BWB trades 12.8% below Wall Street's consensus target of $23.50.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes BWB achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 11.2x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 4 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of June 26, 2026, Bridgewater Bancshares, Inc. (BWB) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $23.50, based on estimates from 4 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $20.84, this represents a potential upside of +12.8%. The company has a market capitalization of $581M.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $23.00 to a high of $24.00, representing a 4% spread in expectations. The median target of $23.50 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 3 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,1 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.
From a valuation perspective, BWB trades at a trailing P/E of 13.9x and forward P/E of 11.2x. The forward PEG ratio of 1.12 indicates reasonable valuation for growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow -2.0% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $26.32, with bear and bull scenarios of $16.58 and $34.68 respectively. Model confidence stands at 57/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TCBKTriCo Bancshares | $1.7B | $53.91 | $57.33 | +6.3% | Buy | 12.8x | 12 |
NBTBNBT Bancorp Inc. | $2.6B | $49.59 | $56.00 | +12.9% | Hold | 11.9x | 10 |
FBIZFirst Business Financial Services, Inc. | $532M | $63.81 | $67.00 | +5.0% | Buy | 10.3x | 10 |
MGYRMagyar Bancorp, Inc. | $115M | $17.80 | — | — | — | — | — |
WAFDWaFd, Inc. | $2.8B | $37.95 | $35.00 | -7.8% | Hold | 11.6x | 11 |
BANFBancFirst Corporation | $3.8B | $114.58 | $125.00 | +9.1% | Hold | 15.6x | 3 |
FFINFirst Financial Bankshares, Inc. | $5.0B | $35.24 | $39.25 | +11.4% | Hold | 17.3x | 15 |
IBCPIndependent Bank Corporation | $747M | $36.23 | $38.00 | +4.9% | Hold | 10.2x | 7 |
LCNBLCNB Corp. | $264M | $18.52 | $19.00 | +2.6% | Hold | 11.1x | 3 |
CZWICitizens Community Bancorp, Inc. | $227M | $23.54 | — | — | Buy | 12.9x | 2 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying BWB stock.
Bridgewater Bancshares, Inc. (BWB) has a consensus 12-month price target of $23.5, implying 12.8% upside from $20.84. The 4 analysts covering BWB see moderate appreciation potential.
BWB has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 4 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 3 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $23.5 implies 12.8% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 11.2497x, BWB trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $23.5 implies 12.8% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $24 for BWB, while the most conservative target is $23. The consensus of $23.5 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $35 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
BWB is lightly followed, with 4 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 3 have Buy ratings, 1 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month BWB stock forecast based on 4 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $23.5, with estimates ranging from $23 (bear case) to $24 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $26, with bear/bull scenarios of $17/$35.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates BWB's fair value at $26 (base case), with a bear case of $17 and bull case of $35. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 57/100.
BWB trades at a forward P/E ratio of 11.2x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 13.9x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are optimistic on BWB, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $23.5 price target (12.8% upside). 3 of 4 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
BWB analyst price targets range from $23 to $24, a 4% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $23.5 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $17-$35 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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