Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated Feb 28, 2026
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
As of March 2, 2026, Sirius XM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $22.50, based on estimates from 32 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $21.96, this represents a potential upside of +2.5%. The company has a market capitalization of $7.36B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $21.00 to a high of $24.00, representing a 13% spread in expectations. The median target of $22.50 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 18 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,9 rating it Hold, and 5 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, SIRI trades at a trailing P/E of 9.8x and forward P/E of 7.0x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.14 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +39.6% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $17.51, with bear and bull scenarios of $-16.82 and $53.30 respectively. Model confidence stands at 35/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
Price is only half the story. See total return with reinvested dividends.
Launch CalculatorSee our Bear / Base / Bull DCF models and intrinsic value estimates.
View ValuationSee how SIRI stacks up against sector leader Netflix, Inc..
Start ComparisonThe consensus price target for SIRI is $22.5, close to the current price of $21.96 (2.5% implied move). Based on 32 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
SIRI has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 32 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 18 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $22.5 implies 2.5% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 6.9553x, SIRI trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $22.5 implies 2.5% appreciation, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $24 for SIRI, while the most conservative target is $21. The consensus of $22.5 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $53 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
SIRI is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 32 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 1 have Strong Buy ratings, 17 have Buy ratings, 9 recommend Hold, and 5 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month SIRI stock forecast based on 32 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $22.5, with estimates ranging from $21 (bear case) to $24 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $18, with bear/bull scenarios of $-17/$53.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates SIRI's fair value at $18 (base case), with a bear case of $-17 and bull case of $53. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 35/100.
SIRI trades at a forward P/E ratio of 7.0x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 9.8x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
SIRI appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Buy" rating and minimal upside to the $22.5 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SIRI analyst price targets range from $21 to $24, a 13% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $22.5 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $-17-$53 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.