- Rev growth 21.3%, EPS growth -71.8%, 3Y rev CAGR 13.9%
- 21.3% revenue growth vs MESA's -19.9%
- 0.7% margin vs MESA's -43.6%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 21.3% revenue growth vs MESA's -19.9% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (30.9x vs 46.7x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 0.7% margin vs MESA's -43.6% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.82 vs ALK's 2.16 | |
| Dividends | Tie | Neither stock pays a meaningful dividend |
| Momentum (1Y) | +20.3% vs ALK's -19.1% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 0.5% ROA vs MESA's -71.1%, ROIC 2.3% vs -62.9% |
MESA vs ALK — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
MESA vs ALK — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ALK leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
ALK is the larger business by revenue, generating $14.2B annually — 37.3x MESA's $381M. ALK is the more profitable business, keeping 0.7% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to MESA's -43.6%. On growth, ALK holds the edge at +2.8% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $381M | $14.2B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | -$150M | $1.1B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$166M | $100M |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | -$53M | -$339M |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +10.8% | +59.7% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -44.6% | +2.1% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -43.6% | +0.7% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | -14.0% | -2.4% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | -21.3% | +2.8% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +43.3% | -67.3% |
Valuation Metrics
MESA leads this category, winning 2 of 3 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $879M | $4.7B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $1.2B | $10.9B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -0.04x | 46.67x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 30.88x | — |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | — | 9.95x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.85x | 0.33x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 0.03x | 1.16x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 63.13x | — |
Profitability & Efficiency
ALK leads this category, winning 6 of 8 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
ALK delivers a 2.4% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $2 in annual profit, vs $-5 for MESA. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), ALK scores 6/9 vs MESA's 4/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -5.3% | +2.4% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -71.1% | +0.5% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -62.9% | +2.3% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -86.2% | +2.2% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 4 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | — | 1.67x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $61M | $6.3B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $42M | $627M |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $103M | $6.9B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -8.18x | 2.05x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
MESA leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in MESA five years ago would be worth $18,834 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $5,979 for ALK. Over the past 12 months, MESA leads with a +2034.1% total return vs ALK's -19.1%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors MESA at 118.6% vs ALK's -2.2% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | 0.0% | -21.2% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | +2034.1% | -19.1% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +944.8% | -6.6% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +88.3% | -40.2% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +78.7% | -33.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +118.6% | -2.2% |
Risk & Volatility
MESA leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
MESA is the less volatile stock with a 0.82 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than ALK's 2.16 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. MESA currently trades 100.0% from its 52-week high vs ALK's 61.6% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 0.82x | 2.16x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $21.00 | $65.88 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $0.90 | $33.03 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +100.0% | +61.6% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 98.1 | 50.8 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 0 | 4.7M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates MESA as "Hold" and ALK as "Buy".
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Hold | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | — | $67.00 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 6 | 28 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | — |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 0 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | — |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | 0.0% |
MESA leads in 3 of 6 categories (Valuation Metrics, Total Returns). ALK leads in 2 (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency).
MESA vs ALK: Frequently Asked Questions
8 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is MESA or ALK a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Alaska Air Group, Inc.
(ALK) is the stronger pick with 21. 3% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -19. 9% for Mesa Air Group, Inc. (MESA). Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) offers the better valuation at 46. 7x trailing P/E, making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) a "Buy" — based on 28 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which is the better long-term investment — MESA or ALK?
Over the past 5 years, Mesa Air Group, Inc.
(MESA) delivered a total return of +88. 3%, compared to -40. 2% for Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: MESA returned +78. 7% versus ALK's -33. 6%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
03Which is safer — MESA or ALK?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Mesa Air Group, Inc.
(MESA) is the lower-risk stock at 0. 82β versus Alaska Air Group, Inc. 's 2. 16β — meaning ALK is approximately 164% more volatile than MESA relative to the S&P 500.
04Which is growing faster — MESA or ALK?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Alaska Air Group, Inc.
(ALK) is pulling ahead at 21. 3% versus -19. 9% for Mesa Air Group, Inc. (MESA). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Alaska Air Group, Inc. grew EPS -71. 8% year-over-year, compared to -82. 4% for Mesa Air Group, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, ALK leads at 13. 9% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
05Which has better profit margins — MESA or ALK?
Alaska Air Group, Inc.
(ALK) is the more profitable company, earning 0. 7% net margin versus -39. 9% for Mesa Air Group, Inc. — meaning it keeps 0. 7% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: ALK leads at 2. 1% versus -46. 5% for MESA. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — MESA leads at 99. 1%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
06Which pays a better dividend — MESA or ALK?
None of the stocks in this comparison currently pay a material dividend.
All are effectively zero-yield and should be held for capital appreciation rather than income.
07Is MESA or ALK better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Mesa Air Group, Inc.
(MESA) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0. 82)). Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) carries a higher beta of 2. 16 — meaning larger drawdowns in market downturns, which matters significantly when you cannot wait years for a recovery. Both have compounded well over 10 years (MESA: +78. 7%, ALK: -33. 6%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
08What are the main differences between MESA and ALK?
Both stocks operate in the Industrials sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: MESA is a small-cap quality compounder stock; ALK is a small-cap high-growth stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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