AGM trades 27.0% below Wall Street's consensus target of $233.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes AGM achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 9.4x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 5 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of June 23, 2026, Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation (AGM) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $233.00, based on estimates from 5 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $183.07, this represents a potential upside of +27.0%. The company has a market capitalization of $2.00B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $233.00 to a high of $233.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $233.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 4 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,1 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.
From a valuation perspective, AGM trades at a trailing P/E of 11.0x and forward P/E of 9.4x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.63 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +20.3% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $202.81, with bear and bull scenarios of $127.77 and $267.22 respectively. Model confidence stands at 45/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AGNCAGNC Investment Corp. | $11.7B | $10.38 | $11.13 | +7.2% | Hold | 6.7x | 35 |
NLYAnnaly Capital Management, Inc. | $15.9B | $22.16 | $24.33 | +9.5% | Buy | 7.4x | 28 |
RITMRithm Capital Corp. | $5.1B | $9.14 | $13.50 | +46.9% | Buy | 4.0x | 19 |
PMTPennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust | $865M | $9.94 | $11.75 | +14.6% | Hold | 8.3x | 26 |
RCReady Capital Corporation | $264M | $1.60 | $2.50 | +42.9% | Buy | — | 16 |
HASIHA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc. | $5.0B | $39.24 | $47.43 | +21.4% | Buy | 13.1x | 18 |
LADRLadder Capital Corp | $1.3B | $10.17 | $13.00 | +27.5% | Buy | 10.2x | 17 |
DEDeere & Company | $161.6B | $598.59 | $690.00 | +17.1% | Hold | 32.6x | 46 |
AGCOAGCO Corporation | $8.2B | $113.92 | $124.63 | +9.7% | Buy | 19.0x | 29 |
CNHCNH Industrial N.V. | $12.9B | $10.38 | $13.09 | +25.1% | Buy | 25.8x | 14 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying AGM stock.
The consensus Wall Street price target for AGM is $233, representing 27.0% upside from the current price of $183.07. With 5 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
AGM has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 5 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 4 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $233 implies 27.0% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 9.3991x, AGM trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $233 implies 27.0% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $233 for AGM, while the most conservative target is $233. The consensus of $233 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $267 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
AGM is moderately covered, with 5 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 4 have Buy ratings, 1 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month AGM stock forecast based on 5 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $233, with estimates ranging from $233 (bear case) to $233 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $203, with bear/bull scenarios of $128/$267.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates AGM's fair value at $203 (base case), with a bear case of $128 and bull case of $267. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 45/100.
AGM trades at a forward P/E ratio of 9.4x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 11.0x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on AGM, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $233 price target (27.0% upside). 4 of 5 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
AGM analyst price targets range from $233 to $233, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $233 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $128-$267 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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