Bull case
IQV would need investors to value it at roughly 28x earnings — about 15x more generous than today's 13x forward P/E. That requires meaningful multiple expansion on top of continued earnings growth.
Wall Street verdict, consensus price target, and analyst rating breakdown — everything needed to frame the risk/reward at today's price.
Three scenarios for where IQV stock could go
IQV would need investors to value it at roughly 28x earnings — about 15x more generous than today's 13x forward P/E. That requires meaningful multiple expansion on top of continued earnings growth.
At 21x on FY1 earnings, the base case reflects a reasonable but not stretched valuation. It prices in continued growth without assuming an exceptional setup.
The bear case assumes sentiment or fundamentals disappoint enough to push IQV down roughly 3% from the current price.
Not financial advice. Model confidence reflects internal scenario assumptions, not a guarantee of returns. Past performance does not predict future results.

IQVIA is a global provider of advanced analytics, technology solutions, and clinical research services to the life sciences industry. It generates revenue through three main segments: Technology & Analytics Solutions (~40% of revenue), Research & Development Solutions (~50%), and Contract Sales & Medical Solutions (~10%). The company's competitive advantage lies in its massive proprietary healthcare data sets—including prescription, claims, and clinical data—combined with sophisticated analytics capabilities that create high switching costs for pharmaceutical and biotech clients.
Quarterly beat-or-miss track record against analyst estimates, plus forward revenue and EPS outlook for the next two fiscal years.
| Quarter | EPS (Actual / Est) | EPS Surprise | Revenue (Actual / Est) | Rev Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | $2.81/$2.77 | +1.4% | $4.0B/$4.0B | +1.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.00/$2.98 | +0.7% | $4.1B/$4.1B | +0.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.42/$3.40 | +0.6% | $4.4B/$4.2B | +2.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.90/$2.82 | +2.8% | $4.2B/$4.1B | +1.2% |
IQV beat EPS estimates in 4 of 4 tracked quarters. A perfect track record raises the bar for the upcoming report.
Product and geographic revenue mix from the latest annual disclosure, with year-over-year growth by segment.
Latest annual revenue by segment or product family
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Latest annual revenue by reported region
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Current multiples compared to the S&P 500, the company's sector, and its own five-year average.
Fair value est. $252 — implies +50.0% from today's price.
| Metric | IQV | S&P 500 | Healthcare | 5Y Avg IQV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward PE | 13.1x | 18.8x-30% | 18.3x-28% | — |
| Trailing PE | 21.4x | 24.4x-12% | 22.1x | 35.9x-40% |
| PEG Ratio | 0.53x | 1.66x-68% | 1.59x-67% | — |
| EV/EBITDA | 12.4x | 15.2x-18% | 14.2x-13% | 18.1x-31% |
| Price/FCF | 13.9x | 20.7x-33% | 18.5x-25% | 22.7x-39% |
| Price/Sales | 1.7x | 3.1x-44% | 2.6x-34% | 2.9x-39% |
| Dividend Yield | — | 1.91% | 1.50% | — |
Forward P/E and PEG reflect analyst consensus estimates. Historical averages use trailing ratios where forward data is unavailable.S&P 500 and sector benchmarks both use trailing median P/E — similar readings indicate the broader index and sector are priced alike.
Open valuation toolIQV generates $2.7B in free cash flow at a 16.1% margin — returns 4.4% of market cap to shareholders annually.
Revenue, margins, and cash generation
ROIC, leverage, and debt serviceability
~5.3 years to full repayment at current FCF run-rate
* Elevated by buyback-compressed equity — compare ROIC (8.7%) for an undistorted picture of capital efficiency.
How capital is returned to owners
All figures from the trailing twelve months. ROIC uses invested capital (equity + net debt). ROE marked * where buyback-compressed equity base may inflate the figure.
Open full ratios pageKey factors that could pressure the stock price, compress the multiple, or weigh on future results.
AI analysis · updated June 18, 2026
IQVIA's 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $12.55-$12.85 fell below the $12.95 consensus, triggering an 8% stock decline.
Higher interest expenses of $80M contributed to the stock's negative reaction despite revenue beats.
The stock has lost about 20% since 1/31/2026 due to cautious profit forecasts and market reassessment.
Full-year 2025 revenue growth of 5.9% may indicate slowing momentum despite record backlog.
Negative reaction to guidance overshadowed strong Q4 revenue growth of 10.3% year-over-year.
While R&DS backlog hit a record $32.7B, execution risks remain in converting backlog to revenue.
These are risk mechanisms, not predictions. The key question is which would force a cut to earnings estimates or a lower multiple than the market currently prices in.
Structural drivers behind the upside case and why the stock could outperform over the next 12 months.
AI analysis · updated June 18, 2026
IQVIA accelerates innovation and improves patient outcomes through its advanced analytics and technology, helping life sciences organizations bring treatments to market faster.
The company has a wide moat, indicating strong competitive advantages and barriers to entry in its market.
Top holder Vanguard Group owns 11.4% of IQVIA, reflecting confidence from major institutional investors.
IQVIA's forward P/E of 16.21 suggests potential undervaluation compared to its trailing P/E of 27.70.
As a leading global provider of clinical research services and healthcare intelligence, IQVIA serves critical needs in the life sciences and healthcare industries.
Detailed equity research reports highlight IQVIA's investment thesis, valuation methods, and buy/sell recommendations, reinforcing its bullish case.
A real bull case compounds — each driver matters most when it strengthens margins, supports capital returns, and keeps the company above the market's minimum growth bar simultaneously.
52-week range context and price returns across multiple time horizons. Dividend contribution is shown separately in the Capital Return section.
Range context matters because valuation compression and earnings misses rarely hit from the same starting point. A stock already far below its high can still fall, but it is no longer carrying the same embedded optimism as one pressing a fresh peak.
Valuation, growth, and margin comparison against the closest publicly traded peers for this company.
| Company | Mkt Cap | Fwd PE | Rev Grw | Margin | Rating | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
IQV IQV IQVIA Holdings Inc. | $28.5B | 13.1x | +5.7% | 8.3% | Buy | +30.8% |
CRL CRL Charles River Laboratories International, Inc. | $8.9B | 16.7x | +3.7% | -4.6% | Buy | +15.8% |
ICL ICLR ICON Public Limited Company | $11.2B | 13.8x | +7.3% | 6.0% | Buy | -4.2% |
PRA PRA ProAssurance Corporation | $1.3B | 20.1x | +2.0% | 6.0% | Hold | -25.6% |
MED MEDP Medpace Holdings, Inc. | $13.1B | 27.1x | +9.8% | 17.2% | Hold | +8.4% |
VEE VEEV Veeva Systems Inc. | $24.9B | 16.9x | +13.5% | 28.4% | Buy | +53.5% |
This peer comparison reflects companies with similar business models, product lines, or market positioning, supplemented by industry grouping when direct matches are limited.
IQV returns 4.4% annually — null% through dividends and 4.4% through buybacks.
Yield, cadence, and growth quality
How much per-share support comes from repurchases
Common questions answered from live analyst data and company financials.
IQVIA Holdings Inc. (IQV) is rated Buy by Wall Street analysts as of 2026. Of 44 analysts covering the stock, 37 rate it Buy or Strong Buy, 6 rate it Hold, and 1 rate it Sell or Strong Sell. The consensus 12-month price target is $219, implying +30.8% from the current price of $168. The bear case scenario is $172 and the bull case is $360.
The Wall Street consensus price target for IQV is $219 based on 44 analyst estimates. The high-end target is $250 (+49.0% from today), and the low-end target is $185 (+10.3%). The base case model target is $273.
IQV trades at 13.1x times forward earnings. The stock currently trades at a discount to the broader market. Based on current multiples versus the peer group, the relative model signals cheap versus peers. Whether the stock is over or undervalued ultimately depends on whether consensus earnings estimates are achievable.
The primary risks for IQV in 2026 are: (1) Earnings Guidance Risk — IQVIA's 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $12. (2) Interest Expense Pressure — Higher interest expenses of $80M contributed to the stock's negative reaction despite revenue beats. (3) Valuation De-rating — The stock has lost about 20% since 1/31/2026 due to cautious profit forecasts and market reassessment. Each factor has the potential to pressure earnings or compress the stock's valuation multiple.
Analyst consensus estimates IQV will report consensus revenue of $17.6B (+5.7% year-over-year) and EPS of $10.70 (+31.1% year-over-year) for the upcoming fiscal year. The following year, analysts project $18.4B in revenue.
IQVIA Holdings Inc. is expected to report its next earnings on approximately 2026-07-28. Consensus expects EPS of $3.03 and revenue of $4.3B. Over recent quarters, IQV has beaten EPS estimates 100% of the time.
IQVIA Holdings Inc. (IQV) generated $2.7B in free cash flow over the trailing twelve months — a free cash flow margin of 16.1%. IQV returns capital to shareholders through and share repurchases ($1.2B TTM).