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Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM) Price Target Analysis

Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated Feb 28, 2026

Current Price
$157.66
Market reference
Price Target
$233.00
+47.8% Upside
Target Range
$233.00 — $233.00
High conviction
Analyst Rating
Buy
5 analysts
Forward P/E8.4x
Trailing P/E9.5x
Forward PEG0.56
Implied Growth+13.4%
Median Target$233.00
Analyst Spread0.0%

Analysts see +47.8% upside to their consensus target of $233.00. The bullish rating consensus aligns with positive price target gap.

Price Forecast (1 Year)

Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path

Current$157.66
Consensus$233.00
High$233.00
Low$233.00
Model$200.62
Bear Case
$233
+47.8%
Consensus
$233
+47.8%
Bull Case
$233
+47.8%
Valuation Model TargetsConfidence: 48/100
Bear$152
Base$201
Bull$792

Analyst Ratings Distribution

Breakdown of 5 published analyst recommendations for AGM

4/5 analysts are bullish
+40
BearishBullish
Weighted analyst sentiment score based on 5 ratings
ConsensusBuy
Coverage5 Analysts
Net Score+40
Bull / Bear80% / 0%
Strong Buy00%
Buy480%
Hold120%
Sell00%
Strong Sell00%
Strong Buy
00%
Buy
480%
Hold
120%
Sell
00%
Strong Sell
00%
Recommendation Mix80% Buy · 20% Hold · 0% Sell
Buy (4)Hold (1)Sell (0)

AGM Price Target Analysis

Updated March 2, 2026

As of March 2, 2026, Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $233.00, based on estimates from 5 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $157.66, this represents a potential upside of +47.8%. The company has a market capitalization of $1.47B.

Analyst price targets range from a low of $233.00 to a high of $233.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $233.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.

The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 4 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,1 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.

From a valuation perspective, AGM trades at a trailing P/E of 9.5x and forward P/E of 8.4x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.56 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +13.4% over the next year.

Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $200.62, with bear and bull scenarios of $152.28 and $792.21 respectively. Model confidence stands at 48/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.

Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Financial Services stocks.

Analyst Sentiment Comparison

Industry Peer Analysis
Avg Peer Upside+53.4%
Avg Forward P/E9.3x
Peers with Coverage4 / 9
CompanyMarket CapPriceTargetUpsideRatingFwd P/EAnalysts
AGMFederal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation
$1.5B$157.66$233.00+47.8%Buy8.4x5
KKRSKKR Group Finance Co. IX LLC 4.$15.7B$17.59—————
CGABLThe Carlyle Group Inc. 4.625% Subordinated Notes due 2061$6.3B$17.59—————
UPSTUpstart Holdings, Inc.$2.7B$27.23$45.17+65.9%Hold12.8x22
YRDYiren Digital Ltd.$673M$3.90——Sell—8
NRDSNerdWallet, Inc.$344M$10.85$16.00+47.5%Buy11.6x6
PTPintec Technology Holdings Limited$48M$0.95—————
SNTGSentage Holdings Inc.$5M$1.91—————
FOAFinance Of America Companies Inc.$232$19.35$29.50+52.5%Hold4.5x5

Upside Potential Comparison

UPST
+65.9%
FOA
+52.5%
AGM
+47.8%
NRDS
+47.5%

See AGM's True Return

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Is AGM Undervalued?

See our Bear / Base / Bull DCF models and intrinsic value estimates.

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Compare AGM vs JPM

See how AGM stacks up against sector leader JPMorgan Chase & Co..

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the AGM stock price target for 2026?

The consensus Wall Street price target for AGM is $233, representing 47.8% upside from the current price of $157.66. With 5 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.

Is AGM a buy, sell, or hold?

AGM has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 5 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 4 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $233 implies 47.8% upside from current levels.

Is AGM stock overvalued or undervalued?

With a forward P/E of 8.358x, AGM trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $233 implies 47.8% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.

How high can AGM stock go?

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $233 for AGM, while the most conservative target is $233. The consensus of $233 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $792 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

How many analysts cover AGM stock?

AGM is moderately covered, with 5 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 4 have Buy ratings, 1 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

What is the AGM stock forecast?

The 12-month AGM stock forecast based on 5 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $233, with estimates ranging from $233 (bear case) to $233 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $201, with bear/bull scenarios of $152/$792.

What is AGM's fair value based on fundamentals?

Our quantitative valuation model calculates AGM's fair value at $201 (base case), with a bear case of $152 and bull case of $792. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 48/100.

What is AGM's forward P/E ratio?

AGM trades at a forward P/E ratio of 8.4x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 9.5x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Should I buy AGM stock?

Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on AGM, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $233 price target (47.8% upside). 4 of 5 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Why do AGM price targets vary so much?

AGM analyst price targets range from $233 to $233, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $233 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $152-$792 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.

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