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CASYCasey's General Stores, Inc.
$597.31$22.1B
Overview & Tools
OverviewChart Terminal ↗Visualize
Valuation & Forecasts
Valuation ModelsEstimatesDCF Model
Price & Analyst Data
Analyst TargetsPrice History
Financial Statements
Income StatementBalance SheetCash FlowRatios & Margins
Performance
P/E HistoryRevenue HistoryEarnings HistoryDividend HistoryTotal Return
Discovery & Screens
Live BreakoutsStock ScreenerOwnership
CASY logo

Casey's General Stores, Inc.

CASY
NASDAQ · Specialty Retail
$597.31
At close - Sep 23, 4:00 PM EDT - USD
Market Cap$22.14B
P/E31.2x
52W High$927.85
Volume1.02M
OverviewTerminalAnalysisFinancialsValuationEarningsBreakoutsOwnership
VCP Research Verdict2027Q1

Acquisition-Driven Growth Masking Margin Sustainability Concerns

Casey's is executing an aggressive growth strategy, with revenue accelerating to 24.3% YoY growth in Q1 2027 fueled by significant acquisitions, as evidenced by a $43.9M deal spend. This expansion is driving powerful operating leverage, with operating income s...

GrowthAccelerating
ProfitabilityStrong
ValuationExpensive
TechnicalsWeak
Explore valuation models
MARKET ACTION

CASY price & volume

Price trend, volume and key moving averages

Launch Terminal
Loading chart...
Decision Checklist4 Core Signals

What matters now

The signals most likely to change the investment case.

01

Earnings momentum

12/12 Beats

EPS beat 12 of last 12 quarters

02

Valuation risk

+46% Peers

P/E is 46% above peer median

03

Market leadership

RS 20 · Lag

Laggard (Underperforming 80% of market)

04

Weak Trend

Below 200DMA

Price < 200DMA

Next CatalystEstimated earnings · Dec 8
01

Build the investment case

Start with the evidence for owning the stock and the risks that can break the thesis.

EXECUTIVE THESIS

The Investment Case

Full Analysis
Fundamental Trajectory

Revenue growth has accelerated sharply to 24.3% YoY, yet the recent gross margin contraction to 19.8% from a consistent 23-26% range warrants scrutiny for its impact on the 6.5% operating margin achieved.

Analyst Consensus+37.9% target
Buy(26 analysts)
18 Buy8 Hold0 Sell

The Bull Case

Upside Catalysts

Strong earnings growth

Casey's reported 14% Q2 fiscal 2026 earnings growth, demonstrating robust financial performance.

Aggressive store expansion

The company achieved 9% store expansion, indicating successful physical footprint growth.

Upward EBITDA guidance

Management guided to 15-17% EBITDA growth for the full fiscal year, signaling confidence in profitability.

The Bear Case

Key Downside Risks

Market performance

Price History →

Trailing total returns as of 9/24/2026, which may include dividends or other distributions. Benchmark is S&P 500 (^GSPC).

YTD Return
CASY+7.70%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+12.39%
1-Year Return
CASY+8.82%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+15.77%
3-Year Return
CASY+116.67%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+81.15%
5-Year Return
CASY+221.92%
S&P 500 (^GSPC)+77.03%
02

Test the fundamentals

Check whether operating performance supports the current valuation.

VALUATION & INTRINSIC VALUE

Valuation Scenarios

Valuation Analysis
Trailing P/EMedian
31.2x
Forward P/EExpansion
28.0x
EV/EBITDA80th %ile
16.8x
FCF YieldCash Flow
3.3%

Valuation vs 5-Year History

Multiple Range
Metric
Current
5Y Median
Historical Range
Percentile
P/E
31.2x
23.8x
60th· Fair
EV/EBITDA
16.8x
12.7x
80th· High
Price/FCF
30.7x
29.5x
60th· Fair
Current Multiple
5Y Median (50th %ile)

Intrinsic Value Scenarios

DCF Projection
Bear$108.73-81.8%
Base (Fair)$314.26-47.4%
Bull$458.40-23.3%
$108.73 Bear$314.26 Base$458.40 Bull
Current Market Price: $597.31
Trades at a 90.1% premium to Base DCF ($314.26)
Open DCF & Valuation Models →Chart Terminal ↗

Growth & profitability

Annual revenue & EPS trend
Revenue
$17.56B+10.2% YoY
Net income
$714M+30.7% YoY
Free cash flow
$722M+23.4% YoY
Operating margin
5.9%+0.9 pts YoY
ROIC (TTM)12%
Avg ROIC 5Y-
ROE (TTM)19.2%
Piotroski Score8 / 9
Financial Statements →
03

Monitor what changed

Recent results and news deserve attention only when they alter the forward view.

OPERATING RESULTS

Recent Earnings

Earnings History
EPS Beat Rate12/12 (100%)
Revenue Beat Rate8/12 (67%)
QuarterEPS (Act vs Est)Revenue (Act vs Est)
Q4 2026Latest
Sep 8, 2026
$7.37+8.7%
vs $6.78
$5.7B+2.1%
vs $5.6B
Q3 2026
Jun 9, 2026
$4.37+32.0%
vs $3.31
$4.6B+5.7%
vs $4.3B
Q2 2026
Mar 9, 2026
$3.49+16.3%
vs $3.00
$3.9B-3.1%
vs $4.0B
Q4 2025
Dec 9, 2025
$5.53+6.6%
vs $5.19
$4.5B+0.3%
vs $4.5B
Historical baseline: 12 quarters analyzedGAAP / Adjusted
MARKET COVERAGE

Latest News

5 Stories
MarketBeat·5d ago
3 Nimble Free Cash Flow Names With Light Assets

In the current market cycle, growing momentum may favor companies that are more services-oriented than product-focused and that are thus light on assets despite having solid free cash flow. Think companies in the software, financial services, insurance, or health care services spaces: all of these tend to earn fees or margins off of transactions that don't require physical production to execute.

MarketBeat·6d ago
The September Scramble: Find Sanctuary in These 3 Defensive Dividend Stocks

Fed uncertainty, oil prices, and macro pressures are bringing inflation and interest-rate fears to a head; investors are fleeing to dividends, and for good reason. Dividends provide steady, reliable income and returns regardless of market volatility.

Barrons·Sep 17, 2026
Retail Sales Were Strong. Casey's Will Benefit.

Casey's stock has more than doubled since Barron's picked it. We're still bullish.

Seeking Alpha·Sep 16, 2026
Casey's General Stores: A $100+ Post-Earnings Sell-Off - Why I'm Not Buying Yet

Casey's General Stores delivered a double-beat quarter, but shares plunged over $100 post-earnings due to valuation and growth concerns. Despite strong fundamentals, including 28% EPS growth and margin expansion, slowing same-store sales and declining free cash flow raised investor caution. CASY's forward P/E has compressed to ~30x, yet remains above its 5-year average and peers, limiting near-term upside amid macro risks.

Filtered for Casey's General Stores, Inc.More Headlines
04

Compare before deciding

Benchmark CASY against direct peers instead of judging its metrics in isolation.

Peers Comparison

Key metrics vs top competitors for Casey's General Stores, Inc. (CASY)

Full Screener →
CompanyPriceMarket CapP/E RatioRev Growth (1Y)Net MarginROEDiv Yield
CASY logoCASYCasey's General Stores, Inc.Current
$597.31$22.14B31.1710.16%4.07%19.15%0.37%
MUSA logoMUSAMurphy USA Inc.
$506.24$9.35B21.01-4.25%2.87%94.56%—
ARKO logoARKOArko Corp.
$4.23$474.55M28.20-12.47%0.19%3.16%—
CAPL logoCAPLCrossAmerica Partners LP
$21.93$836.72M20.12-10.63%1.36%——
SUN logoSUNSunoco LP
$75.06$10.27B20.5111.05%2.81%14.72%—
NTB logoNTBThe Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited
$58.11$2.3B10.624.27%32.58%20.68%—

Compare CASY vs Peers

Casey's General Stores, Inc. (CASY) vs competitors — business, growth, and fundamentals comparison against the closest industry rivals.

Closest Rival

vs MUSA

Most directly comparable listed peer for CASY.

Scale Benchmark

vs WMT

Larger-name benchmark to compare CASY against a more recognizable public peer.

Peer Set

Compare Top 5

vs MUSA, ARKO, CAPL, SUN

05

Keep researching

Verify the primary filings, follow material updates, and answer the remaining questions.

CASY SEC Filings & Documents

Casey's General Stores, Inc. (CASY) SEC filings — annual & quarterly reports (10-K, 10-Q)

8-K Announcements

6
Material company update

Sep 8, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jun 9, 2026·SEC

Material company update

Jun 8, 2026·SEC

10-K Annual Reports

4
FY 2025

Jun 23, 2025·SEC

FY 2024

Jun 24, 2024·SEC

FY 2023

Jun 23, 2023·SEC

10-Q Quarterly Reports

6
FY 2026

Sep 8, 2026·SEC

FY 2026

Mar 9, 2026·SEC

FY 2025

Dec 9, 2025·SEC

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CASY Frequently Asked Questions

Casey's General Stores, Inc. (CASY) stock FAQ — growth, dividends, profitability & financials explained

Growth & Financials
What is Casey's General Stores, Inc.'s revenue?

Casey's General Stores, Inc. (CASY) reported $18.67B in revenue for fiscal year 2026. This represents a 1584% increase from $1.11B in 1997.

How fast is Casey's General Stores, Inc. growing?

Casey's General Stores, Inc. (CASY) grew revenue by 10.2% over the past year. This is steady growth.

Is CASY profitable?

Yes, Casey's General Stores, Inc. (CASY) is profitable, generating $772.8M in net income for fiscal year 2026 (4.1% net margin).

Dividend & Returns
Does CASY pay dividends?

Yes, Casey's General Stores, Inc. (CASY) pays a dividend with a yield of 0.37%. This makes it attractive for income-focused investors.

What is CASY's return on equity?

Casey's General Stores, Inc. (CASY) has a return on equity (ROE) of 19.2%. This is reasonable for most industries.

What is Casey's General Stores, Inc.'s free cash flow?

Casey's General Stores, Inc. (CASY) generated $648.9M in free cash flow for fiscal year 2026. Positive FCF indicates the company can fund dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.

What if you invested $1,000 in CASY back in 1997?

Total return calculator · dividends reinvested · 29+ years of data

See returns →