Upside case
Bull case
$136+33.8%
CCK would need investors to value it at roughly 17x earnings — about 4x more generous than today's 13x forward P/E. That requires meaningful multiple expansion on top of continued earnings growth.
Analysis OverviewBuyUpdated Jun 18, 2026
Crown Holdings, Inc. (CCK) Stock Analysis
Wall Street verdict, consensus price target, and analyst rating breakdown — everything needed to frame the risk/reward at today's price.
Analyst consensus
Buy
Covering
25
analysts
19 bullish · 0 bearish · 25 covering CCK
Strong Buy
0
Buy
19
Hold
6
Sell
0
Strong Sell
0
Consensus Target
$121
+18.7% vs today
Scenario Range
$65 – $136
Model bear to bull value window
Coverage
25
Published analyst ratings
Valuation Context
12.5x
Forward P/E · Market cap $11.4B
CCK price targets
Three scenarios for where CCK stock could go
Current
~$102
Confidence
48 / 100
Updated
Jun 18, 2026
Where we are now
Current · $102
Bear
$65
Base
$103
Bull
$136
Market caseClosest to today
Base case
$103+1.6%
This is close to how the market is already pricing CCK — at roughly 13x forward earnings. No dramatic re-rating needed, just steady execution on the core business.
Stress case
Bear case
$65-36.0%
If investor confidence fades or macro conditions deteriorate, a 5x multiple contraction could push CCK down roughly 36% from where it trades now.
Not financial advice. Model confidence reflects internal scenario assumptions, not a guarantee of returns. Past performance does not predict future results.
Crown Holdings, Inc.
CCK · NYSEConsumer CyclicalPackaging & ContainersDecember year-end
Crown Holdings is a global packaging manufacturer that produces metal cans, caps, and industrial packaging solutions for food, beverage, and industrial customers. It generates revenue primarily from beverage can sales—which account for roughly 70% of sales—alongside food cans, closures, and industrial packaging equipment. The company's competitive advantage lies in its global scale, long-term customer relationships with major beverage brands, and technical expertise in lightweighting and sustainable packaging technologies.
Market Cap
$11.4B
Revenue TTM
$12.4B
Net Income TTM
$737M
Net Margin
6.0%
CCK Revenue and Earnings Performance
Quarterly beat-or-miss track record against analyst estimates, plus forward revenue and EPS outlook for the next two fiscal years.
EPS Beat Rate
83%Exceptional
12 quarters tracked
Revenue Beat Rate
58%Exceptional
vs consensus estimates
Avg EPS Surprise
+8.1%
above Street consensus
Beat / Miss Record
BeatMissLeft = EPS · Right = Revenue
Q3 2025
Q4 2025
Q1 2026
Q2 2026
Last 4 Quarters
EPS beats: 4 of 4Q3 2025
EPS
$2.15/$1.88
Revenue
$3.1B/$3.1B
Q4 2025
EPS
$2.24/$1.98
Revenue
$3.2B/$3.0B
Q1 2026
EPS
$1.74/$1.69
Revenue
$3.1B/$3.0B
Q2 2026
EPS
$1.86/$1.75
Revenue
$3.3B/$3.0B
| Quarter | EPS (Actual / Est) | EPS Surprise | Revenue (Actual / Est) | Rev Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | $2.15/$1.88 | +14.4% | $3.1B/$3.1B | +1.3% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.24/$1.98 | +13.1% | $3.2B/$3.0B | +7.0% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.74/$1.69 | +3.0% | $3.1B/$3.0B | +4.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.86/$1.75 | +6.3% | $3.3B/$3.0B | +7.4% |
FY1–FY2 Estimates
Revenue Outlook
FY1
$12.9B
+4.7% YoY
FY2
$13.6B
+5.2% YoY
EPS Outlook
FY1
$6.56
+1.7% YoY
FY2
$6.65
+1.4% YoY
Trailing FCF (TTM)$1.1B
FCF Margin: 8.9%
Next Earnings
July 20, 2026
Expected EPS
$2.15
Expected Revenue
$3.4B
CCK beat EPS estimates in 4 of 4 tracked quarters. A perfect track record raises the bar for the upcoming report.
CCK Revenue Breakdown by Segment
Product and geographic revenue mix from the latest annual disclosure, with year-over-year growth by segment.
Latest disclosure
FY 2025
Total disclosed revenue $12.4B
Product Mix
Latest annual revenue by segment or product family
Metal Beverage Cans And Ends
69.0%
+8.1% YoY
Tap, hover, or focus a slice to inspect segment detail.
Geographic Mix
Latest annual revenue by reported region
UNITED STATES
38.9%
+8.9% YoY
Tap, hover, or focus a slice to inspect segment detail.
Metal Beverage Cans And Ends is the largest disclosed segment at 69.0% of FY 2025 revenue, up 8.1% YoY.
UNITED STATES is the largest reported region at 38.9%, up 8.9% YoY.
CCK Valuation Snapshot
Current multiples compared to the S&P 500, the company's sector, and its own five-year average.
Relative Value Signal
Cheap versus peers
Fair value est. $134 — implies +31.7% from today's price.
Upside to Fair Value
31.7%
potential upside
Deep DiscountFair ValueVery Expensive
vs S&P 500 Trailing P/E
CCK
15.9x
vs
S&P 500
24.4x
35% discount
vs Consumer Cyclical Trailing P/E
CCK
15.9x
vs
Consumer Cyclical
21.2x
25% discount
vs CCK 5Y Avg P/E
Today
15.9x
vs
5Y Average
19.4x
18% discount
Forward PE
12.5x
S&P 500
18.8x
-33%
Consumer Cyclical
16.3x
-23%
5Y Avg
—
—
Trailing PE
15.9x
S&P 500
24.4x
-35%
Consumer Cyclical
21.2x
-25%
5Y Avg
19.4x
-18%
PEG Ratio
1.05x
S&P 500
1.66x
-37%
Consumer Cyclical
0.92x
+14%
5Y Avg
—
—
EV/EBITDA
8.0x
S&P 500
15.2x
-48%
Consumer Cyclical
12.2x
-34%
5Y Avg
9.3x
-14%
Price/FCF
10.4x
S&P 500
20.7x
-50%
Consumer Cyclical
15.6x
-33%
5Y Avg
50.5x
-79%
Price/Sales
0.9x
S&P 500
3.1x
-70%
Consumer Cyclical
0.7x
+32%
5Y Avg
1.0x
-3%
Dividend Yield
1.02%
S&P 500
1.91%
-47%
Consumer Cyclical
2.17%
-53%
5Y Avg
1.01%
+1%
| Metric | CCK | S&P 500 | Consumer Cyclical | 5Y Avg CCK |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward PE | 12.5x | 18.8x-33% | 16.3x-23% | — |
| Trailing PE | 15.9x | 24.4x-35% | 21.2x-25% | 19.4x-18% |
| PEG Ratio | 1.05x | 1.66x-37% | 0.92x+14% | — |
| EV/EBITDA | 8.0x | 15.2x-48% | 12.2x-34% | 9.3x-14% |
| Price/FCF | 10.4x | 20.7x-50% | 15.6x-33% | 50.5x-79% |
| Price/Sales | 0.9x | 3.1x-70% | 0.7x+32% | 1.0x |
| Dividend Yield | 1.02% | 1.91% | 2.17% | 1.01% |
CCK trades above S&P 500 benchmarks on 0 of 6 measured multiples — appears modestly priced relative to the S&P 500 on most measures.
Forward P/E and PEG reflect analyst consensus estimates. Historical averages use trailing ratios where forward data is unavailable.S&P 500 and sector benchmarks both use trailing median P/E — similar readings indicate the broader index and sector are priced alike.
Open valuation toolCCK Financial Health
Verdict
Strong
CCK generates $1.1B in free cash flow at a 8.9% margin — 14.1% ROIC signals a durable competitive advantage · returns 5.5% of market cap to shareholders annually.
Cash Engine
Revenue, margins, and cash generation
Revenue (TTM)
Trailing-twelve-month sales base
$12.4B
Revenue Growth
TTM vs prior year
+4.8%
Gross Margin
Gross profit as a share of revenue
18.3%
Operating Margin
Operating income divided by revenue
13.2%
Net Margin
Net income divided by revenue
6.0%
EPS (TTM)
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months
$6.45
Free Cash Flow (TTM)
Cash generation after capex
$1.1B
FCF Margin
FCF as share of revenue — the primary cash quality signal
8.9%
Capital Quality
ROIC, leverage, and debt serviceability
ROIC
Return on invested capital — primary competitive quality signal
14.1%
ROA
Return on assets, trailing twelve months
5.2%
Cash & Equivalents
Liquid assets on the balance sheet
$879M
Net Debt
Total debt minus cash
$5.3B
Debt Serviceability
Net debt as a multiple of annual free cash flow
4.8× FCF
~4.8 years to full repayment at current FCF run-rate
ROE
Return on equity, trailing twelve months
21.8%
Shareholder Returns
How capital is returned to owners
Total shareholder yield
5.5%
Dividend
1.0%
Buyback
4.4%
Share Repurchases
Trailing buyback outflow — dollar magnitude of capital returned
$505M
Dividend / Share
Annualized trailing dividend per share
$1.04
Payout Ratio
Share of earnings distributed as dividends
16.3%
Shares Outstanding
Declining as buybacks retire shares
112M
All figures from the trailing twelve months. ROIC uses invested capital (equity + net debt).
Open full ratios pageCCK Stock Risk Factors
Key factors that could pressure the stock price, compress the multiple, or weigh on future results.
AI analysis · updated June 18, 2026
Medium
Earnings Uncertainty
Upside potential is tied to earnings delivery and regional execution, indicating reliance on performance metrics.
High Risk
Market Volatility
Shares have been range-bound, suggesting susceptibility to broader market fluctuations and investor sentiment.
Medium
Execution Risk
Growth projections depend on successful regional execution, which may face operational challenges.
Lower
Cash Flow Targets
Free cash flow targets of $900 million provide a benchmark, but meeting this depends on operational efficiency.
Medium
Sector Competition
As a manufacturer in a global network, Crown faces intense competition in material handling and packaging sectors.
These are risk mechanisms, not predictions. The key question is which would force a cut to earnings estimates or a lower multiple than the market currently prices in.
Why CCK Stock Could Outperform
Structural drivers behind the upside case and why the stock could outperform over the next 12 months.
AI analysis · updated June 18, 2026
Attractive valuation metrics
CCK's trailing and forward P/E ratios of 20.41 and 12.20 respectively suggest the stock is undervalued relative to future earnings potential.
Bullish analyst coverage
Multiple bullish theses on platforms like Canadian Cashflow's Substack and Valueinvestorsclub.com highlight positive sentiment among analysts.
Global manufacturing footprint
With a network of over 500 dealers in more than 80 countries, Crown Holdings benefits from a diversified and extensive global presence.
Earnings growth potential
The significant gap between trailing and forward P/E ratios indicates strong expected earnings growth for CCK.
A real bull case compounds — each driver matters most when it strengthens margins, supports capital returns, and keeps the company above the market's minimum growth bar simultaneously.
CCK Stock Price Performance
52-week range context and price returns across multiple time horizons. Dividend contribution is shown separately in the Capital Return section.
Current Price
$101.54
52W Range Position
45%
52-Week Range
Current price plotted between the 52-week low and high.
52-Week Low
$89.21
+13.8% from the low
52-Week High
$116.62
-12.9% from the high
1 Month
+4.51%
3 Month
+0.11%
YTD
-2.5%
1 Year
-1.0%
3Y CAGR
+4.9%
5Y CAGR
+0.6%
10Y CAGR
+6.6%
Range context matters because valuation compression and earnings misses rarely hit from the same starting point. A stock already far below its high can still fall, but it is no longer carrying the same embedded optimism as one pressing a fresh peak.
CCK vs Peers
Valuation, growth, and margin comparison against the closest publicly traded peers for this company.
Peer Set
Accurate peer set
Forward PE
12.5x
vs 17.5x median
-29% below peer median
Revenue Growth
+4.7%
vs +5.8% median
-20% below peer median
Net Margin
6.0%
vs 8.6% median
-31% below peer median
| Company | Mkt Cap | Fwd PE | Rev Grw | Margin | Rating | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CCK CCK Crown Holdings, Inc. | $11.4B | 12.5x | +4.7% | 6.0% | Buy | +18.7% |
AMB AMBP Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. | $2.6B | 17.5x | +7.9% | 0.2% | Hold | +4.1% |
ATI ATI ATI Inc. | $27.6B | 45.6x | +5.0% | 9.3% | Buy | -13.1% |
SEE SEE Sealed Air Corporation | $6.2B | 12.4x | +0.2% | 9.4% | Buy | +18.4% |
SLG SLGN Silgan Holdings Inc. | $4.4B | 10.9x | +5.8% | 4.3% | Buy | +21.2% |
PKG PKG Packaging Corporation of America | $20.4B | 22.1x | +6.9% | 8.6% | Hold | +9.9% |
This peer comparison reflects companies with similar business models, product lines, or market positioning, supplemented by industry grouping when direct matches are limited.
CCK Dividend and Capital Return
CCK returns capital mainly through $505M/year in buybacks (4.4% buyback yield), with a modest 1.02% dividend — combining for 5.5% total shareholder yield.
Dividend SustainableFCF Well Covered
Total Shareholder Yield
5.5%
Dividend + buyback return per year
Buyback Yield
4.4%
Dividend Yield
1.02%
Payout Ratio
16.3%
How CCK Splits Its Return
Div 1.02%
Buyback 4.4%
Dividend 1.02%Buybacks 4.4%
Dividend Profile
Yield, cadence, and growth quality
Dividend / Share
Trailing annualized cash dividend
$1.04
Growth Streak
Consecutive years of dividend increases
4Y
3Y Div CAGR
5.7%
5Y Div CAGR
0.8%
Ex-Dividend Date
—
Payment Cadence
Quarterly
4 payments over the last 12 months
Buyback Engine
How much per-share support comes from repurchases
Repurchases (TTM)
Cash used for buybacks in the latest trailing period
$505M
Estimated Shares Retired
5M
Approx. Share Reduction
4.4%
Shares Outstanding
Current diluted share count from the screening snapshot
112M
At 4.4%/year, buybacks mechanically lift EPS even with flat earnings — each remaining share represents a slightly larger piece of the company.
| Year | Div / Share | YoY Grw | BB Yield | Total Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0.70 | — | — | — |
| 2025 | $1.04 | +4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% |
| 2024 | $1.00 | +4.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% |
| 2023 | $0.96 | +9.1% | 0.1% | 1.2% |
| 2022 | $0.88 | +10.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% |
FAQ
7 questionsCCK Investor Questions
Common questions answered from live analyst data and company financials.
01Is Crown Holdings, Inc. (CCK) stock a buy or sell in 2026?
Crown Holdings, Inc. (CCK) is rated Buy by Wall Street analysts as of 2026. Of 25 analysts covering the stock, 19 rate it Buy or Strong Buy, 6 rate it Hold, and 0 rate it Sell or Strong Sell. The consensus 12-month price target is $121, implying +18.7% from the current price of $102. The bear case scenario is $65 and the bull case is $136.
02What is the CCK stock price target for 2026?
The Wall Street consensus price target for CCK is $121 based on 25 analyst estimates. The high-end target is $126 (+24.1% from today), and the low-end target is $115 (+13.3%). The base case model target is $103.
03Is Crown Holdings, Inc. (CCK) stock overvalued in 2026?
CCK trades at 12.5x times forward earnings. The stock currently trades at a discount to the broader market. Based on current multiples versus the peer group, the relative model signals cheap versus peers. Whether the stock is over or undervalued ultimately depends on whether consensus earnings estimates are achievable.
04What are the main risks for Crown Holdings, Inc. (CCK) stock in 2026?
The primary risks for CCK in 2026 are: (1) Market Volatility — Shares have been range-bound, suggesting susceptibility to broader market fluctuations and investor sentiment. (2) Earnings Uncertainty — Upside potential is tied to earnings delivery and regional execution, indicating reliance on performance metrics. (3) Execution Risk — Growth projections depend on successful regional execution, which may face operational challenges. Each factor has the potential to pressure earnings or compress the stock's valuation multiple.
05What is Crown Holdings, Inc.'s revenue and earnings forecast?
Analyst consensus estimates CCK will report consensus revenue of $12.9B (+4.7% year-over-year) and EPS of $6.56 (+1.7% year-over-year) for the upcoming fiscal year. The following year, analysts project $13.6B in revenue.
06When does Crown Holdings, Inc. (CCK) report its next earnings?
Crown Holdings, Inc. is expected to report its next earnings on approximately 2026-07-20. Consensus expects EPS of $2.15 and revenue of $3.4B. Over recent quarters, CCK has beaten EPS estimates 83% of the time.
07How much free cash flow does Crown Holdings, Inc. generate?
Crown Holdings, Inc. (CCK) generated $1.1B in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months — a free cash flow margin of 8.9%. CCK returns capital to shareholders through dividends (1.0% yield) and share repurchases ($505M TTM).