Wall Street analyst price targets, ratings consensus & upside potential · Updated Feb 28, 2026
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
As of March 2, 2026, ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $1458.50, based on estimates from 44 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $1450.56, this represents a potential upside of +0.5%. The company has a market capitalization of $563.03B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $1150.00 to a high of $1911.00, representing a 52% spread in expectations. The median target of $1432.50 aligns closely with the consensus average. The wide target spread reflects significant disagreement on fair value.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 26 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,15 rating it Hold, and 3 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, ASML trades at a trailing P/E of 51.8x and forward P/E of 41.3x. The forward PEG ratio of 1.68 indicates reasonable valuation for growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +47.9% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $1962.11, with bear and bull scenarios of $952.03 and $2474.06 respectively. Model confidence stands at 77/100, indicating high predictability in the company's fundamentals.
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Start ComparisonThe consensus price target for ASML is $1458.5, close to the current price of $1450.56 (0.5% implied move). Based on 44 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
ASML has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 44 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 26 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $1458.5 implies 0.5% upside from current levels.
At a forward P/E of 41.3118x, ASML trades at a premium valuation. The consensus price target of $1458.5 (0.5% upside) suggests analysts may view current valuations as stretched.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $1911 for ASML, while the most conservative target is $1150. The consensus of $1458.5 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $2474 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
ASML is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 44 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 1 have Strong Buy ratings, 25 have Buy ratings, 15 recommend Hold, and 3 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month ASML stock forecast based on 44 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $1458.5, with estimates ranging from $1150 (bear case) to $1911 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $1962, with bear/bull scenarios of $952/$2474.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates ASML's fair value at $1962 (base case), with a bear case of $952 and bull case of $2474. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 77/100.
ASML trades at a forward P/E ratio of 41.3x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 51.8x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
ASML appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Buy" rating and minimal upside to the $1458.5 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
ASML analyst price targets range from $1150 to $1911, a 52% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $1458.5 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $952-$2474 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.