Rithm Capital Corp. (RITM) Price Target Analysis
Updated Jun 18, 2026
Analyst Rating: Buy
Based on 19 analysts46.9% Below Target
RITM trades 46.9% below Wall Street's consensus target of $13.50.
Current Price$9.19
Average Target$13.50
Target
Current
Low$12.50
Median$13.00
High$15.00
Analyst Target Range
Forward P/E4.0x
(Value)
PEG Ratio—
Implied Growth+88.2%
(High Growth)
Analyst Spread18.5%
(High Agreement)
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Consensus Scenario Assumptions
The base valuation assumes RITM achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 4.0x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 19 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
RITM Price Target Analysis
Updated June 20, 2026As of June 20, 2026, Rithm Capital Corp. (RITM) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $13.50, based on estimates from 19 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $9.19, this represents a potential upside of +46.9%. The company has a market capitalization of $5.13B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $12.50 to a high of $15.00, representing a 19% spread in expectations. The median target of $13.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 18 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,1 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.
From a valuation perspective, RITM trades at a trailing P/E of 8.8x and forward P/E of 4.0x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +88.2% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $21.42, with bear and bull scenarios of $13.50 and $28.23 respectively. Model confidence stands at 57/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Real Estate stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside
+19.1%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
8.8x
(Value)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 AGNCAGNC Investment Corp. | $11.7B | $10.38 | $11.13 | +7.2% | Hold | 6.7x | 35 |
 NLYAnnaly Capital Management, Inc. | $16.0B | $22.21 | $24.33 | +9.5% | Buy | 7.4x | 28 |
 TWOTwo Harbors Investment Corp. | $1.3B | $12.32 | $13.50 | +9.6% | Hold | 10.8x | 22 |
 MFAMFA Financial, Inc. | $973M | $9.53 | $10.50 | +10.2% | Hold | 7.5x | 23 |
 RWTRedwood Trust, Inc. | $645M | $5.16 | $6.25 | +21.1% | Hold | 5.0x | 23 |
 PMTPennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust | $892M | $10.25 | $11.75 | +14.6% | Hold | 8.3x | 26 |
 EARNEllington Credit Company | $165M | $4.39 | $6.00 | +36.7% | Hold | 5.0x | 7 |
 PFSIPennyMac Financial Services, Inc. | $4.3B | $82.38 | $118.80 | +44.2% | Buy | 8.1x | 20 |
 RKTRocket Companies, Inc. | $40.7B | $14.42 | $21.63 | +50.0% | Hold | 19.5x | 25 |
 GHLDGuild Holdings Company | $439M | $20.01 | $17.63 | -11.9% | Hold | 10.2x | 6 |
RITM — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying RITM stock.
What is the RITM stock price target for 2026?
The consensus Wall Street price target for RITM is $13.5, representing 46.9% upside from the current price of $9.19. With 19 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
Is RITM a buy, sell, or hold?
RITM has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 19 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 18 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $13.5 implies 46.9% upside from current levels.
Is RITM stock overvalued or undervalued?
With a forward P/E of 4.0458x, RITM trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $13.5 implies 46.9% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
How high can RITM stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $15 for RITM, while the most conservative target is $12.5. The consensus of $13.5 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $28 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover RITM stock?
RITM is well covered by analysts, with 19 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 18 have Buy ratings, 1 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the RITM stock forecast?
The 12-month RITM stock forecast based on 19 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $13.5, with estimates ranging from $12.5 (bear case) to $15 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $21, with bear/bull scenarios of $14/$28.
What is RITM's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates RITM's fair value at $21 (base case), with a bear case of $14 and bull case of $28. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 57/100.
What is RITM's forward P/E ratio?
RITM trades at a forward P/E ratio of 4.0x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 8.8x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy RITM stock?
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on RITM, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $13.5 price target (46.9% upside). 18 of 19 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do RITM price targets vary so much?
RITM analyst price targets range from $12.5 to $15, a 19% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $13.5 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $14-$28 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
Consensus-Based Analysis Tools
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