7.6% Above Target

Wall Street's consensus price target for ARW is $215, -7.6% from its current price of $232.7. The below-market target from 17 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.

ARW has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 17 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 9 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $215 implies -7.6% downside from current levels.

With a forward P/E of 11.6688x, ARW trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $215 implies -7.6% move, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $260 for ARW, while the most conservative target is $165. The consensus of $215 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $506 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

ARW is well covered by analysts, with 17 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 6 have Buy ratings, 9 recommend Hold, and 2 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

The 12-month ARW stock forecast based on 17 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $215, with estimates ranging from $165 (bear case) to $260 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $384, with bear/bull scenarios of $242/$506.

Our quantitative valuation model calculates ARW's fair value at $384 (base case), with a bear case of $242 and bull case of $506. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 49/100.

ARW trades at a forward P/E ratio of 11.7x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 21.3x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Analysts are cautious on ARW, with 2 Sell ratings and a price target of $215 (-7.6% from current price). The "Hold" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

ARW analyst price targets range from $165 to $260, a 44% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $215 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $242-$506 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.