ARW trades 24.2% below Wall Street's consensus target of $225.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes ARW achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 8.2x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 17 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of November 8, 2026, Arrow Electronics, Inc. (ARW) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $225.00, based on estimates from 17 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $181.09, this represents a potential upside of +24.2%. The company has a market capitalization of $9.26B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $175.00 to a high of $250.00, representing a 33% spread in expectations. The median target of $250.00 differs from the mean, suggesting potential outlier estimates.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 6 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,9 rating it Hold, and 2 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.
From a valuation perspective, ARW trades at a trailing P/E of 16.6x and forward P/E of 8.2x. The forward PEG ratio of 1.02 indicates reasonable valuation for growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +40.7% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $339.19, with bear and bull scenarios of $213.69 and $446.92 respectively. Model confidence stands at 49/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 AVTAvnet, Inc. | $6.5B | $79.28 | $91.00 | +14.8% | Hold | 15.4x | 20 |
 SNXTD Synnex Corp | $17.5B | $218.73 | $336.67 | +53.9% | Buy | 10.3x | 24 |
 WCCWESCO International, Inc. | $14.3B | $292.68 | $407.00 | +39.1% | Buy | 16.1x | 33 |
 NSITInsight Enterprises, Inc. | $4.8B | $158.25 | $143.33 | -9.4% | Buy | 12.7x | 7 |
 CDWCDW Corporation | $20.1B | $157.00 | $149.50 | -4.8% | Buy | 14.3x | 18 |
 SCSCScanSource, Inc. | $869M | $42.78 | $43.00 | +0.5% | Hold | 10.9x | 6 |
 DSGXThe Descartes Systems Group Inc. | $8.1B | $93.99 | $102.00 | +8.5% | Buy | 50.4x | 15 |
 GWWW.W. Grainger, Inc. | $68.0B | $1440.70 | $1341.11 | -6.9% | Hold | 31.0x | 39 |
 TXNTexas Instruments Incorporated | $253.3B | $277.36 | $333.71 | +20.3% | Buy | 30.7x | 66 |
 ADIAnalog Devices, Inc. | $177.1B | $363.56 | $480.24 | +32.1% | Buy | 28.2x | 54 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying ARW stock.
The consensus Wall Street price target for ARW is $225, representing 24.2% upside from the current price of $181.09. With 17 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
ARW has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 17 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 9 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $225 implies 24.2% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 8.2243x, ARW trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $225 implies 24.2% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $250 for ARW, while the most conservative target is $175. The consensus of $225 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $447 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
ARW is well covered by analysts, with 17 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 6 have Buy ratings, 9 recommend Hold, and 2 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month ARW stock forecast based on 17 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $225, with estimates ranging from $175 (bear case) to $250 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $339, with bear/bull scenarios of $214/$447.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates ARW's fair value at $339 (base case), with a bear case of $214 and bull case of $447. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 49/100.
ARW trades at a forward P/E ratio of 8.2x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 16.6x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on ARW, with a "Hold" consensus rating and $225 price target (24.2% upside). 6 of 17 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
ARW analyst price targets range from $175 to $250, a 33% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $225 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $214-$447 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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