GHM trades 44.8% below Wall Street's consensus target of $132.50.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes GHM achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 75.4x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 6 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of October 3, 2026, Graham Corporation (GHM) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $132.50, based on estimates from 6 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $91.49, this represents a potential upside of +44.8%. The company has a market capitalization of $1.07B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $130.00 to a high of $135.00, representing a 4% spread in expectations. The median target of $132.50 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 3 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,3 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, GHM trades at a trailing P/E of 81.7x and forward P/E of 75.4x. The forward PEG ratio of 2.09 reflects a premium valuation. Analysts expect EPS to grow +20.3% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $51.39, with bear and bull scenarios of $32.38 and $67.71 respectively. Model confidence stands at 50/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 GTLSChart Industries, Inc. | $10.0B | $209.90 | $193.81 | -7.7% | Buy | 30.1x | 37 |
 FWRDForward Air Corporation | $503M | $15.91 | $22.00 | +38.3% | Hold | — | 21 |
 CECOCECO Environmental Corp. | $4.3B | $73.66 | $106.80 | +45.0% | Buy | 32.1x | 16 |
 PRIMPrimoris Services Corporation | $4.3B | $79.08 | $126.33 | +59.7% | Buy | 36.9x | 25 |
 ESABESAB Corporation | $4.3B | $69.90 | $135.00 | +93.1% | Buy | 12.8x | 10 |
 NFBKNorthfield Bancorp, Inc. | $639M | $15.31 | $14.50 | -5.3% | Hold | 11.3x | 9 |
 BWXTBWX Technologies, Inc. | $12.4B | $134.86 | $209.38 | +55.3% | Buy | 28.4x | 19 |
 HLIOHelios Technologies, Inc. | $2.4B | $71.71 | $91.67 | +27.8% | Buy | 22.5x | 13 |
 MTRNMaterion Corporation | $6.5B | $312.16 | $314.00 | +0.6% | Buy | 44.1x | 10 |
 LMTLockheed Martin Corporation | $116.6B | $505.41 | $644.86 | +27.6% | Buy | 16.6x | 37 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying GHM stock.
The consensus Wall Street price target for GHM is $132.5, representing 44.8% upside from the current price of $91.49. With 6 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
GHM has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 6 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 3 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $132.5 implies 44.8% upside from current levels.
At a forward P/E of 75.3624x, GHM trades at a premium valuation. The consensus price target of $132.5 (44.8% upside) suggests analysts still see growth justifying the multiple.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $135 for GHM, while the most conservative target is $130. The consensus of $132.5 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $68 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
GHM is moderately covered, with 6 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 3 have Buy ratings, 3 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month GHM stock forecast based on 6 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $132.5, with estimates ranging from $130 (bear case) to $135 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $51, with bear/bull scenarios of $32/$68.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates GHM's fair value at $51 (base case), with a bear case of $32 and bull case of $68. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 50/100.
GHM trades at a forward P/E ratio of 75.4x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 81.7x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on GHM, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $132.5 price target (44.8% upside). 3 of 6 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
GHM analyst price targets range from $130 to $135, a 4% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $132.5 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $32-$68 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
Live VCP patterns, Cup & Handle overlays, support/resistance, and AI trade plans.
High-probability breakout stocks crossing their pivot across 5 pattern engines.
DCF models, multiple analysis, and analyst estimates.
10-year return with dividends reinvested.
Compare growth, multiples, and margins vs sector.