1.5% Below Target

The consensus price target for TRN is $35, close to the current price of $34.47 (1.5% implied move). Based on 25 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.

TRN has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 25 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 12 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $35 implies 1.5% upside from current levels.

With a forward P/E of 14.8258x, TRN trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $35 implies 1.5% appreciation, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $36 for TRN, while the most conservative target is $34. The consensus of $35 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $35 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

TRN is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 25 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 9 have Buy ratings, 12 recommend Hold, and 4 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

The 12-month TRN stock forecast based on 25 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $35, with estimates ranging from $34 (bear case) to $36 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $27, with bear/bull scenarios of $17/$35.

Our quantitative valuation model calculates TRN's fair value at $27 (base case), with a bear case of $17 and bull case of $35. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 45/100.

TRN trades at a forward P/E ratio of 14.8x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 11.3x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

TRN appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Hold" rating and minimal upside to the $35 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

TRN analyst price targets range from $34 to $36, a 6% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $35 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $17-$35 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.