GWW trades 6.6% above Wall Street's consensus target of $1275.38.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes GWW achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 29.9x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 38 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of June 21, 2026, W.W. Grainger, Inc. (GWW) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $1275.38, based on estimates from 38 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $1365.41, this represents a potential downside of -6.6%. The company has a market capitalization of $64.47B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $1125.00 to a high of $1365.00, representing a 19% spread in expectations. The median target of $1300.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 10 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,24 rating it Hold, and 4 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The bearish sentiment suggests caution about the stock at current levels.
From a valuation perspective, GWW trades at a trailing P/E of 38.6x and forward P/E of 29.9x. The forward PEG ratio of 1.34 indicates reasonable valuation for growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +21.4% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $1755.32, with bear and bull scenarios of $1105.85 and $2312.81 respectively. Model confidence stands at 57/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MSMMSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. | $6.6B | $118.51 | $111.00 | -6.3% | Hold | 27.2x | 28 |
FASTFastenal Company | $52.7B | $45.89 | $46.14 | +0.5% | Hold | 36.9x | 31 |
SITESiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. | $4.9B | $110.17 | $162.29 | +47.3% | Buy | 25.4x | 15 |
DXPEDXP Enterprises, Inc. | $2.7B | $173.69 | $154.00 | -11.3% | Hold | 28.3x | 7 |
WSOWatsco, Inc. | $16.3B | $401.04 | $407.00 | +1.5% | Hold | 31.6x | 26 |
GPCGenuine Parts Company | $15.1B | $108.70 | $142.40 | +31.0% | Hold | 14.1x | 22 |
AITApplied Industrial Technologies, Inc. | $12.5B | $337.96 | $336.75 | -0.4% | Buy | 31.6x | 15 |
WDFCWD-40 Company | $4.5B | $227.21 | $475.00 | +109.1% | Hold | 37.9x | 7 |
HONHoneywell International Inc. | $145.1B | $229.01 | $249.64 | +9.0% | Buy | 21.8x | 28 |
MMM3M Company | $83.8B | $160.60 | $166.75 | +3.8% | Hold | 18.5x | 33 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying GWW stock.
Wall Street's consensus price target for GWW is $1275.38, -6.6% from its current price of $1365.41. The below-market target from 38 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.
GWW has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 38 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 24 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $1275.38 implies -6.6% downside from current levels.
GWW trades at a forward P/E of 29.9268x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $1275.38 (-6.6% implied move), the stock appears close to fair value.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $1365 for GWW, while the most conservative target is $1125. The consensus of $1275.38 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $2313 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
GWW is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 38 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 10 have Buy ratings, 24 recommend Hold, and 4 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month GWW stock forecast based on 38 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $1275.38, with estimates ranging from $1125 (bear case) to $1365 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $1755, with bear/bull scenarios of $1106/$2313.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates GWW's fair value at $1755 (base case), with a bear case of $1106 and bull case of $2313. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 57/100.
GWW trades at a forward P/E ratio of 29.9x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 38.6x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Analysts are cautious on GWW, with 4 Sell ratings and a price target of $1275.38 (-6.6% from current price). The "Hold" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
GWW analyst price targets range from $1125 to $1365, a 19% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $1275.38 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $1106-$2313 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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