AGM trades 8.5% below Wall Street's consensus target of $233.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes AGM achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 10.3x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 5 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of October 3, 2026, Federal Agricultural Mortgage (AGM) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $233.00, based on estimates from 5 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $214.79, this represents a potential upside of +8.5%. The company has a market capitalization of $2.34B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $233.00 to a high of $233.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $233.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 4 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,1 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.
From a valuation perspective, AGM trades at a trailing P/E of 12.9x and forward P/E of 10.3x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.69 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +22.0% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $202.81, with bear and bull scenarios of $127.77 and $267.22 respectively. Model confidence stands at 45/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 AGNCAGNC Investment Corp. | $10.1B | $8.79 | $11.67 | +32.8% | Hold | 5.6x | 35 |
 NLYAnnaly Capital Management, Inc. | $13.9B | $18.50 | $23.50 | +27.0% | Buy | 6.0x | 28 |
 RITMRithm Capital Corp. | $4.9B | $8.71 | $13.00 | +49.3% | Buy | 3.8x | 19 |
 PMTPennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust | $680M | $7.80 | $10.50 | +34.6% | Hold | 7.7x | 26 |
 RCReady Capital Corporation | $187M | $1.13 | $2.00 | +77.0% | Buy | — | 16 |
 HASIHA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc. | $4.6B | $36.27 | $50.17 | +38.3% | Buy | 12.0x | 18 |
 LADRLadder Capital Corp | $1.1B | $8.62 | $10.25 | +18.9% | Buy | 8.6x | 17 |
 DEDeere & Company | $185.4B | $687.00 | $731.20 | +6.4% | Buy | 37.9x | 46 |
 AGCOAGCO Corporation | $8.3B | $114.61 | $131.00 | +14.3% | Buy | 20.3x | 29 |
 CNHCNH Industrial N.V. | $16.7B | $13.47 | $14.56 | +8.1% | Buy | 30.2x | 15 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying AGM stock.
The consensus price target for AGM is $233, close to the current price of $214.79 (8.5% implied move). Based on 5 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
AGM has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 5 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 4 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $233 implies 8.5% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 10.2869x, AGM trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $233 implies 8.5% appreciation, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $233 for AGM, while the most conservative target is $233. The consensus of $233 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $267 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
AGM is moderately covered, with 5 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 4 have Buy ratings, 1 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month AGM stock forecast based on 5 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $233, with estimates ranging from $233 (bear case) to $233 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $203, with bear/bull scenarios of $128/$267.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates AGM's fair value at $203 (base case), with a bear case of $128 and bull case of $267. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 45/100.
AGM trades at a forward P/E ratio of 10.3x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 12.9x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
AGM appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Buy" rating and minimal upside to the $233 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
AGM analyst price targets range from $233 to $233, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $233 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $128-$267 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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