Bull case
EPD would need investors to value it at roughly 19x earnings — about 7x more generous than today's 13x forward P/E. That requires meaningful multiple expansion on top of continued earnings growth.
Wall Street verdict, consensus price target, and analyst rating breakdown — everything needed to frame the risk/reward at today's price.
Three scenarios for where EPD stock could go
EPD would need investors to value it at roughly 19x earnings — about 7x more generous than today's 13x forward P/E. That requires meaningful multiple expansion on top of continued earnings growth.
At 15x on FY1 earnings, the base case reflects a reasonable but not stretched valuation. It prices in continued growth without assuming an exceptional setup.
If investor confidence fades or macro conditions deteriorate, a 3x multiple contraction could push EPD down roughly 27% from where it trades now.
Not financial advice. Model confidence reflects internal scenario assumptions, not a guarantee of returns. Past performance does not predict future results.

Enterprise Products Partners is a midstream energy infrastructure company that operates pipelines, storage facilities, and processing plants for natural gas, natural gas liquids, crude oil, and petrochemicals. It generates revenue primarily through fee-based contracts — with its NGL segment contributing roughly 50% of earnings — plus some commodity marketing activities. The company's competitive advantage lies in its massive, integrated network of assets that creates significant economies of scale and high barriers to entry.
Quarterly beat-or-miss track record against analyst estimates, plus forward revenue and EPS outlook for the next two fiscal years.
| Quarter | EPS (Actual / Est) | EPS Surprise | Revenue (Actual / Est) | Rev Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | $0.66/$0.65 | +2.3% | $11.4B/$14.2B | -19.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.61/$0.65 | -6.3% | $12.0B/$11.8B | +1.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.75/$0.69 | +8.7% | $13.8B/$12.4B | +11.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.68/$0.71 | -4.8% | $14.4B/$13.6B | +5.7% |
EPD beat EPS estimates in 2 of 4 tracked quarters. Mixed delivery makes the upcoming report a key data point for re-rating.
Product and geographic revenue mix from the latest annual disclosure, with year-over-year growth by segment.
Latest annual revenue by segment or product family
Tap, hover, or focus a slice to inspect segment detail.
Latest annual revenue by reported region
Current multiples compared to the S&P 500, the company's sector, and its own five-year average.
Fair value est. $30 — implies -16.8% from today's price.
| Metric | EPD | S&P 500 | Energy | 5Y Avg EPD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward PE | 12.6x | 18.8x-33% | 12.5x | — |
| Trailing PE | 13.8x | 24.4x-44% | 15.5x-11% | 10.9x+27% |
| PEG Ratio | 1.49x | 1.66x-10% | 0.52x+188% | — |
| EV/EBITDA | 11.8x | 15.2x-22% | 7.8x+51% | 9.9x+19% |
| Price/FCF | 26.7x | 20.7x+29% | 13.8x+93% | 14.6x+83% |
| Price/Sales | 1.5x | 3.1x-51% | 1.4x | 1.2x+29% |
| Dividend Yield | 5.84% | 1.91% | 3.47% | 7.30% |
Forward P/E and PEG reflect analyst consensus estimates. Historical averages use trailing ratios where forward data is unavailable.S&P 500 and sector benchmarks both use trailing median P/E — similar readings indicate the broader index and sector are priced alike.
Open valuation toolEPD returns 6.2% of market cap to shareholders annually.
Revenue, margins, and cash generation
ROIC, leverage, and debt serviceability
~11.4 years to full repayment at current FCF run-rate
How capital is returned to owners
All figures from the trailing twelve months. ROIC uses invested capital (equity + net debt).
Open full ratios pageKey factors that could pressure the stock price, compress the multiple, or weigh on future results.
AI analysis · updated June 17, 2026
Delays or cost overruns in key projects like the Bahia NGL pipeline and Port Neches terminal could impact growth and cash flow.
Fluctuations in commodity prices and demand for NGLs could affect profitability and distribution sustainability.
The massive 7% yield may face pressure if cash flow growth does not meet expectations.
Changes in energy policies or environmental regulations could increase compliance costs or limit operations.
Increasing competition in midstream infrastructure could erode market share or margins.
A broader economic downturn could reduce energy demand and strain cash flows.
These are risk mechanisms, not predictions. The key question is which would force a cut to earnings estimates or a lower multiple than the market currently prices in.
Structural drivers behind the upside case and why the stock could outperform over the next 12 months.
AI analysis · updated June 17, 2026
Enterprise Products Partners L.P. (EPD) is highlighted as a premier defensive income play into 2026, offering high yield and financial strength.
EPD's recent Q4 2025 earnings beats in EPS and revenue reinforce its high-yield appeal and midstream energy stability.
The bullish thesis emphasizes EPD's governance strength and reinvestment returns as key investment drivers.
EPD stands out for its durable cash flows, making it a reliable investment in the midstream energy sector.
EPD's trailing and forward P/E ratios indicate an attractive valuation, supporting its investment appeal.
A real bull case compounds — each driver matters most when it strengthens margins, supports capital returns, and keeps the company above the market's minimum growth bar simultaneously.
52-week range context and price returns across multiple time horizons. Dividend contribution is shown separately in the Capital Return section.
Range context matters because valuation compression and earnings misses rarely hit from the same starting point. A stock already far below its high can still fall, but it is no longer carrying the same embedded optimism as one pressing a fresh peak.
Valuation, growth, and margin comparison against the closest publicly traded peers for this company.
| Company | Mkt Cap | Fwd PE | Rev Grw | Margin | Rating | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EPD EPD Enterprise Products Partners L.P. | $79.1B | 12.6x | +5.0% | 11.0% | Buy | +7.2% |
ET ET Energy Transfer LP | $64.5B | 12.8x | +11.1% | 6.2% | Buy | +22.7% |
PAA PAA Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. | $15.1B | 13.5x | +4.4% | 2.5% | Buy | +13.8% |
MPL MPLX MPLX Lp | $57.7B | 13.2x | +8.8% | 37.5% | Buy | +6.0% |
WES WES Western Midstream Partners, LP | $16.9B | 12.4x | +7.9% | 29.9% | Hold | +7.7% |
TRG TRGP Targa Resources Corp. | $55.5B | 23.9x | +5.8% | 13.0% | Buy | +6.7% |
This peer comparison reflects companies with similar business models, product lines, or market positioning, supplemented by industry grouping when direct matches are limited.
EPD returns 6.2% total yield, led by a 5.84% dividend, raised 28 consecutive years.
Yield, cadence, and growth quality
How much per-share support comes from repurchases
| Year | Div / Share | YoY Grw | BB Yield | Total Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $1.10 | — | — | — |
| 2025 | $2.16 | +3.8% | 0.4% | 7.1% |
| 2024 | $2.08 | +5.1% | 0.3% | 6.9% |
| 2023 | $1.98 | +5.3% | 0.3% | 7.8% |
| 2022 | $1.88 | +4.4% | 0.5% | 8.2% |
Common questions answered from live analyst data and company financials.
Enterprise Products Partners L.P. (EPD) is rated Buy by Wall Street analysts as of 2026. Of 45 analysts covering the stock, 34 rate it Buy or Strong Buy, 9 rate it Hold, and 2 rate it Sell or Strong Sell. The consensus 12-month price target is $39, implying +7.2% from the current price of $37. The bear case scenario is $27 and the bull case is $56.
The Wall Street consensus price target for EPD is $39 based on 45 analyst estimates. The high-end target is $45 (+23.0% from today), and the low-end target is $34 (-7.1%). The base case model target is $42.
EPD trades at 12.6x times forward earnings. The stock currently trades at a discount to the broader market. Based on current multiples versus the peer group, the relative model signals slightly expensive versus peers. Whether the stock is over or undervalued ultimately depends on whether consensus earnings estimates are achievable.
The primary risks for EPD in 2026 are: (1) Project execution risk — Delays or cost overruns in key projects like the Bahia NGL pipeline and Port Neches terminal could impact growth and cash flow. (2) Energy market volatility — Fluctuations in commodity prices and demand for NGLs could affect profitability and distribution sustainability. (3) High yield sustainability — The massive 7% yield may face pressure if cash flow growth does not meet expectations. Each factor has the potential to pressure earnings or compress the stock's valuation multiple.
Analyst consensus estimates EPD will report consensus revenue of $55.2B (+5.0% year-over-year) and EPS of $2.84 (+7.1% year-over-year) for the upcoming fiscal year. The following year, analysts project $57.7B in revenue.
Enterprise Products Partners L.P. is expected to report its next earnings on approximately 2026-07-27. Consensus expects EPS of $0.73 and revenue of $13.4B. Over recent quarters, EPD has beaten EPS estimates 33% of the time.
Enterprise Products Partners L.P. (EPD) generated $3.0B in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months — a free cash flow margin of 5.6%. EPD returns capital to shareholders through dividends (5.8% yield) and share repurchases ($300M TTM).