CSX trades 8.2% below Wall Street's consensus target of $51.06.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes CSX achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 23.5x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 46 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of September 24, 2026, CSX Corporation (CSX) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $51.06, based on estimates from 46 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $47.19, this represents a potential upside of +8.2%. The company has a market capitalization of $87.42B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $32.00 to a high of $60.00, representing a 55% spread in expectations. The median target of $53.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The wide target spread reflects significant disagreement on fair value.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 27 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,17 rating it Hold, and 2 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, CSX trades at a trailing P/E of 30.6x and forward P/E of 23.5x. The forward PEG ratio of 4.59 reflects a premium valuation. Analysts expect EPS to grow +15.8% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $65.58, with bear and bull scenarios of $41.32 and $86.41 respectively. Model confidence stands at 51/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 UNPUnion Pacific Corporation | $163.7B | $275.53 | $333.40 | +21.0% | Buy | 21.1x | 47 |
 NSCNorfolk Southern Corporation | $70.8B | $315.01 | $367.57 | +16.7% | Hold | 24.3x | 48 |
 CPCanadian Pacific Kansas City Ltd. | $77.6B | $88.28 | $110.40 | +25.1% | Buy | 16.7x | 43 |
 CNICanadian National Railway Company | $72.3B | $119.49 | $129.00 | +8.0% | Hold | 14.4x | 51 |
 WABWestinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation | $49.4B | $292.31 | $326.50 | +11.7% | Buy | 26.9x | 34 |
 RAILFreightCar America, Inc. | $243M | $7.40 | — | — | Hold | 18.2x | 13 |
 TRNTrinity Industries, Inc. | $2.2B | $28.05 | $36.00 | +28.3% | Hold | 12.6x | 25 |
 GEGE Aerospace | $331.8B | $319.80 | $411.60 | +28.7% | Buy | 40.4x | 35 |
 CATCaterpillar Inc. | $374.0B | $812.02 | $985.58 | +21.4% | Buy | 29.8x | 56 |
 GNRCGenerac Holdings Inc. | $11.7B | $199.42 | $304.20 | +52.5% | Buy | 20.5x | 40 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying CSX stock.
The consensus price target for CSX is $51.06, close to the current price of $47.19 (8.2% implied move). Based on 46 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
CSX has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 46 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 27 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $51.06 implies 8.2% upside from current levels.
CSX trades at a forward P/E of 23.4963x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $51.06 (8.2% implied move), the stock appears reasonably valued with upside.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $60 for CSX, while the most conservative target is $32. The consensus of $51.06 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $86 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
CSX is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 46 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 27 have Buy ratings, 17 recommend Hold, and 2 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month CSX stock forecast based on 46 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $51.06, with estimates ranging from $32 (bear case) to $60 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $66, with bear/bull scenarios of $41/$86.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates CSX's fair value at $66 (base case), with a bear case of $41 and bull case of $86. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 51/100.
CSX trades at a forward P/E ratio of 23.5x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 30.6x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
CSX appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Buy" rating and minimal upside to the $51.06 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
CSX analyst price targets range from $32 to $60, a 55% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $51.06 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $41-$86 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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