Free cash flow remains highly erratic, evidenced by a negative 21.8% margin in 2023Q4 and a disconnect between earnings and cash generation, highlighted by a -2.18x OCF/NI ratio in 2026Q1.
| Metric | TTM | Dec'25 | Dec'24 | Dec'23 | Dec'22 | Dec'21 | Dec'20 | Dec'19 | Dec'18 | Dec'17 | Dec'16 | Dec'15 | Dec'14 | Dec'13 | Dec'12 | Dec'11 | Dec'10 | Dec'09 | Dec'08 | Dec'07 | Dec'06 | Dec'05 | Dec'04 | Dec'03 | Dec'02 | Dec'01 | Dec'00 | Dec'99 | Dec'98 | Dec'97 | Dec'96 |
|---|
| Cash from Operations | 1.21B | 1.25B | 1.46B | 1.05B | 1.42B | 1.03B | -234M | 1.72B | 1.2B | 1.59B | 1.39B | 1.58B | 1.03B | 981M | 753M | 696M | 553.7M | 305.3M | 164.3M | 482M | 449.8M | 271.9M | 334M | 355.2M | 124.5M | 278.3M | 265M | 330.1M | 310.2M | 205.2M | 222.9M |
| Operating CF Margin % | - | 8.77% | 12.48% | 10.07% | 14.7% | 16.68% | -6.56% | 19.61% | 14.46% | 20.14% | 23.37% | 28.3% | 19.19% | 19.03% | 16.17% | 16.12% | 14.45% | 8.98% | 4.49% | 13.75% | 13.49% | 9.14% | 12.26% | 14.53% | 5.6% | 13% | 12.17% | 15.85% | 16.35% | 11.8% | 14% |
| Operating CF Growth % | -103.92% | -14.69% | 39.43% | -25.95% | 37.67% | 540.17% | -113.59% | 44.1% | -24.84% | 14.72% | -12.5% | 53.79% | 4.99% | 30.28% | 8.19% | 25.7% | 81.36% | 85.82% | -65.91% | 7.16% | 65.43% | -18.59% | -5.97% | 185.3% | -55.26% | 5.02% | -19.72% | 6.42% | 51.17% | -7.94% | 77.61% |
| Net Income | 73M | 100M | 395M | 235M | 58M | 478M | -1.32B | 769M | 437M | 1.03B | 814M | 848M | 605M | 508M | 316M | 244.5M | 251.1M | 121.6M | -135.9M | 125M | -52.6M | -5.9M | -15.3M | 13.5M | -118.6M | -43.4M | -13.4M | 134.2M | 124.4M | 72.4M | 38M |
| Depreciation & Amortization | 805M | 795M | 583M | 451M | 415M | 394M | 420M | 423M | 398M | 372M | 363M | 320M | 294M | 270M | 264M | 246.9M | 230.5M | 219.2M | 204.6M | 177.4M | 157.5M | 143.4M | 205.2M | 202.2M | 194.7M | 205.1M | 170.8M | 134.9M | 116.2M | 103.4M | 102.1M |
| Stock-Based Compensation | 25M | 10M | 63M | 59M | 35M | 51M | 24M | 29M | 47M | 55M | 26M | 25M | 6M | 32M | 10M | 16.5M | 13.7M | 11.9M | 13.4M | 0 | 8.2M | 0 | 18.6M | 52.8M | 0 | 9.8M | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Deferred Taxes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22M | -445M | 0 | 209M | 146M | 45M | 94M | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 145.3M | 84.1M | 0 | 0 | -34M | 51.6M | -2.5M | 4.4M | 30.7M | 15M | 11.6M | 44.8M | 26.9M | 22.8M | 8.5M |
| Other Non-Cash Items | -11M | 51M | -69M | 591M | 481M | 434M | 847M | -209M | 0 | 0 | 17M | 0 | 0 | 67M | 154M | 38.9M | -1.1M | -63.3M | 84.1M | 168.4M | 357.3M | 4.1M | -30.2M | -48.5M | 45.5M | 17.6M | -7.7M | 23.7M | 44.8M | 14.5M | 71.3M |
| Working Capital Changes | 319M | 293M | 492M | -286M | 407M | 118M | -201M | 501M | 313M | 129M | 183M | 391M | 125M | 363M | 163M | 149.2M | -85.8M | -68.2M | -1.9M | 11.2M | 13.4M | 76.6M | 158.2M | 130.8M | -27.8M | 74.2M | 134.4M | -7.5M | -2.1M | -7.9M | 3M |
| Change in Receivables | -58M | -4M | -128M | -19M | 250M | -66M | -160M | 43M | -25M | -39M | -46M | 47M | -110M | -19M | 9M | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -10M | -24.8M | 21.3M | 4.8M | -44.4M | 3.1M | -7.5M | -4M | 2M | -2.9M | 18.8M |
| Change in Inventory | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Change in Payables | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 124.9M | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cash from Investing | -1.41B | -1.62B | -634M | -964M | -1.22B | -1.01B | -593M | -791M | -631M | -1.13B | -2.62B | -930M | -541M | -698M | -645M | -403.3M | -295.2M | -657.4M | -581.3M | -601.8M | -533M | -481.1M | -365.7M | -638.1M | -361.4M | -121.1M | -570M | -467.9M | -746.5M | -483.1M | -153.2M |
| Capital Expenditures | -1.69B | -1.59B | -1.28B | -1.49B | -1.67B | -292M | -206M | -696M | -960M | -1.03B | -678M | -831M | -694M | -566M | -574M | -387.4M | -183M | -438.4M | -412.8M | -834.4M | -682.1M | -431M | -199.1M | -369.2M | -200.9M | -383.5M | -448.6M | -565M | -613.4M | -439M | -269.8M |
| CapEx % of Revenue | 11.72% | 11.15% | 10.92% | 14.33% | 17.32% | 4.73% | 5.78% | 7.93% | 11.62% | 13% | 11.43% | 14.84% | 12.93% | 10.98% | 12.33% | 8.97% | 4.78% | 12.89% | 11.27% | 23.8% | 20.46% | 14.49% | 7.31% | 15.1% | 9.03% | 17.91% | 20.6% | 27.14% | 32.32% | 25.24% | 16.95% |
| Acquisitions | 0 | 0 | -659M | 0 | 4M | 2M | 279M | 0 | 47M | 78M | -1.95B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2M | 6.7M | 0 | 63.4M | 0 | 6.5M | 12.4M | 3.4M | 3.6M | 87.8M | 43.1M | 8.3M | 35.3M | 15.6M | 59.2M |
| Investments | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Other Investing | 161M | 155M | 377M | -86M | -6M | -12M | -22M | 41M | 47M | 75M | 5M | 53M | 10M | -3M | 11M | -88.1M | -28.4M | -8.1M | 17.9M | -2.6M | 19.7M | 6.5M | 25.5M | -18.4M | 32.8M | -15.6M | -400K | 8.1M | -1.3M | -2M | 500K |
| Cash from Financing | -391M | -199M | 119M | -147M | -325M | -914M | 1.98B | -813M | -647M | -592M | 1.49B | -688M | -462M | -325M | -88M | -280M | -333.2M | 233.2M | 495.8M | 93.4M | 240.3M | 254.8M | -106.9M | 206.8M | 15.1M | 232M | 273.6M | 240.9M | 363.1M | 331.1M | -46.1M |
| Debt Issued (Net) | 215M | 289M | 395M | 129M | -385M | -971M | 2B | -608M | -468M | -397M | 1.79B | -116M | -68M | -161M | -275M | -227M | -321M | 14M | 540.7M | 149.7M | 205.8M | 39.6M | -115.3M | 203.1M | 58M | 388.8M | 172.4M | 232M | -45.5M | -44.9M | -18.9M |
| Equity Issued (Net) | -658M | -570M | -312M | -137M | 0 | 0 | -31M | -75M | -50M | -75M | -193M | -505M | -348M | -159M | -29M | -61M | -8.6M | -10.8M | -44.9M | -56.3M | 30.4M | 215.2M | 8.4M | 3.7M | 900K | 1.5M | 1.2M | 6.3M | 6.6M | 129.3M | 21.1M |
| Dividends Paid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -45M | -173M | -158M | -148M | -136M | -102M | -68M | -28M | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Share Repurchases | -658M | -570M | -312M | -137M | 0 | 0 | -31M | -75M | -50M | -75M | -193M | -505M | -348M | -159M | -60M | -80M | -45M | -23.8M | -48.9M | -62.8M | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Other Financing | 52M | 82M | 36M | -139M | 60M | 57M | 58M | 43M | 29M | 28M | 25M | 35M | 22M | 23M | 216M | 8M | -3.6M | 230M | 0 | 0 | 4.1M | 0 | 0 | 0 | -43.8M | -69.2M | 0 | 2.6M | 402M | 246.7M | -48.3M |
| Net Change in Cash | -587M | -573M | 949M | -61M | -125M | -892M | 1.15B | 118M | -83M | -134M | 255M | -34M | 27M | -42M | 20M | 12.7M | -74.7M | -118.9M | 78.8M | -26.4M | 157.1M | 45.6M | -138.6M | -76.1M | -221.8M | 389.2M | -31.4M | 103.1M | -73.2M | 53.2M | 23.6M |
| Free Cash Flow | -477M | -339M | 183M | -444M | -253M | 738M | -440M | 1.03B | 235M | 564M | 708M | 753M | 336M | 415M | 179M | 308.6M | 370.7M | -133.1M | -248.5M | -352.4M | -232.3M | -159.1M | 134.9M | -14M | -76.4M | -105.2M | -183.6M | -234.9M | -303.2M | -233.8M | -46.9M |
| FCF Margin % | -3.31% | -2.38% | 1.56% | -4.26% | -2.62% | 11.95% | -12.34% | 11.68% | 2.84% | 7.14% | 11.94% | 13.45% | 6.26% | 8.05% | 3.84% | 7.15% | 9.67% | -3.91% | -6.78% | -10.05% | -6.97% | -5.35% | 4.95% | -0.57% | -3.44% | -4.91% | -8.43% | -11.28% | -15.98% | -13.44% | -2.95% |
| FCF Growth % | -382.25% | -285.25% | 141.22% | -75.49% | -134.28% | 267.73% | -142.88% | 336.6% | -58.33% | -20.34% | -5.98% | 124.11% | -19.04% | 131.84% | -42% | -16.75% | 378.51% | 46.44% | 29.48% | -51.7% | -46.01% | -217.94% | 1063.57% | 81.68% | 27.38% | 42.7% | 21.84% | 22.53% | -29.68% | -398.51% | -311.26% |
| FCF per Share | -4.17 | -2.89 | 1.43 | -3.45 | -1.98 | 5.82 | -3.56 | 8.25 | 1.90 | 4.55 | 5.69 | 5.82 | 2.46 | 2.93 | 1.25 | 2.10 | 2.52 | -0.92 | -1.71 | -2.18 | -1.53 | -1.19 | 1.26 | -0.13 | -0.72 | -0.99 | -1.74 | -2.22 | -2.87 | -2.85 | -0.81 |
| FCF Conversion (FCF/Net Income) | -6.53x | 12.49x | 3.71x | 4.47x | 24.45x | 2.15x | 0.18x | 2.24x | 2.73x | 1.66x | 1.74x | 1.87x | 1.70x | 1.93x | 2.38x | 2.85x | 2.21x | 2.51x | -1.21x | 3.86x | -8.55x | -46.08x | -21.83x | 26.31x | -1.05x | -7.05x | -3.77x | 2.46x | 2.49x | 2.83x | 5.87x |
| Interest Paid | 115M | 223M | 148M | 105M | 0 | 109M | 0 | 60M | 0 | 84M | 24M | 8M | 28M | 35M | 46M | 74M | 0 | 94.6M | 71M | 58.6M | 0 | 51.7M | 49.7M | 40.4M | 44.7M | 49.9M | 28.5M | 6.6M | 15.8M | 28.7M | 43.5M |
| Taxes Paid | 3M | 3M | 22M | 15M | 0 | 48M | 0 | 31M | 0 | 177M | 459M | 349M | 326M | 149M | 78M | 8M | 0 | 8.8M | 600K | 3.5M | 0 | 1.5M | 39.8M | 400K | 22.8M | 18.4M | 3.6M | 35.1M | 48.5M | 22.1M | 20.6M |
Capital intensity and volatility
As reported in quarterly filings, Alaska Air Group frequently exhibits a significant disconnect between net income and operating cash flow, with OCF/NI ratios fluctuating wildly, including a notable -2.18x ratio in 2026Q1, which suggests that accounting earnings are poor proxies for actual cash generation.
The extreme volatility in the OCF/NI ratio indicates that non-cash items and working capital swings are heavily distorting the company's reported profitability. Investors should monitor this divergence closely, as it implies that the company's ability to fund operations is often decoupled from its bottom-line accounting performance.
Based on the provided financial data, Alaska Air Group's free cash flow trajectory remains highly erratic, with margins swinging from a positive 10.5% in 2024Q1 to a deep negative 21.8% in 2023Q4, reflecting the inherent difficulty in maintaining consistent cash flow in a capital-intensive industry.
The frequent shifts between positive and negative free cash flow suggest that the company's operational model is highly sensitive to external shocks and capital expenditure timing. This inconsistency warrants further investigation into whether the current cash flow profile can support sustained shareholder returns or debt reduction.
According to recent SEC filings, Alaska Air Group's capital intensity remains elevated, with CapEx/Revenue ratios peaking at 19.7% in 2023Q4, underscoring the heavy financial burden associated with maintaining and modernizing the fleet to meet operational efficiency targets in a competitive West Coast market.
The persistent level of capital expenditure suggests that the company is in a continuous cycle of asset replacement, which may limit the amount of free cash flow available for other corporate purposes. This high capital intensity appears to be a structural feature of their all-Boeing fleet strategy.
As indicated by the quarterly cash flow statements, Alaska Air Group experiences significant working capital swings, such as the $385 million inflow in 2026Q1, which suggests that timing differences in payables and receivables are playing a disproportionate role in the company's short-term liquidity management.
These large, periodic working capital adjustments may mask underlying operational trends, making it difficult to assess the true health of the core business. Analysts should be cautious about interpreting these inflows as sustainable improvements in operational efficiency, as they appear to be highly transient in nature.
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying ALK stock.
Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) generated $1.25B in net cash from operating activities in 2025. This reflects the cash generated directly from core business operations.
Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) reported negative free cash flow of $339.0M in 2025, indicating capital requirements exceeded cash from operations.
Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) spent $1.59B on capital expenditures in 2025. CapEx represents the cash invested in physical assets like property, plant, and equipment to maintain or grow the business.
In 2025, Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) spent $570.0M on share repurchases. This shows the company's commitment to returning capital to its equity investors.