12.2% Above Target

ASML's consensus price target is $1694, -12.2% below the current price of $1929.68. The 45 analysts tracking ASML see downside risk at present valuations.

ASML has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 45 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 26 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $1694 implies -12.2% downside from current levels.

At a forward P/E of 59.5571x, ASML trades at a premium valuation. The consensus price target of $1694 (-12.2% downside) suggests analysts may view current valuations as stretched.

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $1911 for ASML, while the most conservative target is $1415. The consensus of $1694 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $2192 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

ASML is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 45 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 1 have Strong Buy ratings, 25 have Buy ratings, 16 recommend Hold, and 3 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

The 12-month ASML stock forecast based on 45 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $1694, with estimates ranging from $1415 (bear case) to $1911 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $1663, with bear/bull scenarios of $1048/$2192.

Our quantitative valuation model calculates ASML's fair value at $1663 (base case), with a bear case of $1048 and bull case of $2192. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 56/100.

ASML trades at a forward P/E ratio of 59.6x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 70.7x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Analysts are cautious on ASML, with 3 Sell ratings and a price target of $1694 (-12.2% from current price). The "Buy" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

ASML analyst price targets range from $1415 to $1911, a 29% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $1694 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $1048-$2192 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.