CSX Corporation (CSX) Price Target Analysis
Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated May 1, 2026
Current Price
$44.46
Price Target
$43.08
Target Range
$30.00 — $50.00
Analyst Rating
Buy
Forward P/E23.4x
Trailing P/E28.9x
Forward PEG4.57
Implied Growth+16.0%
Median Target$45.00
Analyst Spread46.4%
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Bear Case
$30
-32.5%
Consensus
$43
-3.1%
Bull Case
$50
+12.5%
Valuation Model TargetsConfidence: 56/100
Bear$39
Base$56
Bull$83
CSX Price Target Analysis
Updated May 7, 2026As of May 7, 2026, CSX Corporation (CSX) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $43.08, based on estimates from 46 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $44.46, this represents a potential downside of -3.1%. The company has a market capitalization of $82.61B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $30.00 to a high of $50.00, representing a 46% spread in expectations. The median target of $45.00 aligns closely with the consensus average.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 26 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,18 rating it Hold, and 2 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, CSX trades at a trailing P/E of 28.9x and forward P/E of 23.4x. The forward PEG ratio of 4.57 reflects a premium valuation. Analysts expect EPS to grow +16.0% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $55.89, with bear and bull scenarios of $39.06 and $82.81 respectively. Model confidence stands at 56/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Industrials stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside+4.4%
Avg Forward P/E25.3x
Peers with Coverage9 / 10
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 UNPUnion Pacific Corporation | $157.2B | $264.78 | $287.30 | +8.5% | Buy | 21.1x | 47 |
 NSCNorfolk Southern Corporation | $70.4B | $313.39 | $332.00 | +5.9% | Hold | 25.9x | 48 |
 CPCanadian Pacific Kansas City Ltd. | $76.5B | $85.20 | $92.00 | +8.0% | Buy | 22.6x | 43 |
 CNICanadian National Railway Company | $67.8B | $110.84 | $100.67 | -9.2% | Hold | 13.8x | 51 |
 WABWestinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation | $45.1B | $265.71 | $291.00 | +9.5% | Buy | 25.0x | 34 |
 RAILFreightCar America, Inc. | $254M | $7.98 | — | — | Hold | 16.3x | 13 |
 TRNTrinity Industries, Inc. | $2.9B | $36.64 | $35.00 | -4.5% | Hold | 18.8x | 25 |
 GEGE Aerospace | $316.2B | $302.63 | $386.20 | +27.6% | Buy | 40.0x | 34 |
 CATCaterpillar Inc. | $416.8B | $895.69 | $824.80 | -7.9% | Buy | 38.8x | 53 |
 GNRCGenerac Holdings Inc. | $15.7B | $266.77 | $271.22 | +1.7% | Buy | 30.9x | 39 |
Upside Potential Comparison
GEWABUNPCPNSCGNRCTRNCATFull CSX Stock Analysis
Analyst consensus, bull case, AI-generated risk factors, and peer comparison — all in one place.
See CSX's True Return
Price is only half the story. See total return with reinvested dividends.
Launch CalculatorIs CSX Undervalued?
DCF intrinsic value, peer multiples, and analyst estimates — see what the stock is really worth.
View ValuationCompare CSX vs SPIR
Side-by-side business, growth, and profitability comparison vs Spire Global, Inc..
Start ComparisonCSX — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying CSX stock.
What is the CSX stock price target for 2026?
Wall Street's consensus price target for CSX is $43.08, -3.1% from its current price of $44.46. The below-market target from 46 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.
Is CSX a buy, sell, or hold?
CSX has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 46 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 26 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $43.08 implies -3.1% downside from current levels.
Is CSX stock overvalued or undervalued?
CSX trades at a forward P/E of 23.3902x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $43.08 (-3.1% implied move), the stock appears close to fair value.
How high can CSX stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $50 for CSX, while the most conservative target is $30. The consensus of $43.08 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $83 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover CSX stock?
CSX is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 46 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 26 have Buy ratings, 18 recommend Hold, and 2 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the CSX stock forecast?
The 12-month CSX stock forecast based on 46 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $43.08, with estimates ranging from $30 (bear case) to $50 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $56, with bear/bull scenarios of $39/$83.
What is CSX's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates CSX's fair value at $56 (base case), with a bear case of $39 and bull case of $83. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 56/100.
What is CSX's forward P/E ratio?
CSX trades at a forward P/E ratio of 23.4x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 28.9x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy CSX stock?
Analysts are cautious on CSX, with 2 Sell ratings and a price target of $43.08 (-3.1% from current price). The "Buy" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do CSX price targets vary so much?
CSX analyst price targets range from $30 to $50, a 46% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $43.08 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $39-$83 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.