0.1% Below Target

The consensus price target for TPH is $47, close to the current price of $46.96 (0.1% implied move). Based on 22 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.

TPH has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 22 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 13 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $47 implies 0.1% upside from current levels.

TPH trades at a forward P/E of 24.5094x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $47 (0.1% implied move), the stock appears close to fair value.

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $47 for TPH, while the most conservative target is $47. The consensus of $47 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $78 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

TPH is well covered by analysts, with 22 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 9 have Buy ratings, 13 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

The 12-month TPH stock forecast based on 22 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $47, with estimates ranging from $47 (bear case) to $47 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $59, with bear/bull scenarios of $37/$78.

Our quantitative valuation model calculates TPH's fair value at $59 (base case), with a bear case of $37 and bull case of $78. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 43/100.

TPH trades at a forward P/E ratio of 24.5x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 17.3x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

TPH appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Hold" rating and minimal upside to the $47 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

TPH analyst price targets range from $47 to $47, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $47 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $37-$78 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.