Bull case
AMKR would need investors to value it at roughly 100x earnings — about 64x more generous than today's 36x forward P/E. That requires meaningful multiple expansion on top of continued earnings growth.
Wall Street verdict, consensus price target, and analyst rating breakdown — everything needed to frame the risk/reward at today's price.
Three scenarios for where AMKR stock could go
AMKR would need investors to value it at roughly 100x earnings — about 64x more generous than today's 36x forward P/E. That requires meaningful multiple expansion on top of continued earnings growth.
At 47x on FY1 earnings, the base case reflects a reasonable but not stretched valuation. It prices in continued growth without assuming an exceptional setup.
If investor confidence fades or macro conditions deteriorate, a 10x multiple contraction could push AMKR down roughly 27% from where it trades now.
Not financial advice. Model confidence reflects internal scenario assumptions, not a guarantee of returns. Past performance does not predict future results.

Amkor Technology is a leading provider of outsourced semiconductor packaging and testing services for chipmakers worldwide. It generates revenue primarily from turnkey packaging and test services — including wafer bumping, package design, assembly, and final testing — with advanced packaging solutions like flip-chip and wafer-level packages driving growth. The company's competitive advantage lies in its scale as one of the largest OSAT (outsourced semiconductor assembly and test) providers, deep technical expertise in advanced packaging technologies, and long-standing relationships with major semiconductor manufacturers.
Quarterly beat-or-miss track record against analyst estimates, plus forward revenue and EPS outlook for the next two fiscal years.
| Quarter | EPS (Actual / Est) | EPS Surprise | Revenue (Actual / Est) | Rev Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | $0.22/$0.16 | +37.5% | $1.5B/$1.9B | -21.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.51/$0.42 | +21.4% | $2.0B/$1.8B | +8.0% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.69/$0.43 | +60.5% | $1.9B/$1.8B | +2.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.33/$0.23 | +43.5% | $1.7B/$1.6B | +3.3% |
AMKR beat EPS estimates in 4 of 4 tracked quarters. A perfect track record raises the bar for the upcoming report.
Product and geographic revenue mix from the latest annual disclosure, with year-over-year growth by segment.
Latest annual revenue by segment or product family
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Latest annual revenue by reported region
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Current multiples compared to the S&P 500, the company's sector, and its own five-year average.
Fair value est. $72 — implies +1.3% from today's price.
| Metric | AMKR | S&P 500 | Technology | 5Y Avg AMKR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward PE | 36.5x | 19.1x+91% | 22.1x+65% | — |
| Trailing PE | 51.1x | 25.1x+104% | 26.7x+91% | 16.8x+204% |
| PEG Ratio | 36.81x | 1.72x+2045% | 1.52x+2316% | — |
| EV/EBITDA | 17.3x | 15.2x+14% | 17.5x | 6.5x+165% |
| Price/FCF | 99.5x | 21.1x+372% | 19.5x+410% | 26.9x+270% |
| Price/Sales | 2.8x | 3.1x | 2.4x+16% | 1.1x+155% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.43% | 1.87% | 1.16% | 1.26% |
Forward P/E and PEG reflect analyst consensus estimates. Historical averages use trailing ratios where forward data is unavailable.S&P 500 and sector benchmarks both use trailing median P/E — similar readings indicate the broader index and sector are priced alike.
Open valuation toolKey financial metrics for AMKR are shown below.
Revenue, margins, and cash generation
ROIC, leverage, and debt serviceability
~0.5 years to full repayment at current FCF run-rate
How capital is returned to owners
All figures from the trailing twelve months. ROIC uses invested capital (equity + net debt).
Open full ratios pageKey factors that could pressure the stock price, compress the multiple, or weigh on future results.
AI analysis · updated April 29, 2026
AMKR's business is highly cyclical, directly influenced by global economic factors such as GDP and consumer spending. This cyclicality can lead to significant fluctuations in demand for semiconductor products, impacting revenue and profitability.
Shortages in critical components like advanced silicon and memory components pose a substantial risk to AMKR. These constraints could limit the company's ability to meet customer demand, potentially resulting in lost sales and market share.
A large portion of AMKR's revenue is derived from the automotive industry, making it vulnerable to downturns in this sector. Loss of key customers or reduced orders can materially affect the company's operations and financial performance.
The significant investment in the Arizona facility introduces multi-year execution risk, expected to dilute operating margins by 1-2% starting in 2027. This could impact profitability until the facility begins to realize scaling benefits.
AMKR is exposed to fluctuations in interest rates, which can affect earnings and liquidity. Rising interest rates may increase funding costs for the company's debt, impacting overall financial health.
AMKR must continuously innovate and protect its proprietary technology to remain competitive. The presence of established players and new entrants in the semiconductor market increases the pressure on AMKR to maintain its technological edge.
A general economic slowdown poses risks to AMKR's financial stability, particularly in conjunction with increased capital expenditures. Such downturns can lead to reduced demand for semiconductor products, affecting revenue.
Evolving trade policies and geopolitical developments can impact AMKR's operations and customer relationships. Changes in export controls or tariffs may affect the company's ability to conduct business internationally.
These are risk mechanisms, not predictions. The key question is which would force a cut to earnings estimates or a lower multiple than the market currently prices in.
Structural drivers behind the upside case and why the stock could outperform over the next 12 months.
AI analysis · updated April 29, 2026
Amkor is well-positioned to benefit from the long-term demand for advanced packaging solutions like High-Density Fan-Out (HDFO), CoWoS, and InFO, which are crucial for AI accelerators and high-bandwidth memory. The company anticipates AI advanced packaging revenue to triple in calendar year 2026.
Amkor reported record first-quarter 2026 revenue of $1.68 billion, a 27% year-over-year increase. Earnings per share (EPS) also significantly exceeded expectations, with Q1 2026 EPS at $0.33, beating forecasts by a substantial margin.
The company is making significant investments in advanced packaging, including a multi-billion dollar Arizona campus, which is slated for initial production by mid-2027. This expansion is designed to meet future demand and strengthen its manufacturing capabilities in the US.
Amkor maintains a net cash position, providing ample room for capital expenditures, research and development, and potential mergers and acquisitions without relying on dilutive financing. As of March 31, 2026, the company held $1.8 billion in cash and short-term investments, with total liquidity of $2.9 billion.
Amkor has demonstrated margin improvement, with its net profit margin increasing to 6.2% in the trailing twelve months. The company is benefiting from operating leverage as revenue grows and is implementing cost management strategies to drive sustained margin improvement.
Amkor is a trusted partner for leading semiconductor companies, including NVIDIA, Samsung, Qualcomm, and TSMC. The company is also diversifying its geographic footprint and expanding into new facilities in the US, Korea, and Portugal to serve various markets like automotive and industrial.
A real bull case compounds — each driver matters most when it strengthens margins, supports capital returns, and keeps the company above the market's minimum growth bar simultaneously.
52-week range context and price returns across multiple time horizons. Dividend contribution is shown separately in the Capital Return section.
Range context matters because valuation compression and earnings misses rarely hit from the same starting point. A stock already far below its high can still fall, but it is no longer carrying the same embedded optimism as one pressing a fresh peak.
Valuation, growth, and margin comparison against the closest publicly traded peers for this company.
| Company | Mkt Cap | Fwd PE | Rev Grw | Margin | Rating | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AMK AMKR Amkor Technology, Inc. | $19.0B | 36.5x | +4.4% | 6.2% | Hold | -13.0% |
ASX ASX ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. | $73.1B | 1.0x | +6.4% | 7.1% | Buy | — |
UTS UTSI UTStarcom Holdings Corp. | $23M | — | -34.5% | -62.0% | — | — |
TFI TFII TFI International Inc. | $11.1B | 26.2x | +15.3% | 3.9% | Buy | +1.1% |
ONT ONTO Onto Innovation Inc. | $15.2B | 43.1x | +20.6% | 10.3% | Buy | +1.1% |
ICH ICHR Ichor Holdings, Ltd. | $2.4B | 59.2x | +5.4% | -5.3% | Buy | -26.5% |
This peer comparison reflects companies with similar business models, product lines, or market positioning, supplemented by industry grouping when direct matches are limited.
AMKR returns 0.4% total yield, led by a 0.43% dividend.
Yield, cadence, and growth quality
How much per-share support comes from repurchases
| Year | Div / Share | YoY Grw | BB Yield | Total Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0.08 | — | — | — |
| 2025 | $0.33 | -54.2% | 0.0% | 0.8% |
| 2024 | $0.72 | +138.5% | 0.0% | 2.8% |
| 2023 | $0.30 | +35.0% | 0.0% | 0.9% |
| 2022 | $0.23 | +32.4% | 0.0% | 0.9% |
Common questions answered from live analyst data and company financials.
Amkor Technology, Inc. (AMKR) is rated Hold by Wall Street analysts as of 2026. Of 14 analysts covering the stock, 6 rate it Buy or Strong Buy, 7 rate it Hold, and 1 rate it Sell or Strong Sell. The consensus 12-month price target is $67, implying -13.0% from the current price of $77. The bear case scenario is $56 and the bull case is $211.
The Wall Street consensus price target for AMKR is $67 based on 14 analyst estimates. The high-end target is $90 (+17.3% from today), and the low-end target is $43 (-43.9%). The base case model target is $100.
AMKR trades at 36.5x times forward earnings. The stock trades at a notable premium to the broad market, which is typical for businesses with strong free cash flow and above-average growth expectations. Based on current multiples versus the peer group, the relative model signals fairly valued. Whether the stock is over or undervalued ultimately depends on whether consensus earnings estimates are achievable.
The primary risks for AMKR in 2026 are: (1) Semiconductor Industry Cyclicality — AMKR's business is highly cyclical, directly influenced by global economic factors such as GDP and consumer spending. (2) Supply Chain Constraints — Shortages in critical components like advanced silicon and memory components pose a substantial risk to AMKR. (3) Customer Concentration and Demand Fluctuations — A large portion of AMKR's revenue is derived from the automotive industry, making it vulnerable to downturns in this sector. Each factor has the potential to pressure earnings or compress the stock's valuation multiple.
Analyst consensus estimates AMKR will report consensus revenue of $7.4B (+4.4% year-over-year) and EPS of $1.86 (+6.2% year-over-year) for the upcoming fiscal year. The following year, analysts project $7.7B in revenue.
A confirmed upcoming earnings date for AMKR is not yet available. Check the Earnings section above for the most recent quarterly report dates and forward estimates.
Amkor Technology, Inc. (AMKR) generated $392M in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months — a free cash flow margin of 5.5%. AMKR returns capital to shareholders through dividends (0.4% yield) and share repurchases ($0 TTM).