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JEFJefferies Financial Group Inc.
$62.10$13.8B
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JEF logo

Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (JEF) Price Target Analysis

Updated Jun 18, 2026
Analyst Rating: Hold
Based on 9 analysts

1.0% Below Target

JEF trades 1.0% below Wall Street's consensus target of $62.75.

Current Price$62.10
Average Target$62.75
Target
Current
Low$50.00
Median$57.00
High$87.00

Analyst Target Range

Forward P/E16.9x
(Fair)
PEG Ratio12.76
(Expensive)
Implied Growth+15.3%
(Moderate)
Analyst Spread59.0%
(Moderate)

Price Forecast (1 Year)

Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path

Current$62.10
Consensus$62.75
High$87.00
Low$50.00

Consensus Scenario Assumptions

The base valuation assumes JEF achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 16.9x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 9 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.

Analyst Ratings Distribution

Breakdown of 9 published analyst recommendations for JEF

56% hold / mixed conviction
+22
BearishBullish
Weighted analyst sentiment score based on 9 ratings
ConsensusHold
Coverage9 Analysts
Net Score+22
Bull / Bear44% / 0%
Strong Buy00%
Buy444%
Hold556%
Sell00%
Strong Sell00%
Strong Buy
00%
Buy
444%
Hold
556%
Sell
00%
Strong Sell
00%
Recommendation Mix44% Buy · 56% Hold · 0% Sell
Buy (4)Hold (5)Sell (0)

JEF Price Target Analysis

Updated June 21, 2026

As of June 21, 2026, Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (JEF) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $62.75, based on estimates from 9 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $62.10, this represents a potential upside of +1.0%. The company has a market capitalization of $13.83B.

Analyst price targets range from a low of $50.00 to a high of $87.00, representing a 59% spread in expectations. The median target of $57.00 differs from the mean, suggesting potential outlier estimates. The wide target spread reflects significant disagreement on fair value.

The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 4 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,5 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The mixed ratings reflect uncertainty about near-term direction.

From a valuation perspective, JEF trades at a trailing P/E of 21.9x and forward P/E of 16.9x. The forward PEG ratio of 12.76 reflects a premium valuation. Analysts expect EPS to grow +15.3% over the next year.

Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $72.01, with bear and bull scenarios of $45.36 and $94.88 respectively. Model confidence stands at 43/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.

Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Financial Services stocks.

Analyst Sentiment Comparison

Industry Peer Analysis
Avg Peer Upside
+10.6%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
17.5x
(Fair)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
CompanyMarket CapPriceTargetUpside PotentialRatingFwd P/EAnalysts
GS logo
GSThe Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.
$348.3B$1096.56$972.70
-11.3%
Hold18.5x55
MS logo
MSMorgan Stanley
$355.5B$223.17$201.25
-9.8%
Buy18.8x52
EVR logo
EVREvercore Inc.
$14.7B$371.72$472.67
+27.2%
Buy19.3x21
PJT logo
PJTPJT Partners Inc.
$3.8B$155.47$158.67
+2.1%
Hold20.6x12
LAZ logo
LAZLazard Ltd
$4.2B$44.30$47.00
+6.1%
Buy15.9x29
HLI logo
HLIHoulihan Lokey, Inc.
$9.8B$140.77$188.00
+33.6%
Buy18.3x15
MC logo
MCMoelis & Company
$4.9B$67.18$73.40
+9.3%
Hold21.7x22
RJF logo
RJFRaymond James Financial, Inc.
$30.7B$155.86$160.50
+3.0%
Hold13.1x24
SF logo
SFStifel Financial Corp.
$11.4B$73.54$93.44
+27.1%
Buy11.7x22
PIPR logo
PIPRPiper Sandler Companies
$5.8B$81.80$97.58
+19.3%
Hold17.3x11

JEF — Frequently Asked Questions

Quick answers to the most common questions about buying JEF stock.

What is the JEF stock price target for 2026?

The consensus price target for JEF is $62.75, close to the current price of $62.1 (1.0% implied move). Based on 9 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.

Is JEF a buy, sell, or hold?

JEF has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 9 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 5 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $62.75 implies 1.0% upside from current levels.

Is JEF stock overvalued or undervalued?

With a forward P/E of 16.8787x, JEF trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $62.75 implies 1.0% appreciation, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.

How high can JEF stock go?

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $87 for JEF, while the most conservative target is $50. The consensus of $62.75 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $95 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

How many analysts cover JEF stock?

JEF is moderately covered, with 9 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 4 have Buy ratings, 5 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

What is the JEF stock forecast?

The 12-month JEF stock forecast based on 9 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $62.75, with estimates ranging from $50 (bear case) to $87 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $72, with bear/bull scenarios of $45/$95.

What is JEF's fair value based on fundamentals?

Our quantitative valuation model calculates JEF's fair value at $72 (base case), with a bear case of $45 and bull case of $95. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 43/100.

What is JEF's forward P/E ratio?

JEF trades at a forward P/E ratio of 16.9x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 21.9x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Should I buy JEF stock?

JEF appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Hold" rating and minimal upside to the $62.75 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Why do JEF price targets vary so much?

JEF analyst price targets range from $50 to $87, a 59% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $62.75 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $45-$95 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.

Consensus-Based Analysis Tools

Full Stock Analysis

Deep dive into JEF consensus models and risk factors.

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Peer Comparison

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