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NCNO vs MSFT
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Software - Infrastructure
NCNO vs MSFT — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Software - Application | Software - Infrastructure |
| Market Cap | $2.07B | $3.07T |
| Revenue (TTM) | $586M | $318.27B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $-22M | $125.22B |
| Gross Margin | 60.1% | 68.3% |
| Operating Margin | -0.8% | 46.8% |
| Forward P/E | 19.3x | 24.9x |
| Total Debt | $237M | $112.18B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $121M | $30.24B |
NCNO vs MSFT — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Jul 20 | May 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| nCino, Inc. (NCNO) | 100 | 22.0 | -78.0% |
| Microsoft Corporati… (MSFT) | 100 | 201.9 | +101.9% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: NCNO vs MSFT
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
NCNO is the clearest fit if your priority is value.
- Lower P/E (19.3x vs 24.9x)
MSFT carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability and growth exposure.
- Dividend streak 19 yrs, beta 0.89, yield 0.8%
- Rev growth 14.9%, EPS growth 15.6%, 3Y rev CAGR 12.4%
- 7.7% 10Y total return vs NCNO's -81.0%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 14.9% revenue growth vs NCNO's 13.5% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (19.3x vs 24.9x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 39.3% margin vs NCNO's -3.7% | |
| Stability / Safety | Beta 0.89 vs NCNO's 1.18 | |
| Dividends | 0.8% yield; 19-year raise streak; the other pay no meaningful dividend | |
| Momentum (1Y) | -3.7% vs NCNO's -21.3% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 19.2% ROA vs NCNO's -1.4%, ROIC 24.9% vs -1.2% |
NCNO vs MSFT — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
NCNO vs MSFT — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MSFT leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
MSFT is the larger business by revenue, generating $318.3B annually — 542.7x NCNO's $586M. MSFT is the more profitable business, keeping 39.3% of every revenue dollar as net income compared to NCNO's -3.7%. On growth, MSFT holds the edge at +18.3% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $586M | $318.3B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $27M | $192.6B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | -$22M | $125.2B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $60M | $72.9B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +60.1% | +68.3% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | -0.8% | +46.8% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | -3.7% | +39.3% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +10.2% | +22.9% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +9.6% | +18.3% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +2.3% | +23.4% |
Valuation Metrics
NCNO leads this category, winning 5 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
On an enterprise value basis, MSFT's 19.4x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than NCNO's 119.8x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $2.1B | $3.07T |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $2.2B | $3.16T |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | -52.85x | 30.34x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 19.26x | 24.91x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | — | 1.61x |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 119.76x | 19.40x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 3.82x | 10.91x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 1.83x | 8.99x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 38.69x | 42.93x |
Profitability & Efficiency
MSFT leads this category, winning 6 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
MSFT delivers a 33.1% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $33 in annual profit, vs $-2 for NCNO. NCNO carries lower financial leverage with a 0.22x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to MSFT's 0.33x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), MSFT scores 6/9 vs NCNO's 5/9, reflecting solid financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | -2.1% | +33.1% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | -1.4% | +19.2% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | -1.2% | +24.9% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | -1.5% | +29.7% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 5 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.22x | 0.33x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | $116M | $81.9B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $121M | $30.2B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $237M | $112.2B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | -0.51x | 55.65x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
MSFT leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in MSFT five years ago would be worth $17,152 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $3,088 for NCNO. Over the past 12 months, MSFT leads with a -3.7% total return vs NCNO's -21.3%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors MSFT at 11.1% vs NCNO's -8.2% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | -29.2% | -12.3% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -21.3% | -3.7% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -22.5% | +37.2% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -69.1% | +71.5% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | -81.0% | +768.1% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | -8.2% | +11.1% |
Risk & Volatility
MSFT leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
MSFT is the less volatile stock with a 0.89 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than NCNO's 1.18 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. MSFT currently trades 74.5% from its 52-week high vs NCNO's 51.4% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | 1.18x | 0.89x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $33.92 | $555.45 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $13.80 | $356.28 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +51.4% | +74.5% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 55.9 | 52.6 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 2.7M | 32.8M |
Analyst Outlook
Insufficient data to determine a leader in this category.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates NCNO as "Buy" and MSFT as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 85.4% upside for NCNO (target: $32) vs 33.3% for MSFT (target: $552). MSFT is the only dividend payer here at 0.78% yield — a key consideration for income-focused portfolios.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $32.33 | $551.75 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 23 | 81 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | — | +0.8% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | — | 19 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | — | $3.23 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | 0.0% | +0.6% |
MSFT leads in 4 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Profitability & Efficiency). NCNO leads in 1 (Valuation Metrics).
NCNO vs MSFT: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is NCNO or MSFT a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) is the stronger pick with 14.
9% revenue growth year-over-year, versus 13. 5% for nCino, Inc. (NCNO). Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) offers the better valuation at 30. 3x trailing P/E (24. 9x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate nCino, Inc. (NCNO) a "Buy" — based on 23 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — NCNO or MSFT?
On forward P/E, nCino, Inc.
is actually cheaper at 19. 3x — notably different from the trailing picture, reflecting expected earnings growth.
03Which is the better long-term investment — NCNO or MSFT?
Over the past 5 years, Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) delivered a total return of +71.
5%, compared to -69. 1% for nCino, Inc. (NCNO). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: MSFT returned +768. 1% versus NCNO's -81. 0%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — NCNO or MSFT?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) is the lower-risk stock at 0.
89β versus nCino, Inc. 's 1. 18β — meaning NCNO is approximately 34% more volatile than MSFT relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, nCino, Inc. (NCNO) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 22% versus 33% for Microsoft Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — NCNO or MSFT?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) is pulling ahead at 14.
9% versus 13. 5% for nCino, Inc. (NCNO). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Microsoft Corporation grew EPS 15. 6% year-over-year, compared to 13. 2% for nCino, Inc.. Over a 3-year CAGR, NCNO leads at 25. 4% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — NCNO or MSFT?
Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) is the more profitable company, earning 36.
1% net margin versus -7. 0% for nCino, Inc. — meaning it keeps 36. 1% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: MSFT leads at 45. 6% versus -3. 4% for NCNO. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — MSFT leads at 68. 8%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is NCNO or MSFT more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, nCino, Inc.
(NCNO) trades at 19. 3x forward P/E versus 24. 9x for Microsoft Corporation — 5. 6x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for NCNO: 85. 4% to $32. 33.
08Which pays a better dividend — NCNO or MSFT?
In this comparison, MSFT (0.
8% yield) pays a dividend. NCNO does not pay a meaningful dividend and should not be held primarily for income.
09Is NCNO or MSFT better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β 0.
89), 0. 8% yield, +768. 1% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (MSFT: +768. 1%, NCNO: -81. 0%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between NCNO and MSFT?
Both stocks operate in the Technology sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
MSFT pays a dividend while NCNO does not, making them suitable for different income and tax situations. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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