13.7% Below Target

AerCap Holdings N.V. (AER) has a consensus 12-month price target of $165, implying 13.7% upside from $145.06. The 25 analysts covering AER see moderate appreciation potential.

AER has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 25 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 24 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $165 implies 13.7% upside from current levels.

With a forward P/E of 8.4404x, AER trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $165 implies 13.7% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $175 for AER, while the most conservative target is $155. The consensus of $165 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $190 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

AER is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 25 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 24 have Buy ratings, 1 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

The 12-month AER stock forecast based on 25 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $165, with estimates ranging from $155 (bear case) to $175 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $145, with bear/bull scenarios of $91/$190.

Our quantitative valuation model calculates AER's fair value at $145 (base case), with a bear case of $91 and bull case of $190. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 52/100.

AER trades at a forward P/E ratio of 8.4x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 6.8x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Wall Street analysts are optimistic on AER, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $165 price target (13.7% upside). 24 of 25 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

AER analyst price targets range from $155 to $175, a 12% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $165 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $91-$190 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.